Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction

EredivisieNetherlands Netherlands · Regular Season - 2
Willem II
1-4
Finished
HT 0-1
NEC Nijmegen
Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg· Serdar Gozubuyuk, Netherlands 15/08/2026
Willem IIWillem II
1-4
Finished
NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.68
SignalHIGHModel58%RiskMediumGap+12.8%
Willem II Rest
6 days
NEC Nijmegen Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
22%4.58
X
25%4.20
2
53%1.65
Double Chance
1X
47%2.20
X2
78%1.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.49
No
42%2.45
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.14 + 1.93 = 3.07
Over 1.5
83%1.12
Over 2.5
58%1.44
Over 3.5
32%2.14
Under 1.5
17%5.63
Under 2.5
42%2.66
Under 3.5
68%1.68
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.9 + 5.7 = 9.6
Over 8.5
61%1.31
Over 9.5
49%1.58
Over 10.5
40%1.98
Under 8.5
39%3.00
Under 9.5
51%2.19
Under 10.5
60%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.1 = 4.1
Over 3.5
45%2.38
Over 4.5
29%-
Under 3.5
55%1.53
Under 4.5
71%-

Match Events

16'N. Tjoe a OnRoughing
45+2'A. TahauiAssist: C. Bischoff
54'T. Chery
65'B. Linssen
66'B. Linssen INK. Sierhuis out
66'D. Nejasmic INN. Lebreton out
66'C. Bischoff INE. Mor out
67'K. SierhuisAssist: T. Chery
69'N. Tjoe a On INH. ter Avest out
69'E. Gurbuz INT. Verheydt out
69'A. Ciranni INM. Lemmens out
76'D. Fonville INA. Kabar out
77'T. VerheydtAssist: H. ter Avest
89'A. Tahaui INB. Nuytinck out
89'K. Boogaard IND. Iglesias out

Lineups

Willem II
4-4-1-1Coach: John Stegeman
NEC Nijmegen
3-4-2-1Coach: Dick Schreuder
Karst de Leeuw31K. de LeeuwKarst de Leeuw
Per van Loon22P. van LoonPer van Loon
Finn Stam3F. StamFinn Stam
Justin Hoogma4J. HoogmaJustin Hoogma
Nathan Tjoe-A-On24N. Tjoe-A-OnNathan Tjoe-A-On
Eser Gürbüz50E. GürbüzEser Gürbüz
Alessandro Ciranni2A. CiranniAlessandro Ciranni
Kasper Boogaard8K. BoogaardKasper Boogaard
Jaden Slory7J. SloryJaden Slory
Uriel van Aalst19U. van AalstUriel van Aalst
Devin Haen9D. HaenDevin Haen
Gonzalo Crettaz1G. CrettazGonzalo Crettaz
Brayann Pereira2B. PereiraBrayann Pereira
Tobias Storm21T. StormTobias Storm
Deveron Fonville24D. FonvilleDeveron Fonville
Adam Tahaui19A. TahauiAdam Tahaui
Darko Nejašmić6D. NejašmićDarko Nejašmić
Jamiro Monteiro35J. MonteiroJamiro Monteiro
Clement Bischoff99C. BischoffClement Bischoff
Tjaronn Chery9T. CheryTjaronn Chery
Dušan Tadić10D. TadićDušan Tadić
Bryan Linssen30B. LinssenBryan Linssen

Willem II Substitutes

49Ismael MouhoulM
41Tygo KotteG
21Wouter Van der SteenG
14Jens MathijsenD
83Mats LemmensD
15Amine Et-TaibiD
5Hidde ter AvestD
48Julian van EsdonkM
40Divano Fernandez IglesiasM
44Luca MaalF
28Thomas VerheydtF

NEC Nijmegen Substitutes

12Nikolas PolsterG
36Freek EntiusG
73Gabriel BrásD
5Thomas OuwejanD
66Almugera KabarD
17Bram NuytinckD
7Emre MorF
11Willum Thor WillumssonM
8Isak Hansen AarøenM
14Kaj SierhuisF
34Kevin KersF
20Noe LebretonM

Match Stats

Willem IINEC Nijmegen
31%Ball Possession69%
1Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards0
8Total Shots19
2Shots on Goal9
2Shots off Goal5
6Shots Inside Box10
2Shots Outside Box9
4Blocked Shots5
10Fouls12
0Offsides3
5Goalkeeper Saves1
264Total Passes571
164Passes Accurate484
62%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

Willem IIWillem II
NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
1584Elo Rating 1681
0.97Attack 1.15
0.43Defense 0.56
0%Hit Rate 17%
11.3Shots per Game 9.5
2.4Shots on Target 2.3
4.3Corners per Game 3.4
1.3Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.07 goals
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Willem IIWillem II
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 4 historical meetings

Willem II 27%Draw 51%23% NEC Nijmegen
2.19Avg Goals
58%BTTS Rate
27%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Willem IIWillem II
2W1D2L
08/08/2026
GO Ahead EaglesWillem II
41
L
01/08/2026
Willem IIOFI
21
W
25/07/2026
Willem IIKV Mechelen
10
W
11/07/2026
Willem IIFC Eindhoven
22
D
04/07/2026
Willem IIQuick Boys
12
L
NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
1W1D3L
11/08/2026
NEC NijmegenOlympiakos Piraeus
1101
W
08/08/2026
NEC NijmegenTelstar
12
L
04/08/2026
Olympiakos PiraeusNEC Nijmegen
00
D
31/07/2026
NEC NijmegenSevilla
12
L
25/07/2026
NEC NijmegenSV Elversberg
01
L

Referee Profile

Serdar Gozubuyuk, Netherlands · 13 matches analysed

3.7Avg Yellows
3.8Avg Cards
24.1Avg Fouls
Stricter than 12% of referees analysed

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven651022:7+1516WWWWW
2AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar651017:6+1116DWWWW
3FeyenoordFeyenoord642020:7+1314WWDWD
4AjaxAjax641119:7+1213WWLWD
5TwenteTwente641112:5+713WWDWW
6ExcelsiorExcelsior631213:7+610LDWWL
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard631212:14-210LWWLW
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles623115:13+29DDLWD
9GroningenGroningen622212:13-18DDLLW
10NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen621311:12-17LDLWW
11HeerenveenHeerenveen61327:9-26DLDLD
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam612310:13-35LDLDW
13TelstarTelstar61235:11-65DLDLL
14UtrechtUtrecht612311:19-85WDLDL
15CambuurCambuur61149:18-94WDLLL
16PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle61146:17-114LDLWL
17Willem IIWillem II60246:19-132LDLDL
18ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag60156:16-101LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven622:716
2AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar617:616
3FeyenoordFeyenoord620:714
4AjaxAjax619:713
5TwenteTwente612:513
6ExcelsiorExcelsior613:710
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard612:1410
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles615:139
9GroningenGroningen612:138
10NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen611:127
11HeerenveenHeerenveen67:96
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam610:135
13TelstarTelstar65:115
14UtrechtUtrecht611:195
15CambuurCambuur69:184
16PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle66:174
17Willem IIWillem II66:192
18ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag66:161
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Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Eredivisie fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Eredivisie

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Key Factors for This Match

Willem II and NEC Nijmegen have met 4 times recently, averaging 2.19 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.