1. FC Magdeburg vs Karlsruher SC Prediction

Avnet Arena, Magdeburg·Felix Wagner 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalHIGHModel56%SurpriseMediumGap-4.9%
1. FC Magdeburg Rest
5 days
Karlsruher SC Rest
5 days

1. FC Magdeburg vs Karlsruher SC: the result in context

1. FC Magdeburg beat Karlsruher SC 6-1 in the 2. Bundesliga on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.6 a game across 8 meetings, with both teams scoring in 6. Referee Felix Wagner averages 5.81 cards a game, 1.04 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%1.80
X
23%3.99
2
26%3.77
Double Chance
1X
74%1.25
X2
49%1.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%1.44
No
35%2.60
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.72 + 1.37 = 3.09
Over 1.5
83%1.13
Over 2.5
62%1.46
Over 3.5
41%2.14
Under 1.5
17%5.50
Under 2.5
38%2.60
Under 3.5
59%1.67
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.2 = 10
Over 8.5
65%1.36
Over 9.5
53%1.64
Over 10.5
42%2.02
Under 8.5
35%2.79
Under 9.5
47%2.10
Under 10.5
58%1.72
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.4 = 4.3
Over 3.5
63%-
Over 4.5
44%-
Under 3.5
37%-
Under 4.5
56%-

Match Events

6'Mateusz ZukowskiFoul
9'Goal cancelledNoel Eichinger
37'Sandro TremouletFoul
39'Mateusz Zukowski(Penalty)
39'Barış AtikDissent
45'Sebastian Jung INRafael Pinto Pedrosa out
45'Noel Eichinger INLilian Egloff out
48'Penalty confirmedPierre Nadjombe
51'Mateusz Zukowski(Penalty)
54'Garcia MacNultyAssist: Barış Atik
56'Sandro Tremoulet INLouey Ben Farhat out
56'Viktor Bergh INDeniz Ofli out
59'Emmanuel IyohaAssist: Torben Müsel
64'Alexander Nollenberger INHerbert Bockhorn out
64'Mateusz Zukowski INRoko Simic out
66'Roko SimicAssist: Torben Müsel
73'Barış Atik INRichmond Tachie out
73'Torben Müsel INFalko Michel out
79'Kevin Wiethaup INTim Civeja out
80'Luka Hyryläinen INLeon Mergner out
82'Deniz OfliAssist: Shio Fukuda
90+3'Leon Mergner

Lineups

1. FC Magdeburg
4-3-3Coach: P. Sander
Karlsruher SC
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Senft
Avg rating7.09
Avg rating6.09
D. Reimann6.71D. Reimann
P. Nadjombe6.128P. Nadjombe
T. Müller7.05T. Müller
A. MacNulty8.03A. MacNulty
A. Nollenberger7.017A. Nollenberger
L. Hyryläinen6.438L. Hyryläinen
F. Chávez6.711F. Chávez
T. Müsel8.226T. Müsel
E. Iyoha8.28E. Iyoha
M. Żukowski7.222M. Żukowski
B. Atik7.523B. Atik
H. Bernat5.81H. Bernat
C. Kobald6.122C. Kobald
M. Franke5.828M. Franke
S. Trémoulet5.424S. Trémoulet
V. Bergh5.433V. Bergh
K. Wiethaup6.47K. Wiethaup
S. Väänänen6.46S. Väänänen
S. Jung5.92S. Jung
M. Wanitzek6.510M. Wanitzek
N. Eichinger5.911N. Eichinger
S. Fukuda6.913S. Fukuda

1. FC Magdeburg Substitutes

35Magnus Elias Baars
7H. Bockhorn64'for Alexander Nollenberger6.6
15D. Heber
6P. Jaeckel
30N. Kruth
33Leon Mergner80'replaced by Luka Hyryläinen90+3'
21F. Michel73'for Torben Müsel6.6
9R. Šimić64'for Mateusz Zukowski66'7.5
29R. Tachie73'for Barış Atik6.5

Karlsruher SC Substitutes

30R. Himmelmann
3D. Ofli56'for Viktor Bergh82'6.8
36Rafael Pinto Pedrosa45'for Sebastian Jung5.7
15Paul Scholl
26D. H. Zor
25L. Egloff45'for Noel Eichinger6.2
23T. Civeja79'for Kevin Wiethaup6.0
19Louey Ben Farhat56'for Sandro Tremoulet6.2
37J. Ponente

Match Stats

1. FC MagdeburgKarlsruher SC
51%Ball Possession49%
4Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards1
16Total Shots12
8Shots on Goal4
7Shots off Goal5
11Shots Inside Box9
5Shots Outside Box3
1Blocked Shots3
5Fouls14
2Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves2
440Total Passes425
360Passes Accurate358
14Free Kicks5

