NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiakos Piraeus Prediction
World · Qualifying Round 3
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.6 / 10
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 9.5
1.64
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+14.9%
NEC Nijmegen Rest
3 days
Olympiakos Piraeus Rest
6 days
NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiakos Piraeus: result, form and history
NEC Nijmegen beat Olympiakos Piraeus 2-1 after extra time in the UEFA Champions League on 11 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
135%2.75
X20%3.35
245%2.50
Double Chance
1X55%1.50
X265%1.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes50%1.62
No50%2.17
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.21 + 1.65 = 2.86
Over 1.577%1.25
Over 2.554%1.81
Over 3.530%3.00
Under 1.523%3.70
Under 2.546%1.99
Under 3.570%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 3.9 = 8.6
Over 8.538%1.70
Over 9.528%2.15
Over 10.521%2.77
Under 8.562%2.01
Under 9.572%1.64
Under 10.579%1.37
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.2 = 4.3
Over 3.550%1.46
Over 4.533%1.93
Under 3.550%2.42
Under 4.567%1.74
Match Events
12'D. GarciaTripping
15'Jota Silva INK. Fortounis out
30'S. Ouaissa INE. Mor out
34'P. Sandler INB. Pereira out
46'A. El Kaabi
55'RodineiRoughing
59'G. SaRoughing
61'G. Sa INC. Mouzakitis out
70'B. LinssenAssist: D. Tadic
72'D. Garcia INL. Scipioni out
72'G. Martins INJ. Roca out
80'K. FortounisTripping
88'B. PereiraRoughing
88'C. Bischoff INK. Sierhuis out
90+3'Goal Disallowed - offsideK. Sierhuis
90+4'K. Sierhuis
Extra Time1 - 0
95'E. MorAssist: K. Sierhuis
103'P. Retsos INZ. Smajlovic out
103'C. Mouzakitis INChiquinho out
106'E. Mor INK. Kers out
106'N. Lebreton INB. Nuytinck out
106'B. Linssen INJ. Monteiro out
112'B. OnyemaechiUnsportsmanlike conduct
Lineups
NEC NijmegenOlympiakos Piraeus
4-2-3-1Coach: Luis Mendilibar JoseAvg ratingAvg rating
1G. Crettaz
21T. Storm
3P. Sandler
24D. Fonville
6D. Nejašmić
25S. Ouaissa
20N. Lebreton
10D. Tadić
99C. Bischoff
C9T. Chery
30B. Linssen
31B. Popović
23Rodinei
C45P. Retsos
5L. Pirola
70O. Bruno
14D. García
32S. Hezze
10G. Martins
8G. Sá
20J. Silva
9A. El KaabiNEC Nijmegen Substitutes
7Emre Mor30'for S. Ouaissa95'106'for K. Kers
2Brayann Pereira34'for P. Sandler88'
14Kaj Sierhuis88'for C. Bischoff90+4'
36Freek Entius
38Joep Geneste
5Thomas Ouwejan
17Bram Nuytinck106'for N. Lebreton
8Isak Hansen Aarøen
11Willum Thor Willumsson
35Jamiro Monteiro106'for B. Linssen
34Kevin Kers106'replaced by E. Mor
Olympiakos Piraeus Substitutes
7Kostas Fortounis15'for Jota Silva80'
96Christos Mouzakitis61'for G. Sa103'for Chiquinho
16Lorenzo Scipioni72'for D. Garcia
73Joel Roca72'for G. Martins
1Stefan Ortega
91Dimitrios Stournaras
6David Carmo
4Zinedin Smajlović103'for P. Retsos
25Pablo Maffeo
77Christos Filis
2Manolis Saliakas
22Chiquinho103'replaced by C. Mouzakitis
Match Stats
NEC NijmegenOlympiakos Piraeus 54%Ball Possession46%
3Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
10Total Shots5
5Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal3
6Shots Inside Box3
4Shots Outside Box2
2Blocked Shots0
17Fouls19
4Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves4
423Total Passes360
318Passes Accurate251
76%Pass Accuracy69%
Team Comparison
NEC NijmegenOlympiakos Piraeus1718Elo Rating 1863
2.14Attack 2.05
1.50Defense 2.54
44%Hit Rate 73%
19.9Shots per Game 17.4
6.2Shots on Target 4.6
7.3Corners per Game 6.6
1.3Cards per Game 1.3
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.85 goals
📈BTTS Trend
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
NEC Nijmegen- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Olympiakos Piraeus- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Head to Head
1 previous meeting, all competitions
NEC Nijmegen0Wins · 0%Draws1100%
Olympiakos Piraeus0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%0.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1
Previous meetings
Recent Form
NEC Nijmegen3W2D5L
08/08/2026NEC Nijmegen
Telstar
04/08/2026NEC NijmegenTelstar12
LOlympiakos PiraeusNEC Nijmegen00
D31/07/2026NEC Nijmegen
Sevilla
NEC NijmegenSevilla12
L25/07/2026NEC Nijmegen
SV Elversberg
NEC NijmegenSV Elversberg01
L18/07/2026NEC Nijmegen
Al-Fayha
NEC NijmegenAl-Fayha70
W14/07/2026NEC Nijmegen
V-varen Nagasaki
NEC NijmegenV-varen Nagasaki31
W11/07/2026
AnderlechtNEC Nijmegen
AnderlechtNEC Nijmegen32
L08/07/2026NEC Nijmegen
MSV Duisburg
NEC NijmegenMSV Duisburg23
L01/07/2026
De TreffersNEC Nijmegen
De TreffersNEC Nijmegen11
D17/05/2026NEC Nijmegen
GO Ahead Eagles
NEC NijmegenGO Ahead Eagles21
WOlympiakos Piraeus3W4D3L
04/08/2026Olympiakos PiraeusNEC Nijmegen
Olympiakos PiraeusNEC Nijmegen00
D25/07/2026
AZ AlkmaarOlympiakos Piraeus
AZ AlkmaarOlympiakos Piraeus32
L24/07/2026
AntwerpOlympiakos Piraeus
AntwerpOlympiakos Piraeus30
L18/07/2026
AjaxOlympiakos Piraeus
AjaxOlympiakos Piraeus10
L17/07/2026Olympiakos Piraeus
Fortuna Sittard
Olympiakos PiraeusFortuna Sittard31
W11/07/2026Olympiakos Piraeus
OH Leuven
Olympiakos PiraeusOH Leuven11
D08/07/2026Olympiakos Piraeus
Raków Częstochowa
Olympiakos PiraeusRaków Częstochowa21
W17/05/2026
AEK Athens FCOlympiakos Piraeus
AEK Athens FCOlympiakos Piraeus11
D13/05/2026Olympiakos Piraeus
Panathinaikos
Olympiakos PiraeusPanathinaikos10
W10/05/2026Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK
Olympiakos PiraeusPAOK11
DReferee Profile
4.20Cards per match
4.03Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
25.1Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.20 cards a match, 0.25 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.45).
Cards come from 197 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsBracket
Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
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Omonia Nicosia
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This match
More UEFA Champions League matches
About the NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiakos Piraeus forecast
This is a UEFA Champions League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
About UEFA Champions League
More UEFA Champions League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Champions League Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
NEC Nijmegen and Olympiakos Piraeus have met only 1 time recently, with 0.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.