York United vs Pacific FC Prediction

York United
3-3
Finished
HT 0-1
Pacific FC
York Lions Stadium 10/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.41
SignalGOODModel55%SurpriseMediumGap+0.9%
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.41
SignalHIGHModel75%SurpriseMediumGap+7.5%
York United Rest
4 days
Pacific FC Rest
4 days

York United vs Pacific FC: result, form and history

York United and Pacific FC drew 3-3 in the Canadian Premier League on 10 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 7 of them. York United tend to win more corners, 4.5 a game to 2.5 for Pacific FC.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%2.24
X
22%3.65
2
25%2.58
Double Chance
1X
75%1.41
X2
47%1.55
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.40
No
44%2.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.85 + 1.07 = 2.92
Over 1.5
77%1.13
Over 2.5
55%1.45
Over 3.5
34%2.14
Under 1.5
23%5.10
Under 2.5
45%2.50
Under 3.5
66%1.62
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'Penalty cancelledCarlos Guzman
14'R. KrattAssist: Y. Toualy
20'Ollie BassettFoul
45'Carlos Guzman INLuca accettola out
45'Juan Córdova INKembo·Kibato out
45+1'Tomasz Noah SkublakFoul
45+2'Card upgrade cancelledTomasz Noah Skublak
55'Kembo·KibatoAssist: Jorge Ariel Almagro Albán
57'Y. ToualyAssist: R. Kratt
59'Luca accettolaAssist: Tomasz Noah Skublak
64'Kevonte Tyrique Jaaziah Clarke INJessé Costa out
65'Josh Heard INJ. Kadin Brian Chung out
76'Tomasz Noah Skublak INChimaobim Onyeocha out
76'R. Kratt INAlejandro Diaz out
76'Marco Bustos INM. Vales out
77'D. KonincksFoul
79'Christian Greco-TaylorDissent
80'Steffen YeatesFoul
82'Penalty confirmedAlejandro Diaz
85'Alejandro Diaz(Penalty)
87'Aidan Daniels INShaan Hundal out
87'Luke SinghAssist: Ollie Bassett
88'Y. Toualy INTristan Kendal Marshall out
90+2'Chimaobim OnyeochaFoul
90+3'Tristan Kendal MarshallTime wasting
90+5'Jessé CostaFoul
90+6'Oswaldo LeonFoul
90+7'Roshawn Kadeem Delahaye JuhmiFoul

Lineups

York United
3-4-3Coach: M. Eustáquio
Pacific FC
4-2-3-1Coach: T. Dunfield
Avg rating6.69
Avg rating6.53
Campos Ralston Kai Antonio6.517C. Ralston Kai Antonio
L. Singh6.73L. Singh
F. Sturing6.65F. Sturing
O. León6.54O. León
C. Guzmán6.48C. Guzmán
S. Yeates6.37S. Yeates
O. Bassett7.510O. Bassett
J. Córdova5.823J. Córdova
K. Clarke6.736K. Clarke
T. Skublak6.977T. Skublak
J. Almagro7.711J. Almagro
E. Himaras6.51E. Himaras
J. Heard6.211J. Heard
J. Quintana6.25J. Quintana
D. Konincks6.04D. Konincks
C. Greco-Taylor5.815C. Greco-Taylor
L. Browning-Lagerfeldt6.46L. Browning-Lagerfeldt
R. Juhmi6.366R. Juhmi
M. Bustos6.710M. Bustos
A. Daniels6.18A. Daniels
Y. Toualy8.064Y. Toualy
R. Kratt8.527R. Kratt

York United Substitutes

12I. Pavela
35C. Onyeocha76'for Tomasz Noah Skublak90+2'6.3
6R. López
13L. Accettola45'for Carlos Guzman59'7.6
21K. Kibato45'for Juan Córdova55'7.2
16M. Ferrari
28J. N. Costa64'for Kevonte Tyrique Jaaziah Clarke90+5'5.7

Pacific FC Substitutes

7K. Chung65'for Josh Heard6.0
9A. Díaz76'for R. Kratt85'7.8
16T. Gomulka
2T. Marshall88'for Y. Toualy90+3'5.6
55S. Melvin
37M. Vales76'for Marco Bustos5.9
99S. Hundal87'for Aidan Daniels6.5

Match Stats

York UnitedPacific FC
51%Ball Possession49%
8Corner Kicks3
6Yellow Cards4
19Total Shots13
8Shots on Goal7
10Shots off Goal2
14Shots Inside Box7
5Shots Outside Box6
1Blocked Shots4
22Fouls13
0Offsides4
4Goalkeeper Saves5
386Total Passes389
320Passes Accurate308
83%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

York UnitedYork United
Pacific FCPacific FC
1399Elo Rating 1309
1.11Attack 1.10
0.00Defense 0.00
17%Hit Rate 14%
11.5Shots per Game 9.3
3.2Shots on Target 2.3
4.5Corners per Game 2.5
2.8Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.92 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

York UnitedYork United
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Pacific FCPacific FC
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

York UnitedYork United5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
Pacific FCPacific FC2Wins · 20%
2.9Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Canadian Premier League08/08/2026
Pacific FCYork United
11
Canadian Premier League17/05/2026
Pacific FCYork United
01
Canadian Premier League10/10/2025
York UnitedPacific FC
22
Canadian Premier League24/08/2025
York UnitedPacific FC
51
Canadian Premier League15/06/2025
Pacific FCYork United
13
Canadian Premier League11/05/2025
Pacific FCYork United
21
Canadian Premier League24/10/2024
York UnitedPacific FC
20
Canadian Premier League11/10/2024
York UnitedPacific FC
12
Canadian Premier League03/08/2024
Pacific FCYork United
11
Canadian Premier League20/06/2024
York UnitedPacific FC
20

League Table

Canadian Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Cavalry FCCavalry FC28186458:23+3560WWDLL
2ForgeForge28177449:22+2758DWWWD
3Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa281341142:45-343LLWWW
4Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec281151247:50-338WWDWW
5Vancouver FCVancouver FC281071139:37+237LWDDD
6York UnitedYork United28791242:65-2330WLLLW
7HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC28771444:50-628LLDDL
8Pacific FCPacific FC28291733:62-2915DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Cavalry FCCavalry FC2858:2360
2ForgeForge2849:2258
3Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa2842:4543
4Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec2847:5038
5Vancouver FCVancouver FC2839:3737
6York UnitedYork United2842:6530
7HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC2844:5028
8Pacific FCPacific FC2833:6215

About the York United vs Pacific FC forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

York United and Pacific FC in the Canadian Premier League table

York United and Pacific FC are close in the Canadian Premier League table, 6th and 8th, with 15 points between them. League goal record so far: York United 42-65, Pacific FC 33-62. The full standings are on the Canadian Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.