AC Oulu vs Gnistan Prediction

AC Oulu
0-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Gnistan
Raatin stadion, Oulu·Antti Munukka, Finland 18/07/2026
AC OuluAC Oulu
0-2
Finished
GnistanGnistan

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.37
SignalGOODModel38%SurpriseMediumGap-1.5%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.37
SignalGOODModel31%SurpriseMediumGap+4.3%
AC Oulu Rest
7 days
Gnistan Rest
7 days

AC Oulu vs Gnistan: the result in context

Gnistan beat AC Oulu 2-0 in the Veikkausliiga on 18 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Gnistan have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 3.5 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.23
X
32%3.45
2
29%2.93
Double Chance
1X
71%1.37
X2
61%1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.60
No
42%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.47 + 1.32 = 2.79
Over 1.5
76%1.22
Over 2.5
52%1.73
Over 3.5
29%2.75
Under 1.5
24%4.00
Under 2.5
48%2.08
Under 3.5
71%1.40
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

27'K. JattaFoul
31'J. LatonenAssist: E. Arko-Mensah
53'K. JattaFoul
53'K. JattaFoul
61'A. Kone INL. Ghezali out
66'J. PaananenFoul
71'A. AkinyemiAssist: S. Ylatupa
71'S. Ylatupa INA. Atarah out
74'I. Mendolin INJ. Omotayo out
81'A. Akinyemi INS. Eremenko out
81'J. Latonen IND. Perez out
83'A. ObileyeUnsportsmanlike conduct
84'J. Omotayo INN. Jokelainen out
84'J. Paananen INM. Ojala out
90+1'A. AtarahFoul

Lineups

AC Oulu
4-3-3Coach: Mikko Isokangas
Gnistan
4-4-2Coach: Jussi Leppalahti
Miguel Santos13M. Santos
Santeri Silander29S. Silander
Alex Lietsa3A. Lietsa
Juha Pirinen66J. Pirinen
Tuomas Kaukua22T. Kaukua
Iiro Mendolin21I. Mendolin
Rasmus Karjalainen7R. Karjalainen
Julius Paananen6J. Paananen
Kalifa  Jatta20K. Jatta
Abdoulaye Koné32A. Koné
Elias Kallio27E. Kallio
Alexandro Craninx1A. Craninx
Otto Hannula27O. Hannula
Marcelo Costa4M. Costa
Rachide Gnanou24R. Gnanou
Ayo Obileye67A. Obileye
Saku Ylätupa23S. Ylätupa
Adam Jouhi31A. Jouhi
Gabriel Europaeus15G. Europaeus
Edmund Arko-Mensah12E. Arko-Mensah
Adeleke Akinyemi17A. Akinyemi
Joakim Latonen10J. Latonen

AC Oulu Substitutes

12Johannes Pentti
2Sami Sipola
16Otto Kemppainen
46Macar Ajoung
18Adramane Cassama
19Joel Omotayo74'for I. Mendolin84'for N. Jokelainen
8Matias Ojala84'for J. Paananen
11Lamine Ghezali61'replaced by A. Kone
14Niklas Jokelainen84'replaced by J. Omotayo

Gnistan Substitutes

13Oskar Lyberopoulos
40Juhani Ojala
2Benjamin Dahlström
14Sergei Eremenko81'for A. Akinyemi
7Artur Atarah71'for S. Ylatupa90+1'
11Danny Pérez81'for J. Latonen

Team Comparison

AC OuluAC Oulu
GnistanGnistan
1599Elo Rating 1589
2.07Attack 1.62
1.69Defense 0.11
63%Hit Rate 0%
12.9Shots per Game 14.2
4.3Shots on Target 4.9
4.3Corners per Game 6.0
2.1Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

AC OuluAC Oulu
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
GnistanGnistan
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

AC OuluAC Oulu1Wins · 17%
Draws117%
GnistanGnistan4Wins · 66%
3.5Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored4 of 6
50%3+ goals3 of 6

