Hannover 96 vs FC St. Pauli Prediction

Hannover 96
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
FC St. Pauli
Heinz-von-Heiden-Arena , Hannover·Felix Prigan 17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
87%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.15
SignalSTRONGModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-0.1%
Hannover 96 Rest
7 days
FC St. Pauli Rest
6 days

Hannover 96 vs FC St. Pauli: the result in context

Hannover 96 and FC St. Pauli drew 1-1 in the 2. Bundesliga on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 8 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. FC St. Pauli tend to win more corners, 5.4 a game to 3.3 for Hannover 96.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.27
X
25%3.59
2
35%2.75
Double Chance
1X
65%1.41
X2
59%1.58
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%1.47
No
36%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.27 + 1.35 = 3.62
Over 1.5
86%1.15
Over 2.5
69%1.53
Over 3.5
48%2.40
Under 1.5
14%4.75
Under 2.5
31%2.25
Under 3.5
52%1.53
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4.7 = 10.4
Over 8.5
69%1.31
Over 9.5
57%1.56
Over 10.5
46%1.93
Under 8.5
31%2.97
Under 9.5
43%2.20
Under 10.5
54%1.79
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.3 = 4.5
Over 3.5
65%-
Over 4.5
46%-
Under 3.5
35%-
Under 4.5
54%-

Match Events

8'Husseyn ChakrounFoul
9'Goal cancelledHusseyn Chakroun
17'Stefán Teitur ThórdarsonFoul
45+1'Abdoulie CeesayAssist: Louis Oppie
48'Husseyn Chakroun
62'Youssoupha Niang INMartijn Kaars out
62'Mathias Rasmussen INSamuel Klein out
68'Kolja Oudenne INBenedikt Pichler out
75'Husseyn Chakroun INHayate Matsuda out
78'Marcel Hartel INBastian Allgeier out
85'Abdoulie Ceesay INRicky-Jade Jones out
86'Connor Metcalfe INBranimir Hrgota out
90+2'Joel Chima FujitaFoul
90+4'Ricky-Jade Jones INTaichi Hara out

Lineups

Hannover 96
4-4-2Coach: S. Wagner
FC St. Pauli
3-4-2-1Coach: M. Rapp
Avg rating6.65
Avg rating6.82
L. Weinkauf7.430L. Weinkauf
V. Ghiță6.55V. Ghiță
B. Tomiak7.23B. Tomiak
J. Hugonet7.34J. Hugonet
M. Neubauer6.133M. Neubauer
H. Chakroun7.214H. Chakroun
W. Taïbi6.38W. Taïbi
S. Þórðarson6.323S. Þórðarson
K. Oudenne6.729K. Oudenne
B. Källman6.59B. Källman
M. Hartel6.410M. Hartel
B. Voll7.01B. Voll
D. Nemeth7.34D. Nemeth
E. Smith7.18E. Smith
L. Ritzka6.921L. Ritzka
A. Pyrka6.711A. Pyrka
M. Rasmussen6.420M. Rasmussen
J. Fujita6.716J. Fujita
L. Oppie7.323L. Oppie
Y. Niang6.27Y. Niang
C. Metcalfe6.324C. Metcalfe
Abdoulie Ceesay7.89A. Ceesay

Hannover 96 Substitutes

17B. Allgeier78'for Marcel Hartel6.4
28Taycan Macid Etcibasi
1P. Loretz
27H. Matsuda75'for Husseyn Chakroun6.3
20I. Okon
11B. Pichler68'for Kolja Oudenne6.6
38Jasper Reinhold
13F. Roggow
44E. Sahiti

FC St. Pauli Substitutes

22Samuel Klein62'for Mathias Rasmussen7.2
33D. Mitov
19M. Kaars62'for Youssoupha Niang6.6
26R. Jones85'for Abdoulie Ceesay90+4'for Taichi Hara6.5
10B. Hrgota86'for Connor Metcalfe6.5
18T. Hara90+4'replaced by Ricky-Jade Jones
25A. Dźwigała
15T. Ando
14E. Ahlstrand

Match Stats

Hannover 96FC St. Pauli
43%Ball Possession57%
3Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards1
13Total Shots15
4Shots on Goal6
8Shots off Goal2
10Shots Inside Box7
3Shots Outside Box8
1Blocked Shots7
11Fouls11
4Offsides2
5Goalkeeper Saves3
417Total Passes558
323Passes Accurate470
10Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