Team Comparison

1. FC Magdeburg1. FC Magdeburg
Karlsruher SCKarlsruher SC
1681Elo Rating 1576
2.79Attack 1.19
2.11Defense 0.40
61%Hit Rate 23%
16.0Shots per Game 13.6
7.0Shots on Target 4.9
4.2Corners per Game 4.9
1.0Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+105 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.08 goals
📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

1. FC Magdeburg1. FC Magdeburg
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 1.1 in first half)
Karlsruher SCKarlsruher SC
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

1. FC Magdeburg1. FC Magdeburg1Wins · 13%
Draws337%
Karlsruher SCKarlsruher SC4Wins · 50%
3.6Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored6 of 8
63%3+ goals5 of 8

Previous meetings

2. Bundesliga01/03/2026
1. FC MagdeburgKarlsruher SC
13
2. Bundesliga27/09/2025
Karlsruher SC1. FC Magdeburg
10
2. Bundesliga22/02/2025
Karlsruher SC1. FC Magdeburg
31
2. Bundesliga22/09/2024
1. FC MagdeburgKarlsruher SC
22
2. Bundesliga17/03/2024
Karlsruher SCFC Magdeburg
70
2. Bundesliga07/10/2023
FC MagdeburgKarlsruher SC
11
2. Bundesliga05/02/2023
FC MagdeburgKarlsruher SC
11
2. Bundesliga24/07/2022
Karlsruher SCFC Magdeburg
23

Recent Form

1. FC Magdeburg1. FC Magdeburg
5W2D3L
18/10/2026
Dynamo Dresden1. FC Magdeburg
20
L
10/10/2026
1. FC MagdeburgHannover 96
30
W
18/09/2026
SpVgg Greuther Fürth1. FC Magdeburg
11
D
12/09/2026
1. FC Magdeburg1. FC Kaiserslautern
30
W
06/09/2026
Hertha BSC1. FC Magdeburg
21
L
30/08/2026
1. FC MagdeburgHolstein Kiel
20
W
23/08/2026
Bahlinger SC1. FC Magdeburg
04
W
15/08/2026
VfL Osnabrück1. FC Magdeburg
03
W
08/08/2026
1. FC MagdeburgEintracht Braunschweig
16
L
01/08/2026
1. FC MagdeburgWest Ham
11
D
Karlsruher SCKarlsruher SC
4W2D4L
18/10/2026
Karlsruher SCSV Darmstadt 98
40
W
11/10/2026
FC St. PauliKarlsruher SC
20
L
02/10/2026
SV WehenKarlsruher SC
12
W
19/09/2026
Karlsruher SC1. FC Nürnberg
01
L
13/09/2026
Karlsruher SCEnergie Cottbus
03
L
04/09/2026
Hannover 96Karlsruher SC
22
D
29/08/2026
Karlsruher SCVfL Wolfsburg
25
L
21/08/2026
Preußen MünsterKarlsruher SC
12
W
15/08/2026
1. FC KaiserslauternKarlsruher SC
00
D
08/08/2026
Karlsruher SCArminia Bielefeld
21
W

Referee Profile

Felix Wagner61 matches

5.81Cards per match
5.56Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
26.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Felix Wagner5.81
Other referees4.77

5.81 cards a match, 1.04 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.77).

Cards come from 27 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

2. Bundesliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Hertha BSCHertha BSC981020:8+1225WDWWW
21. FC Nürnberg1. FC Nürnberg953121:12+918LDDWW
31. FC Kaiserslautern1. FC Kaiserslautern95319:4+518WWDWL
4VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg944123:14+916DWDWL
51. FC Magdeburg1. FC Magdeburg951320:12+816WLWDW
61. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim943216:16015DLDDW
7FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli926111:9+212DDWDW
8VfL OsnabrückVfL Osnabrück932414:15-111WLDDL
9Arminia BielefeldArminia Bielefeld932413:14-111LWWDL
10Eintracht BraunschweigEintracht Braunschweig931515:15010WLWLD
11Energie CottbusEnergie Cottbus924317:18-110DDLDW
12SpVgg Greuther FürthSpVgg Greuther Fürth923412:16-49LWLDD
13Holstein KielHolstein Kiel915310:11-18WDLDL
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum92256:10-48DLLLD
15Dynamo DresdenDynamo Dresden922511:18-78LWDLD
16Hannover 96Hannover 9692258:15-78LDLWL
17Karlsruher SCKarlsruher SC922511:20-98LWLLL
18SV Darmstadt 98SV Darmstadt 9892258:18-108DLWLW
PromotionRelegation

About the 1. FC Magdeburg vs Karlsruher SC forecast

The forecasts for this 2. Bundesliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

1. FC Magdeburg and Karlsruher SC in the 2. Bundesliga table

In the 2. Bundesliga table, 1. FC Magdeburg are 5th and Karlsruher SC 17th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: 1. FC Magdeburg 20-12, Karlsruher SC 11-20. The full standings are on the 2. Bundesliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

1. FC Magdeburg have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.