Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld Prediction
Germany · Regular Season - 9
Olympiastadion, Berlin·Cristian Ballweg 24/10/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalHIGHModel56%SurpriseMediumGap-6.3%
Hertha BSC Rest
7 days
Arminia Bielefeld Rest
5 days
Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld: the result in context
Hertha BSC beat Arminia Bielefeld 1-0 in the 2. Bundesliga on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 6 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
150%1.76
X24%3.96
226%3.95
Double Chance
1X75%1.22
X250%2.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes62%1.47
No38%2.49
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.63 + 1.14 = 2.77
Over 1.581%1.14
Over 2.559%1.50
Over 3.538%2.25
Under 1.519%5.20
Under 2.541%2.43
Under 3.562%1.62
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.3 = 9.8
Over 8.562%1.27
Over 9.550%1.50
Over 10.539%1.87
Under 8.538%3.20
Under 9.550%2.35
Under 10.561%1.87
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.8 = 4.9
Over 3.572%-
Over 4.554%-
Under 3.528%-
Under 4.546%-
Match Events
33'Jonas Thomas KerskenTime wasting
41'Joel FelixFoul
64'Oluwaseun Adewumi INFarid Alfa-Ruprecht out
64'Deyovaisio Zeefuik INJulian Eitschberger out
64'Sebastian Gronning INJan Luca Schuler out
76'Marius Worl INJannik Rochelt out
76'Leon Jensen INSam Schreck out
78'Paul SeguinFoul
80'Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson INSoufian Gouram out
82'Joel Felix INLeon Schneider out
82'Monju Thaddäus Momuluh INHenri Koudossou out
85'Goal cancelledJan Luca Schuler
87'Kevin Sessa INSelim Telib out
89'Joel Grodowski INTim Handwerker out
90+2'Josip Brekalo(Penalty)
Lineups
Hertha BSCArminia Bielefeld
5-3-2Coach: Oliver KirchAvg ratingAvg rating
35M. Gersbeck
42D. Zeefuik
44L. Gechter
27N. Kolbe
22M. Pedersen
30P. Seguin
8K. Sessa
19O. Adewumi
23J. Þorsteinsson
7J. Brekalo
17S. Grønning
1J. Kersken
2F. Hagmann
19M. Großer
5M. Bauer
3J. Felix
17A. Sicker
31L. Jensen
21S. Russo
38M. Wörl
14M. Momuluh
11J. GrodowskiHertha BSC Substitutes
20Farid Alfa-Ruprecht64'for Oluwaseun Adewumi
2J. Eitschberger64'for Deyovaisio Zeefuik
43T. Goller
33S. Gouram80'for Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson
34M. Grothe
41P. Klemens
28Jelani Isi Ndi
18L. Schuler64'for Sebastian Gronning
47Selim Telib87'for Kevin Sessa
Arminia Bielefeld Substitutes
27Benjamin Bediako Boakye
29T. Handwerker89'for Joel Grodowski
7H. Koudossou82'for Monju Thaddäus Momuluh
6M. Mehlem
18L. Oppermann
10J. Rochelt76'for Marius Worl
23L. Schneider82'for Joel Felix
8S. Schreck76'for Leon Jensen
30I. Young
Match Stats
Hertha BSCArminia Bielefeld 71%Ball Possession29%
4Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards2
15Total Shots6
4Shots on Goal1
8Shots off Goal3
11Shots Inside Box2
4Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots2
11Fouls11
1Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves2
596Total Passes243
496Passes Accurate135
10Free Kicks10
Team Comparison
Hertha BSCArminia Bielefeld1742Elo Rating 1631
1.41Attack 1.13
2.50Defense 1.89
77%Hit Rate 42%
18.6Shots per Game 10.6
7.1Shots on Target 2.2
5.0Corners per Game 4.6
1.7Cards per Game 2.6
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+110 Elo
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Hertha BSC- Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.2 in first half)
Arminia Bielefeld- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 6 meetings, all competitions
Hertha BSC1Wins · 17%Draws350%
Arminia Bielefeld2Wins · 33%
2Wins · 33%2.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored3 of 6
17%3+ goals1 of 6
Previous meetings
17/05/2026Arminia BielefeldHertha BSC61
19/12/2025Hertha BSCArminia Bielefeld11
30/04/2022Arminia BielefeldHertha Berlin11
11/12/2021Hertha BerlinArminia Bielefeld20
09/05/2021Hertha BerlinArminia Bielefeld00
10/01/2021Arminia BielefeldHertha Berlin10
Recent Form
Hertha BSC8W2D0L
16/10/2026
Holstein KielHertha BSCHertha BSC
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Dynamo DresdenHertha BSC
FC SaarbrückenHertha BSCHertha BSC
1. FC Heidenheim
Holstein KielHertha BSC00
D11/10/2026Hertha BSCSpVgg Greuther Fürth21
W02/10/2026
FC AugsburgHertha BSC
FC AugsburgHertha BSC22
D29/09/2026
Hertha ZehlendorfHertha BSC
19/09/2026Hertha ZehlendorfHertha BSC13
WDynamo DresdenHertha BSC12
W13/09/2026
VfL OsnabrückHertha BSC
VfL OsnabrückHertha BSC13
W06/09/2026Hertha BSC
1. FC Magdeburg
Hertha BSC1. FC Magdeburg21
W28/08/2026
Eintracht BraunschweigHertha BSC
22/08/2026Eintracht BraunschweigHertha BSC35
WFC SaarbrückenHertha BSC2141
W15/08/2026Hertha BSC1. FC Heidenheim41
WArminia Bielefeld3W3D4L
18/10/2026Arminia BielefeldVfL Osnabrück
