Widzew Łódź vs Lech Poznan Prediction

Widzew Łódź
2-3
Finished
HT 1-2
Lech Poznan
Stadion Widzewa Łódź, Lodz·Lukasz Kuzma, Poland 30/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 9.5
1.70
SignalSOLIDModel41%SurpriseHighGap+10.8%
Widzew Łódź Rest
8 days
Lech Poznan Rest
3 days

Widzew Łódź vs Lech Poznan: result, form and history

Lech Poznan beat Widzew Łódź 3-2 in the Ekstraklasa on 30 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Lech Poznan had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Widzew Łódź.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 8 previous meetings averaged 3.1 goals, and both sides scored in 7 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
26%3.00
X
25%3.60
2
49%2.15
Double Chance
1X
50%1.64
X2
74%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.52
No
44%2.38
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.25 + 1.74 = 2.99
Over 1.5
83%1.18
Over 2.5
59%1.61
Over 3.5
33%2.52
Under 1.5
17%4.37
Under 2.5
41%2.21
Under 3.5
67%1.47
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.7 + 6.9 = 10.6
Over 8.5
75%1.40
Over 9.5
65%1.70
Over 10.5
55%2.12
Under 8.5
25%2.60
Under 9.5
35%2.02
Under 10.5
45%1.64
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 1.9 = 4.5
Over 3.5
65%1.56
Over 4.5
45%2.15
Under 3.5
35%2.22
Under 4.5
55%1.60

Match Events

6'A. KozubalAssist: P. Walemark
22'A. SayyadmaneshAssist: P. Walemark
27'K. SwiderskiAssist: M. Fornalczyk
45+1'A. Baena PerezFoul
53'M. FornalczykAssist: S. Kapuadi
68'Y. Agnero INL. Palma out
70'E. Kornvig ING. Papanikolaou out
70'K. Swiderski INS. Bergier out
70'R. MurawskiFoul
75'P. Rodriguez INF. Jagiello out
75'R. Murawski ING. Berggren out
81'M. Fornalczyk INS. Biuk out
86'F. Alvarez INA. Klukowski out
88'P. Walemark INW. Szymczak out
90+6'L. Palma
90+7'L. PalmaUnsportsmanlike conduct

Lineups

Widzew Łódź
4-1-4-1Coach: Aleksandar Vukovic
Lech Poznan
4-4-2Coach: Niels Frederiksen
Avg rating6.61
Avg rating6.73
Bartłomiej DrągowskiC6.21B. Drągowski
Marcel Krajewski6.091M. Krajewski
Mateusz Żyro6.24M. Żyro
Steve Kapuadi6.73S. Kapuadi
Mario Garcia5.940M. Garcia
Lindon Selahi6.918L. Selahi
Ángel Baena6.577Á. Baena
Fran Álvarez6.510F. Álvarez
Emil Kornvig6.98E. Kornvig
Mariusz Fornalczyk8.37M. Fornalczyk
Karol Świderski7.328K. Świderski
Mateusz Lis7.21M. Lis
Joel Pereira5.32J. Pereira
Wojciech Mońka7.027W. Mońka
Terry Yegbe6.759T. Yegbe
Michal Gurgul6.315M. Gurgul
Patrik Wålemark7.210P. Wålemark
Radosław MurawskiC6.322R. Murawski
Antoni Kozubal7.543A. Kozubal
Allahyar Sayyadmanesh7.317A. Sayyadmanesh
Yannick Agnero6.67Y. Agnero
Pablo Rodríguez6.921P. Rodríguez

Widzew Łódź Substitutes

30Veljko Ilić
33Jan Krzywański
14Ricardo Visus
19Darian Maleš
79Stipe Biuk81'for M. Fornalczyk6.3
5Giannis Papanikolaou70'for E. Kornvig6.9
99Sebastian Bergier70'for K. Swiderski6.3
20Antoni Klukowski86'for F. Alvarez6.3

Lech Poznan Substitutes

33Mateusz Pruchniewski
72Mateusz Skrzypczak
20Robert Gumny
77Luis Palma68'for Y. Agnero90+6'90+7'7.2
53Karol Delikat
5Gustav Berggren75'for R. Murawski6.5
24Filip Jagiełło75'for P. Rodriguez6.7
56Wojciech Szymczak6.3

