Zenit vs Baltika Prediction

CupRussia Russia · Group Stage - 1
Zenit
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Baltika
Gazprom Arena, Saint Petersburg 05/08/2026
ZenitZenit
1-0
Finished
BaltikaBaltika

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
Value Analysis
81%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.36
SignalSTRONGModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+11.8%
Zenit Rest
3 days
Baltika Rest
4 days

Zenit vs Baltika: the result in context

Zenit beat Baltika 1-0 in the Cup on 5 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Zenit have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 1.5 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
82%1.36
X
11%4.65
2
7%8.84
Double Chance
1X
93%1.06
X2
19%3.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%2.39
No
56%1.51
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.31
Over 2.5
38%2.04
Over 3.5
18%3.47
Under 1.5
36%3.12
Under 2.5
62%1.79
Under 3.5
82%1.26
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'K. Andrade
42'I. Belikov
46'I. Kirsch INE. Anderson out
46'D. Nikitin INB. Gil out
54'D. Kondakov INY. Gorshkov out
62'E. Civic INS. Kovac out
62'V. Pospelov INS. Varatynov out
63'Luiz Henrique INPedrinho out
63'A. Erokhin INA. Sobolev out
70'K. Shiltsov INM. Beveev out
70'F. Moufi INM. Petrov out
72'R. Vega
79'V. Karavaev INI. Diveev out
79'V. Drkusic INGustavo Mantuan out
81'N. Alip

Lineups

Zenit
3-4-2-1Coach: Sergey Semak
Baltika
4-3-3Coach: Andrey Talalaev
Bogdan Moskvichev57B. Moskvichev
Vanja Drkušić6V. Drkušić
Kevin Andrade25K. Andrade
Nuraly Alip28N. Alip
Vyacheslav Karavaev15V. Karavaev
Alexandr Erokhin21A. Erokhin
Daniil Kondakov61D. Kondakov
Román Vega66R. Vega
Luiz Henrique11L. Henrique
Douglas Santos3D. Santos
Felipe Augusto9F. Augusto
Egor Lyubakov44E. Lyubakov
Fahd Moufi18F. Moufi
Loris Mouyokolo24L. Mouyokolo
Ilya Kirsch3I. Kirsch
Mikhail Ryadno68M. Ryadno
Ivan Belikov26I. Belikov
Vladislav Pospelov42V. Pospelov
Ilya Petrov10I. Petrov
Dmitriy Nikitin40D. Nikitin
Konstantin Shiltsov7K. Shiltsov
Eldar Ćivić77E. Ćivić

Zenit Substitutes

4Yuriy Gorshkov54'for D. Kondakov
20Pedro63'for Luiz Henrique
7Aleksandr Sobolev63'for A. Erokhin
78Igor Diveev79'for V. Karavaev
31Gustavo Mantuan79'for V. Drkusic
16Denis Adamov
71Daniil Odoevskiy
82Sergey Volkov
14Jhon Jhon
17Andrey Mostovoy
10Maksim Glushenkov
51Vadim Shilov

Baltika Substitutes

21Eduardo Anderson46'for I. Kirsch
91Brayan Gil46'for D. Nikitin
2Sergey Varatynov62'for V. Pospelov
14Stefan Kovač62'for E. Civic
22Mingiyan Beveev70'for K. Shiltsov
73Maksim Petrov70'for F. Moufi
1Evgeniy Latyshonok
81Ivan Kukushkin
43Nikita Bokov
8Andrey Mendel
11Nikolay Titkov
5Aymane Mourid

Team Comparison

ZenitZenit
BaltikaBaltika
1768Elo Rating 1573
2.63Attack 1.07
1.37Defense 2.22
100%Hit Rate 23%
14.3Shots per Game 10.2
6.0Shots on Target 2.5
7.0Corners per Game 5.5
2.5Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+195 Elo
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

ZenitZenit
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.9 in first half)
BaltikaBaltika
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

ZenitZenit6Wins · 75%
Draws113%
BaltikaBaltika1Wins · 12%
1.5Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored2 of 8
25%3+ goals2 of 8

Previous meetings

Cup03/03/2026
BaltikaZenit
01
Premier League27/02/2026
ZenitBaltika
10
Premier League14/09/2025
BaltikaZenit
00
Cup02/06/2024
BaltikaZenit
12
Premier League07/04/2024
Zenit Saint PetersburgBaltika
10
Premier League04/11/2023
BaltikaZenit Saint Petersburg
02
Cup03/10/2023
Zenit Saint PetersburgBaltika
21
Cup30/08/2023
BaltikaZenit Saint Petersburg
10

Recent Form

ZenitZenit
8W2D0L
02/08/2026
FC OrenburgZenit
03
W
25/07/2026
AkronZenit
05
W
18/07/2026
ZenitSpartak Moscow
4121
W
13/07/2026
ZenitDinamo Makhachkala
11
D
12/07/2026
ZenitFK Crvena Zvezda
31
W
08/07/2026
ZenitNeftchi
41
W
05/07/2026
ZenitGimnasia L.P.
11
D
01/07/2026
ZenitDinamo Makhachkala
20
W
17/05/2026
FC RostovZenit
01
W
10/05/2026
ZenitFC Sochi
21
W
BaltikaBaltika
3W2D5L
01/08/2026
BaltikaDynamo
21
W24/07/2026
CSKA MoscowBaltika
21
L
19/07/2026
FC KrasnodarBaltika
11
D
26/06/2026
AkronBaltika
01
W
26/06/2026
BaltikaVolga Ulyanovsk
30
W
17/05/2026
BaltikaDynamo
12
L
10/05/2026
LokomotivBaltika
10
L
02/05/2026
BaltikaRubin
01
L
27/04/2026
BaltikaAkron
01
L
23/04/2026
AkhmatBaltika
11
D

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About the Zenit vs Baltika forecast

The forecasts for this Cup match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Cup

More Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.