VfL BochumArminia BielefeldArminia Bielefeld1. FC Heidenheim
SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachArminia Bielefeld
Karlsruher SCArminia Bielefeld
Arminia BielefeldVfL Osnabrück21
W11/10/2026VfL BochumArminia Bielefeld01
W03/10/2026Arminia Bielefeld
Rot-Weiß Essen
20/09/2026Arminia BielefeldRot-Weiß Essen22
DArminia Bielefeld1. FC Heidenheim22
D11/09/2026
SV Darmstadt 98Arminia Bielefeld
SV Darmstadt 98Arminia Bielefeld21
L04/09/2026Arminia Bielefeld
FC St. Pauli
Arminia BielefeldFC St. Pauli22
D29/08/2026
1. FC NürnbergArminia Bielefeld
22/08/20261. FC NürnbergArminia Bielefeld41
LSG Sonnenhof GrossaspachArminia Bielefeld3202
L16/08/2026Arminia Bielefeld
Energie Cottbus
08/08/2026Arminia BielefeldEnergie Cottbus30
WKarlsruher SCArminia Bielefeld21
LReferee Profile
4.28Cards per match
4.13Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
22.4Fouls per match
Strictness
Stricter than 41% of referees analysed
Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.
League Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 20:8 | +12 | 25 | WDWWW |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21:12 | +9 | 18 | LDDWW |
| 3 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 9:4 | +5 | 18 | WWDWL |
| 4 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23:14 | +9 | 16 | DWDWL |
| 5 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20:12 | +8 | 16 | WLWDW |
| 6 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:16 | 0 | 15 | DLDDW |
| 7 | FC St. Pauli | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 11:9 | +2 | 12 | DDWDW |
| 8 | VfL Osnabrück | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 11 | WLDDL |
| 9 | Arminia Bielefeld | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 | LWWDL |
| 10 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 10 | WLWLD |
| 11 | Energie Cottbus | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 17:18 | -1 | 10 | DDLDW |
| 12 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 9 | LWLDD |
| 13 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 | WDLDL |
| 14 | VfL Bochum | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 | DLLLD |
| 15 | Dynamo Dresden | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 | LWDLD |
| 16 |  Hannover 96 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 | LDLWL |
| 17 | Karlsruher SC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:20 | -9 | 8 | LWLLL |
| 18 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:18 | -10 | 8 | DLWLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 9 | 20:8 | 25 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 9 | 21:12 | 18 |
| 3 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 9 | 9:4 | 18 |
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 9 | 23:14 | 16 |
| 5 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 9 | 20:12 | 16 |
| 6 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 9 | 16:16 | 15 |
| 7 | FC St. Pauli | 9 | 11:9 | 12 |
| 8 | VfL Osnabrück | 9 | 14:15 | 11 |
| 9 | Arminia Bielefeld | 9 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 10 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 9 | 15:15 | 10 |
| 11 | Energie Cottbus | 9 | 17:18 | 10 |
| 12 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 9 | 12:16 | 9 |
| 13 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | 10:11 | 8 |
| 14 | VfL Bochum | 9 | 6:10 | 8 |
| 15 | Dynamo Dresden | 9 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 16 | Hannover 96 | 9 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 17 | Karlsruher SC | 9 | 11:20 | 8 |
| 18 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 9 | 8:18 | 8 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More 2. Bundesliga matches
- Hannover 96 vs FC St. Pauli 17/10/26
- Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Osnabrück 18/10/26
- Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg 18/10/26
- SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli 23/10/26
- 1. FC Heidenheim vs Energie Cottbus 24/10/26
- 1. FC Magdeburg vs Karlsruher SC 24/10/26
- 1. FC Nürnberg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern 24/10/26
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs Hannover 96 25/10/26
About the Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld forecast
The forecasts for this 2. Bundesliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Hertha BSC and Arminia Bielefeld in the 2. Bundesliga table
In the 2. Bundesliga table, Hertha BSC are 1st and Arminia Bielefeld 9th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: Hertha BSC 20-8, Arminia Bielefeld 13-14. The full standings are on the 2. Bundesliga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.