Supra du Quebec vs HFX Wanderers FC Prediction

CEPSUM Stadium 12/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.24
SignalHIGHModel60%SurpriseMediumGap-5.1%
Value Analysis
59%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.76
SignalSOLIDModel59%SurpriseMediumGap+4.0%
Supra du Quebec Rest
5 days
HFX Wanderers FC Rest
5 days

Supra du Quebec vs HFX Wanderers FC: the result in context

HFX Wanderers FC beat Supra du Quebec 2-0 in the Canadian Premier League on 12 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
57%1.76
X
21%3.80
2
22%3.58
Double Chance
1X
78%1.24
X2
42%1.88
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.50
No
44%2.31
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.06 + 1.04 = 3.10
Over 1.5
79%1.15
Over 2.5
58%1.55
Over 3.5
36%2.35
Under 1.5
21%4.70
Under 2.5
42%2.30
Under 3.5
64%1.53
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

39'Charles AugusteFoul
40'Jason BahamboulaAssist: Ilan Ahmed Hassan
45'Charles Auguste INEliakim Matthieu Awonongbadje out
45+1'I. JohnstonAssist: Lorenzo Callegari
59'Zachary Brault Guillard INLoic Adrien Kwemi out
59'Noah Lauren Trudel dos Santos INIbrahim Conde out
63'S. Zitman INRyan Telfer out
73'Thomas Lebeuf INS. Mlah out
73'Omar El Kalkouli INAboubacar Sissoko out
74'Miguel Arilla Guinot INNelson Pierre out
87'I. Johnston INFrancesco Troisi out
88'Lucas Olguin INFinn Linder out
88'Jason Bahamboula INLiam MacKenzie out

Lineups

Supra du Quebec
4-2-3-1
HFX Wanderers FC
4-3-3Coach: V. Sartini
Avg rating6.54
Avg rating6.96
J. Milli6.432J. Milli
C. Auguste5.92C. Auguste
K. Ferdinand6.85K. Ferdinand
M. Chretien6.94M. Chretien
T. Lebeuf6.53T. Lebeuf
Alessandro Biello6.66A. Biello
O. El Kalkouli7.28O. El Kalkouli
Z. Brault-Guillard6.215Z. Brault-Guillard
S. Rea6.710S. Rea
D. Choinière7.07D. Choinière
N. Santos6.392N. Santos
M. Carducci7.41M. Carducci
Jefferson Alphonse6.921J. Alphonse
T. Meilleur-Giguère6.326T. Meilleur-Giguère
Kareem Sow7.016K. Sow
I. A. Hassan7.533I. A. Hassan
L. Callegari7.76L. Callegari
L. Olguin6.15L. Olguin
S. Zitman6.722S. Zitman
Miguel Arilla6.223M. Arilla
J. Bahamboula8.114J. Bahamboula
I. Johnston8.28I. Johnston

Supra du Quebec Substitutes

49E. Awonongbadje45'for Charles Auguste6.8
9L. Kwemi59'for Zachary Brault Guillard7.0
24S. Mlah73'for Thomas Lebeuf6.1
33A. Sissoko73'for Omar El Kalkouli6.0
23Z. Fernandez
80M. Diop
99I. Conde59'for Noah Lauren Trudel dos Santos6.4

HFX Wanderers FC Substitutes

25Liam Mackenzie88'for Jason Bahamboula6.8
20Tavio Ciccarelli
12S. Astridge
2F. Linder88'for Lucas Olguin6.5
27N. Pierre74'for Miguel Arilla Guinot6.9
7R. Telfer63'for S. Zitman6.6
17F. Troisi87'for I. Johnston6.5

Match Stats

Supra du QuebecHFX Wanderers FC
55%Ball Possession45%
1Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards0
21Total Shots11
3Shots on Goal6
13Shots off Goal4
14Shots Inside Box9
7Shots Outside Box2
5Blocked Shots1
17Fouls8
4Goalkeeper Saves3
554Total Passes476
498Passes Accurate420
8Free Kicks16

Team Comparison

Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec
HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC
1510Elo Rating 1439
2.48Attack 1.88
1.50Defense 1.11
63%Hit Rate 14%
17.0Shots per Game 11.2
5.8Shots on Target 3.7
5.5Corners per Game 4.6
2.3Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.11 goals
📈BTTS Trend
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec2Wins · 100%
Draws00%
HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC0Wins · 0%
4.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

Canadian Premier League25/07/2026
HFX Wanderers FCSupra du Quebec
23
Canadian Premier League25/04/2026
Supra du QuebecHFX Wanderers FC
21

Recent Form

Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec
2W4D4L
07/09/2026
Vancouver FCSupra du Quebec
32
L
02/09/2026
Supra du QuebecForge
11
D
29/08/2026
Supra du QuebecForge
10
W
23/08/2026
York UnitedSupra du Quebec
11
D
20/08/2026
ForgeSupra du Quebec
32
L
16/08/2026
Supra du QuebecAtlético Ottawa
12
L
12/08/2026
Atlético OttawaSupra du Quebec
33
D
09/08/2026
Supra du QuebecCavalry FC
11
D
01/08/2026
Pacific FCSupra du Quebec
12
W
29/07/2026
Cavalry FCSupra du Quebec
21
L
HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC
2W2D6L

League Table

Canadian Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Cavalry FCCavalry FC28186458:23+3560WWDLL
2ForgeForge28177449:22+2758DWWWD
3Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa281341142:45-343LLWWW
4Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec281151247:50-338WWDWW
5Vancouver FCVancouver FC281071139:37+237LWDDD
6York UnitedYork United28791242:65-2330WLLLW
7HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC28771444:50-628LLDDL
8Pacific FCPacific FC28291733:62-2915DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Cavalry FCCavalry FC2858:2360
2ForgeForge2849:2258
3Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa2842:4543
4Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec2847:5038
5Vancouver FCVancouver FC2839:3737
6York UnitedYork United2842:6530
7HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC2844:5028
8Pacific FCPacific FC2833:6215

About the Supra du Quebec vs HFX Wanderers FC forecast

The forecasts for this Canadian Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Supra du Quebec and HFX Wanderers FC in the Canadian Premier League table

In the Canadian Premier League table, Supra du Quebec are 4th and HFX Wanderers FC 7th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Supra du Quebec 47-50, HFX Wanderers FC 44-50. The full standings are on the Canadian Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Supra du Quebec have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Supra du Quebec and HFX Wanderers FC have met only 2 times recently, averaging 4.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.