Previous meetings

Veikkausliiga04/04/2026
GnistanAC Oulu
15
Veikkausliiga25/08/2025
GnistanAC Oulu
32
Veikkausliiga10/05/2025
AC OuluGnistan
23
Veikkausliiga27/09/2024
GnistanAC Oulu
10
Veikkausliiga18/08/2024
GnistanAC Oulu
20
Veikkausliiga11/05/2024
AC OuluGnistan
11

Recent Form

AC OuluAC Oulu
5W2D3L
11/07/2026
Turku PSAC Oulu
30
L
27/06/2026
AC OuluLahti
11
D
23/06/2026
VPSAC Oulu
51
L
18/06/2026
AC OuluMariehamn
21
W
13/06/2026
Inter TurkuAC Oulu
00
D
31/05/2026
AC OuluFF Jaro
21
W
23/05/2026
SJKAC Oulu
01
W
16/05/2026
AC OuluTurku PS
10
W
08/05/2026
IlvesAC Oulu
10
L
02/05/2026
AC OuluKuPS
20
W
GnistanGnistan
5W3D2L
11/07/2026
GnistanMariehamn
42
W
04/07/2026
LahtiGnistan
10
L
27/06/2026
GnistanVPS
11
D
23/06/2026
FF JaroGnistan
11
D
17/06/2026
GnistanLahti
10
W
13/06/2026
MariehamnGnistan
03
W
30/05/2026
GnistanSJK
32
W
23/05/2026
IlvesGnistan
20
L
16/05/2026
GnistanFF Jaro
50
W
09/05/2026
VPSGnistan
11
D

Referee Profile

Antti Munukka132 matches

4.10Cards per match
4.00Yellow cards per match
0.10Red cards per match
20.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Antti Munukka4.10
Other referees3.93

4.10 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.93).

Cards come from 42 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Veikkausliiga 2026

Veikkausliiga

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1KuPSKuPS22127338:23+1543LLDDW
2Inter TurkuInter Turku22119229:16+1342WWLWL
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki22114736:27+937DWWDW
4GnistanGnistan22106636:29+736WLDLL
5AC OuluAC Oulu22104825:25034DWDWW
6VPSVPS2296729:22+733LLDLL
7LahtiLahti2295826:19+732WLDLW
8Turku PSTurku PS2287728:23+531LLLLD
9IlvesIlves22741134:37-325WDWWW
10SJKSJK22471125:33-819LWWDD
11FF JaroFF Jaro22361318:44-2615DWDDL
12MariehamnMariehamn22351417:43-2614DDLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1KuPSKuPS2238:2343
2Inter TurkuInter Turku2229:1642
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki2236:2737
4GnistanGnistan2236:2936
5AC OuluAC Oulu2225:2534
6VPSVPS2229:2233
7LahtiLahti2226:1932
8Turku PSTurku PS2228:2331
9IlvesIlves2234:3725
10SJKSJK2225:3319
11FF JaroFF Jaro2218:4415
12MariehamnMariehamn2217:4314

Champion Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Inter TurkuInter Turku321710543:27+1661WWLWL
2HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki32178766:39+2759DWWDW
3KuPSKuPS321411746:33+1353LLDDW
4AC OuluAC Oulu321461241:40+148DWDWW
5GnistanGnistan3212101052:47+546WLDLL
6VPSVPS321171432:43-1140LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Inter TurkuInter Turku3243:2761
2HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki3266:3959
3KuPSKuPS3246:3353
4AC OuluAC Oulu3241:4048
5GnistanGnistan3252:4746
6VPSVPS3232:4340
Relegation

About the AC Oulu vs Gnistan forecast

The forecasts for this Veikkausliiga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

AC Oulu and Gnistan in the Veikkausliiga table

Gnistan and AC Oulu are close in the Veikkausliiga table, 4th and 5th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: AC Oulu 25-25, Gnistan 36-29. The full standings are on the Veikkausliiga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

AC Oulu have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.