Mariehamn vs Lahti Prediction

Mariehamn
0-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Lahti
Wiklof Holding Arena, Mariehamn·Dennis Antamo, Finland 20/07/2026
MariehamnMariehamn
0-2
Finished
LahtiLahti

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.40
SignalHIGHModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+5.0%
Value Analysis
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.40
SignalHIGHModel37%SurpriseMediumGap+10.8%
Mariehamn Rest
9 days
Lahti Rest
9 days

Mariehamn vs Lahti: the result in context

Lahti beat Mariehamn 2-0 in the Veikkausliiga on 20 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: Lahti had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Mariehamn.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Lahti tend to win more corners, 7.1 a game to 5.0 for Mariehamn.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
29%5.00
X
29%4.00
2
42%1.59
Double Chance
1X
58%2.28
X2
71%1.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.74
No
51%1.98
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.05 + 1.32 = 2.37
Over 1.5
65%1.21
Over 2.5
42%1.70
Over 3.5
24%2.73
Under 1.5
35%3.90
Under 2.5
58%2.10
Under 3.5
76%1.40
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

21'Y. CassubieAssist: R. Sans
30'K. Ward INN. Nurmi out
42'R. Sans(Penalty missed)
52'N. NurmiFoul
55'NeemiasAssist: Martim Augusto
62'A. Huttunen INA. Bergvik out
62'V. Widlund INW. Nunez out
62'J. Nissinen INR. Monteiro out
69'Martim Augusto INA. Belabid out
76'O. Koskinen INA. Lindholm out
76'Neemias IND. Heikkinen out
83'T. Koivisto INJ. Heyden out
84'J. SvedbergFoul
86'V. Vehkonen INT. Inkinen out
86'E. Andersson INA. Kabashi out

Lineups

Mariehamn
4-2-3-1Coach: Roberth Bjorknesjo
Lahti
4-3-3Coach: Goncalo Pereira
Avg rating6.30
Avg rating7.18
Kevin Lund7.21K. Lund
Jiri Nissinen6.728J. Nissinen
Karl Ward4K. Ward
Tuomas Koivisto6.65T. Koivisto
Aaro Soiniemi6.43A. Soiniemi
Emmanuel Patut6.620E. Patut
Viktor Widlund23V. Widlund
Adam Stroud6.318A. Stroud
Jonathan Svedberg5.611J. Svedberg
Anttoni Huttunen6.316A. Huttunen
Thomas Klemetsen Jakobsen6.315T. Klemetsen Jakobsen
Osku Maukonen6.931O. Maukonen
Romaric Yapi7.127R. Yapi
José Müller7.24J. Müller
Väinö Vehkonen7.16V. Vehkonen
Romain Sans7.73R. Sans
Erik Andersson6.514E. Andersson
Yohan Cassubie8.218Y. Cassubie
Otso Koskinen6.710O. Koskinen
Momodou Sarr6.477M. Sarr
Neemias Barbosa19N. Barbosa
Martim Ferreira7.511M. Ferreira

Mariehamn Substitutes

2Noah Nurmi30'for K. Ward52'5.8
14Arvid Bergvik62'for A. Huttunen6.0
22Rui Monteiro62'for J. Nissinen
9Wille Nuñez62'for V. Widlund6.2
32Matias Riikonen
31Samson Ngulube
8Jelle van der Heyden83'for T. Koivisto
7Adam Larsson
43Leo Andersson

Lahti Substitutes

12Aatu Hakala
25Topias Inkinen86'for V. Vehkonen
7Daniel Heikkinen76'for Neemias
20Justus Ojanen
28Armend Kabashi86'for E. Andersson
9Aaron Lindholm76'for O. Koskinen
17Amir Belabid69'for Martim Augusto6.7

Match Stats

MariehamnLahti
34%Ball Possession66%
5Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards0
3Total Shots16
1Shots on Goal9
0Shots off Goal4
1Shots Inside Box12
1Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots3
13Fouls11
2Offsides4
7Goalkeeper Saves1
262Total Passes366
200Passes Accurate310
10Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

MariehamnMariehamn
LahtiLahti
1482Elo Rating 1624
1.00Attack 1.99
1.83Defense 1.67
17%Hit Rate 41%
14.1Shots per Game 19.8
2.5Shots on Target 6.8
5.0Corners per Game 7.1
1.9Cards per Game 2.1

