FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC Prediction
Germany · Regular Season - 7
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.21
SignalGOODModel56%SurpriseMediumGap-9.2%
FC St. Pauli Rest
7 days
Karlsruher SC Rest
9 days
FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC: result, form and history
FC St. Pauli beat Karlsruher SC 2-0 in the 2. Bundesliga on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 8 previous meetings averaged 3.4 goals, and both sides scored in 6 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
151%1.70
X22%4.20
227%4.20
Double Chance
1X73%1.21
X249%2.11
Both Teams to Score
Yes63%1.46
No37%2.55
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.5 + 1.5 = 3.00
Over 1.584%1.10
Over 2.564%1.44
Over 3.543%2.10
Under 1.516%5.75
Under 2.536%2.70
Under 3.557%1.70
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.4 = 9.9
Over 8.567%1.24
Over 9.555%1.48
Over 10.544%1.81
Under 8.533%3.34
Under 9.545%2.38
Under 10.556%1.85
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.4 = 4.6
Over 3.568%-
Over 4.549%-
Under 3.532%-
Under 4.551%-
Match Events
32'Abdoulie CeesayAssist: Connor Metcalfe
34'Sandro TremouletFoul
48'Marvin WanitzekFoul
51'Lars RitzkaAssist: Eric Smith
68'Youssoupha Niang INMartijn Kaars out
68'Rafael Pinto Pedrosa INKevin Wiethaup out
70'Louey Ben Farhat INLilian Egloff out
70'Sandro Tremoulet INSebastian Jung out
70'Viktor Bergh INJason Ponente-Ramirez out
73'Abdoulie Ceesay INRicky-Jade Jones out
73'Mathias Rasmussen INSamuel Klein out
80'Danyal Hakan Zor INTim Civeja out
82'Connor Metcalfe INBranimir Hrgota out
82'Lars Ritzka INAdam Dźwigała out
87'Branimir HrgotaFoul
Lineups
FC St. PauliKarlsruher SC
3-5-2Coach: M. SenftAvg ratingAvg rating
1B. Voll
11A. Pyrka
4D. Nemeth
21L. Ritzka
23L. Oppie
8E. Smith
24C. Metcalfe
20M. Rasmussen
16J. Fujita
7Y. Niang
9A. Ceesay
1H. Bernat
28M. Franke
22C. Kobald
24S. Trémoulet
36R. Pinto Pedrosa
10M. Wanitzek
26D. H. Zor
33V. Bergh
3D. Ofli
13S. Fukuda
19L. Ben FarhatFC St. Pauli Substitutes
33D. Mitov
22Samuel Klein73'for Mathias Rasmussen
14E. Ahlstrand
17S. Banks
25A. Dźwigała82'for Lars Ritzka
18T. Hara
10B. Hrgota82'for Connor Metcalfe87'
26R. Jones73'for Abdoulie Ceesay
19M. Kaars68'for Youssoupha Niang
Karlsruher SC Substitutes
25L. Egloff70'for Louey Ben Farhat
30R. Himmelmann
2S. Jung70'for Sandro Tremoulet
15Paul Scholl
6S. Väänänen
23T. Civeja80'for Danyal Hakan Zor
7K. Wiethaup68'for Rafael Pinto Pedrosa
11N. Eichinger
37J. Ponente70'for Viktor Bergh
Match Stats
FC St. PauliKarlsruher SC 46%Ball Possession54%
6Corner Kicks9
1Yellow Cards2
13Total Shots12
6Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal3
7Shots Inside Box9
6Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots4
12Fouls15
4Offsides2
5Goalkeeper Saves4
409Total Passes472
322Passes Accurate375
79%Pass Accuracy79%
Team Comparison
FC St. PauliKarlsruher SC1599Elo Rating 1576
0.93Attack 1.19
2.61Defense 0.40
34%Hit Rate 23%
14.5Shots per Game 13.6
4.0Shots on Target 4.9
5.4Corners per Game 4.9
2.3Cards per Game 1.5
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy3 goals
📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
FC St. Pauli- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
Karlsruher SC- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
FC St. Pauli3Wins · 38%Draws337%
Karlsruher SC2Wins · 25%
2Wins · 25%3.4Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored6 of 8
75%3+ goals6 of 8
Previous meetings
06/04/2024Karlsruher SCFC St. Pauli21
28/10/2023FC St. PauliKarlsruher SC21
28/05/2023FC St. PauliKarlsruher SC11
12/11/2022Karlsruher SCFC St. Pauli44
05/03/2022FC St. PauliKarlsruher SC31
25/09/2021Karlsruher SCFC St. Pauli13
06/03/2021Karlsruher SCFC St. Pauli00
08/11/2020FC St. PauliKarlsruher SC03
Recent Form
FC St. Pauli1W6D3L
03/10/2026FC St. Pauli
Borussia Mönchengladbach
FC St. PauliBorussia Mönchengladbach11
D20/09/2026
Energie CottbusFC St. Pauli
12/09/2026Energie CottbusFC St. Pauli11
DFC St. Pauli
VfL Wolfsburg10
W04/09/2026
Arminia BielefeldFC St. Pauli
Arminia BielefeldFC St. Pauli22
D30/08/2026FC St. Pauli
1. FC Kaiserslautern
FC St. Pauli1. FC Kaiserslautern12
L23/08/2026
Rot-Weiß EssenFC St. Pauli
Rot-Weiß EssenFC St. Pauli20
L14/08/2026
Holstein KielFC St. Pauli
Holstein KielFC St. Pauli22
D09/08/2026FC St. Pauli
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
FC St. PauliSpVgg Greuther Fürth11
D01/08/2026FC St. Pauli
Deportivo La Coruna
FC St. PauliDeportivo La Coruna22
D24/07/2026