Hannover 96Hannover 96
FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
1684Elo Rating 1599
1.11Attack 0.93
1.24Defense 2.61
19%Hit Rate 34%
12.1Shots per Game 14.5
4.5Shots on Target 4.0
3.3Corners per Game 5.4
2.3Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.62 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Hannover 96Hannover 96
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Hannover 96Hannover 963Wins · 38%
Draws225%
FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli3Wins · 37%
2.6Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored4 of 8
63%3+ goals5 of 8

Previous meetings

2. Bundesliga21/04/2024
Hannover 96FC St. Pauli
12
2. Bundesliga10/11/2023
FC St. PauliHannover 96
00
2. Bundesliga05/02/2023
FC St. PauliHannover 96
20
2. Bundesliga23/07/2022
Hannover 96FC St. Pauli
22
2. Bundesliga20/02/2022
FC St. PauliHannover 96
03
2. Bundesliga11/09/2021
Hannover 96FC St. Pauli
10
2. Bundesliga16/05/2021
FC St. PauliHannover 96
12
2. Bundesliga16/01/2021
Hannover 96FC St. Pauli
23

Recent Form

Hannover 96Hannover 96
5W1D4L
10/10/2026
1. FC MagdeburgHannover 96
30
L
03/10/2026
Hannover 96Verl
20
W
20/09/2026
Hannover 96VfL Bochum
21
W
11/09/2026
1. FC NürnbergHannover 96
21
L
04/09/2026
Hannover 96Karlsruher SC
22
D
30/08/2026
SV Darmstadt 98Hannover 96
01
W
22/08/2026
HemelingenHannover 96
19
W
16/08/2026
Hannover 96VfL Wolfsburg
01
L
09/08/2026
Energie CottbusHannover 96
31
L
01/08/2026
Hannover 96PEC Zwolle
30
W
FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
2W6D2L
11/10/2026
FC St. PauliKarlsruher SC
20
W
03/10/2026
FC St. PauliBorussia Mönchengladbach
11
D
20/09/2026
Energie CottbusFC St. Pauli
11
D
12/09/2026
FC St. PauliVfL Wolfsburg
10
W
04/09/2026
Arminia BielefeldFC St. Pauli
22
D
30/08/2026
FC St. Pauli1. FC Kaiserslautern
12
L
23/08/2026
Rot-Weiß EssenFC St. Pauli
20
L
14/08/2026
Holstein KielFC St. Pauli
22
D
09/08/2026
FC St. PauliSpVgg Greuther Fürth
11
D
01/08/2026
FC St. PauliDeportivo La Coruna
22
D

Referee Profile

Felix Prigan87 matches

4.89Cards per match
4.73Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
22.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Felix Prigan4.89
Other referees4.82

4.89 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.82).

Cards come from 45 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

2. Bundesliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Hertha BSCHertha BSC981020:8+1225WDWWW
21. FC Nürnberg1. FC Nürnberg953121:12+918LDDWW
31. FC Kaiserslautern1. FC Kaiserslautern95319:4+518WWDWL
4VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg944123:14+916DWDWL
51. FC Magdeburg1. FC Magdeburg951320:12+816WLWDW
61. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim943216:16015DLDDW
7FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli926111:9+212DDWDW
8VfL OsnabrückVfL Osnabrück932414:15-111WLDDL
9Arminia BielefeldArminia Bielefeld932413:14-111LWWDL
10Eintracht BraunschweigEintracht Braunschweig931515:15010WLWLD
11Energie CottbusEnergie Cottbus924317:18-110DDLDW
12SpVgg Greuther FürthSpVgg Greuther Fürth923412:16-49LWLDD
13Holstein KielHolstein Kiel915310:11-18WDLDL
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum92256:10-48DLLLD
15Dynamo DresdenDynamo Dresden922511:18-78LWDLD
16Hannover 96Hannover 9692258:15-78LDLWL
17Karlsruher SCKarlsruher SC922511:20-98LWLLL
18SV Darmstadt 98SV Darmstadt 9892258:18-108DLWLW
PromotionRelegation

About the Hannover 96 vs FC St. Pauli forecast

The forecasts for this 2. Bundesliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Hannover 96 and FC St. Pauli in the 2. Bundesliga table

In the 2. Bundesliga table, FC St. Pauli are 7th and Hannover 96 16th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Hannover 96 8-15, FC St. Pauli 11-9. The full standings are on the 2. Bundesliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.