Game State Tendencies

MariehamnMariehamn
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
LahtiLahti
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.8 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

MariehamnMariehamn2Wins · 20%
Draws440%
LahtiLahti4Wins · 40%
2.2Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Suomen Cup26/05/2026
MariehamnLahti
01
Veikkausliiga10/05/2026
LahtiMariehamn
11
League Cup05/03/2026
MariehamnLahti
40
Veikkausliiga19/09/2024
LahtiMariehamn
21
Veikkausliiga18/08/2024
MariehamnLahti
00
Veikkausliiga12/05/2024
LahtiMariehamn
30
League Cup23/02/2024
LahtiMariehamn
11
Veikkausliiga08/10/2023
MariehamnLahti
00
Veikkausliiga23/07/2023
LahtiMariehamn
02
Veikkausliiga16/04/2023
MariehamnLahti
23

Recent Form

MariehamnMariehamn
0W1D9L
11/07/2026
GnistanMariehamn
42
L
04/07/2026
VPSMariehamn
40
L
27/06/2026
MariehamnInter Turku
02
L
23/06/2026
MariehamnHJK Helsinki
04
L
18/06/2026
AC OuluMariehamn
21
L
13/06/2026
MariehamnGnistan
03
L
30/05/2026
HJK HelsinkiMariehamn
10
L
26/05/2026
MariehamnLahti
01
L
23/05/2026
FF JaroMariehamn
30
L
16/05/2026
MariehamnKuPS
11
D
LahtiLahti
4W2D4L
11/07/2026
LahtiHJK Helsinki
20
W
04/07/2026
LahtiGnistan
10
W
27/06/2026
AC OuluLahti
11
D
23/06/2026
LahtiTurku PS
00
D
17/06/2026
GnistanLahti
10
L
13/06/2026
LahtiSJK
23
L
10/06/2026
IlvesLahti
52
L
30/05/2026
LahtiIlves
50
W
26/05/2026
MariehamnLahti
01
W
23/05/2026
KuPSLahti
21
L

Referee Profile

Dennis Antamo127 matches

4.08Cards per match
3.92Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
23.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Dennis Antamo4.08
Other referees3.85

4.08 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.85).

Cards come from 37 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Veikkausliiga 2026

Veikkausliiga

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1KuPSKuPS22127338:23+1543LDDWL
2Inter TurkuInter Turku22119229:16+1342LWLWD
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki22114736:27+937WDWWW
4GnistanGnistan22106636:29+736DLLLD
5AC OuluAC Oulu22104825:25034WDWWL
6VPSVPS2296729:22+733DLLWL
7LahtiLahti2295826:19+732WLDLW
8Turku PSTurku PS2287728:23+531LLLLD
9IlvesIlves22741134:37-325WDWWW
10SJKSJK22471125:33-819LWWDD
11FF JaroFF Jaro22361318:44-2615DWDDL
12MariehamnMariehamn22351417:43-2614DDLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1KuPSKuPS2238:2343
2Inter TurkuInter Turku2229:1642
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki2236:2737
4GnistanGnistan2236:2936
5AC OuluAC Oulu2225:2534
6VPSVPS2229:2233
7LahtiLahti2226:1932
8Turku PSTurku PS2228:2331
9IlvesIlves2234:3725
10SJKSJK2225:3319
11FF JaroFF Jaro2218:4415
12MariehamnMariehamn2217:4314

Relegration Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LahtiLahti271161035:26+939WLDLW
2IlvesIlves271151145:39+638WDWWW
3Turku PSTurku PS27881129:33-432LLLLD
4SJKSJK27691229:37-827LWWDD
5FF JaroFF Jaro27491422:49-2721DWDDL
6MariehamnMariehamn27471622:49-2719DDLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1LahtiLahti2735:2639
2IlvesIlves2745:3938
3Turku PSTurku PS2729:3332
4SJKSJK2729:3727
5FF JaroFF Jaro2722:4921
6MariehamnMariehamn2722:4919
Relegation

About the Mariehamn vs Lahti forecast

The forecasts for this Veikkausliiga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Mariehamn and Lahti in the Veikkausliiga table

In the Veikkausliiga table, Lahti are 7th and Mariehamn 12th, 18 points apart. League goal record so far: Mariehamn 17-43, Lahti 26-19. The full standings are on the Veikkausliiga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Lahti have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.