BournemouthFC St. Pauli
BournemouthFC St. Pauli41
LKarlsruher SC3W2D5L
02/10/2026
SV WehenKarlsruher SC
19/09/2026SV WehenKarlsruher SC12
WKarlsruher SC
1. FC Nürnberg01
L13/09/2026Karlsruher SCEnergie Cottbus03
L04/09/2026
Hannover 96Karlsruher SC
Hannover 96Karlsruher SC22
D29/08/2026Karlsruher SCVfL Wolfsburg
Karlsruher SCVfL Wolfsburg25
L21/08/2026
Preußen MünsterKarlsruher SC
15/08/2026Preußen MünsterKarlsruher SC12
W1. FC KaiserslauternKarlsruher SC00
D08/08/2026Karlsruher SCArminia Bielefeld21
W01/08/2026
1899 HoffenheimKarlsruher SC
1899 HoffenheimKarlsruher SC30
L26/07/2026Karlsruher SC
Inter
Karlsruher SCInter12
LReferee Profile
4.74Cards per match
4.41Yellow cards per match
0.33Red cards per match
26.7Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.74 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.73).
Cards come from 69 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 20:8 | +12 | 25 | WDWWW |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21:12 | +9 | 18 | LDDWW |
| 3 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 9:4 | +5 | 18 | WWDWL |
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23:14 | +9 | 16 | DWDWL |
| 5 |  1. FC Magdeburg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20:12 | +8 | 16 | WLWDW |
| 6 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:16 | 0 | 15 | DLDDW |
| 7 | FC St. Pauli | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 11:9 | +2 | 12 | DDWDW |
| 8 |  VfL Osnabrück | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 11 | WLDDL |
| 9 | Arminia Bielefeld | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 | LWWDL |
| 10 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 10 | WLWLD |
| 11 | Energie Cottbus | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 17:18 | -1 | 10 | DDLDW |
| 12 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 9 | LWLDD |
| 13 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 | WDLDL |
| 14 |  VfL Bochum | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 | DLLLD |
| 15 |  Dynamo Dresden | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 | LWDLD |
| 16 | Hannover 96 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 | LDLWL |
| 17 | Karlsruher SC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:20 | -9 | 8 | LWLLL |
| 18 |  SV Darmstadt 98 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:18 | -10 | 8 | DLWLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 9 | 20:8 | 25 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 9 | 21:12 | 18 |
| 3 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 9 | 9:4 | 18 |
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 9 | 23:14 | 16 |
| 5 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 9 | 20:12 | 16 |
| 6 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 9 | 16:16 | 15 |
| 7 | FC St. Pauli | 9 | 11:9 | 12 |
| 8 | VfL Osnabrück | 9 | 14:15 | 11 |
| 9 | Arminia Bielefeld | 9 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 10 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 9 | 15:15 | 10 |
| 11 | Energie Cottbus | 9 | 17:18 | 10 |
| 12 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 9 | 12:16 | 9 |
| 13 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | 10:11 | 8 |
| 14 | VfL Bochum | 9 | 6:10 | 8 |
| 15 | Dynamo Dresden | 9 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 16 | Hannover 96 | 9 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 17 | Karlsruher SC | 9 | 11:20 | 8 |
| 18 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 9 | 8:18 | 8 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More 2. Bundesliga matches
- 1. FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern 09/10/26
- SV Darmstadt 98 vs Energie Cottbus 10/10/26
- 1. FC Magdeburg vs Hannover 96 10/10/26
- 1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg 10/10/26
- VfL Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld 11/10/26
- Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth 11/10/26
- Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg 16/10/26
- Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC 16/10/26
About the FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
FC St. Pauli and Karlsruher SC in the 2. Bundesliga table
In the 2. Bundesliga table, FC St. Pauli are 7th and Karlsruher SC 17th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: FC St. Pauli 11-9, Karlsruher SC 11-20. The full standings are on the 2. Bundesliga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.