Match Stats

Widzew ŁódźLech Poznan
38%Ball Possession62%
7Corner Kicks9
1Yellow Cards2
14Total Shots14
7Shots on Goal9
6Shots off Goal1
5Shots Inside Box8
9Shots Outside Box6
1Blocked Shots4
7Fouls14
2Offsides2
6Goalkeeper Saves5
281Total Passes462
212Passes Accurate384
75%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź
Lech PoznanLech Poznan
1508Elo Rating 1741
1.22Attack 1.43
1.35Defense 1.46
0%Hit Rate 39%
13.5Shots per Game 12.5
4.0Shots on Target 6.0
6.3Corners per Game 4.5
2.5Cards per Game 0.7

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.99 goals
📈BTTS Trend88% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Lech PoznanLech Poznan
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź3Wins · 38%
Draws112%
Lech PoznanLech Poznan4Wins · 50%
3.1Avg Goals
88%Both teams scored7 of 8
75%3+ goals6 of 8

Previous meetings

Ekstraklasa07/03/2026
Widzew ŁódźLech Poznan
21
Ekstraklasa31/08/2025
Lech PoznanWidzew Łódź
21
Ekstraklasa31/01/2025
Lech PoznanWidzew Łódź
41
Ekstraklasa27/07/2024
Widzew ŁódźLech Poznan
21
Ekstraklasa19/05/2024
Widzew ŁódźLech Poznan
11
Ekstraklasa26/11/2023
Lech PoznanWidzew Łódź
13
Ekstraklasa19/03/2023
Widzew ŁódźLech Poznan
12
Ekstraklasa04/09/2022
Lech PoznanWidzew Łódź
20

Recent Form

Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź
5W4D1L
22/08/2026
Slask WroclawWidzew Łódź
33
D
15/08/2026
Widzew ŁódźKorona Kielce
12
L
09/08/2026
JagielloniaWidzew Łódź
02
W
31/07/2026
Wisla PlockWidzew Łódź
00
D
26/07/2026
Widzew ŁódźMotor Lublin
22
D
19/07/2026
Widzew ŁódźPuszcza Niepołomice
20
W
10/07/2026
Widzew ŁódźBeşiktaş
20
W
04/07/2026
Widzew ŁódźDunajska Streda
00
D
27/06/2026
Widzew ŁódźStal Rzeszów
40
W
23/05/2026
Widzew ŁódźPiast Gliwice
21
W

Referee Profile

Lukasz Kuzma152 matches

4.28Cards per match
4.11Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
25.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Lukasz Kuzma4.28
Other referees4.27

4.28 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.27).

Cards come from 101 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ekstraklasa 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Lech PoznanLech Poznan13102134:13+2132DWWWW
2Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze1494123:12+1131WDDDW
3Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa1466225:15+1024LDLDW
4Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin1373320:15+524LLWWW
5Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow1473422:19+324WLWDL
6Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin1465318:17+123DWDWL
7Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice1464424:20+422DDWDW
8GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice1470725:20+521LWLLW
9JagielloniaJagiellonia1370618:18021WWWLL
10Motor LublinMotor Lublin1454522:24-219WWDWW
11Korona KielceKorona Kielce1453614:21-718LLWLL
12Wisla PlockWisla Plock1343614:21-715LDLWL
13Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź1428420:19+114WLDDL
14Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom1442817:29-1214WWLLL
15Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow1433816:23-712LLLDW
16Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa14401023:31-812WWLWL
17Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw1424817:25-810DLWLL
18Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków14221018:28-108LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Lech PoznanLech Poznan1334:1332
2Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze1423:1231
3Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa1425:1524
4Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin1320:1524
5Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow1422:1924
6Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin1418:1723
7Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice1424:2022
8GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice1425:2021
9JagielloniaJagiellonia1318:1821
10Motor LublinMotor Lublin1422:2419
11Korona KielceKorona Kielce1414:2118
12Wisla PlockWisla Plock1314:2115
13Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź1420:1914
14Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom1417:2914
15Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow1416:2312
16Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa1423:3112
17Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw1417:2510
18Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków1418:288
Relegation

About the Widzew Łódź vs Lech Poznan forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Widzew Łódź and Lech Poznan in the Ekstraklasa table

In the Ekstraklasa table, Lech Poznan are 1st and Widzew Łódź 13th, 18 points apart. League goal record so far: Widzew Łódź 20-19, Lech Poznan 34-13. The full standings are on the Ekstraklasa Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.