Lahti vs HJK Helsinki Prediction

VeikkausliigaFinland Finland · Regular Season - 15
Lahti
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
HJK Helsinki
Lahden Stadion, Lahti· Dennis Antamo, Finland 11/07/2026
LahtiLahti
2-0
Finished
HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
83%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalNEUTRALModel39%RiskMediumGap-0.4%
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.65
SignalSOLIDModel32%RiskMediumGap+5.3%
Lahti Rest
7 days
HJK Helsinki Rest
9 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
33%3.06
X
29%3.60
2
38%2.10
Double Chance
1X
62%1.69
X2
67%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%1.56
No
38%2.27
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.41 + 1.66 = 3.07
Over 1.5
83%1.20
Over 2.5
62%1.65
Over 3.5
41%2.62
Under 1.5
17%4.30
Under 2.5
38%2.15
Under 3.5
59%1.45
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

43'O. KoskinenAssist: M. Sarr
47'C. MontielFoul
48'N. Gianini DantasFoul
59'A. Cicale INT. Pukki out
59'J. Kallinen INM. Kirilov out
59'S. Haarala INA. Ring out
68'O. Koskinen INE. Andersson out
71'L. Moller INL. Lappalainen out
74'R. YapiFoul
75'NeemiasAssist: Y. Cassubie
77'Martim Augusto INA. Belabid out
79'L. Lingman INP. Mentu out
84'M. Sarr INV. Vehkonen out
84'Neemias INA. Lindholm out
85'R. Yapi INJ. Lehtonen out

Lineups

Lahti
4-3-3Coach: Goncalo Pereira
HJK Helsinki
4-1-4-1Coach: Joonas Rantanen
Osku Maukonen31O. MaukonenOsku Maukonen
Romaric Yapi27R. YapiRomaric Yapi
Nicolas Gianini Dantas5N. Gianini DantasNicolas Gianini Dantas
José Müller4J. MüllerJosé Müller
Romain Sans3R. SansRomain Sans
Tòfol Montiel8T. MontielTòfol Montiel
Yohan Cassubie18Y. CassubieYohan Cassubie
Otso Koskinen10O. KoskinenOtso Koskinen
Momodou Sarr77M. SarrMomodou Sarr
Neemias Barbosa19N. BarbosaNeemias Barbosa
Martim Ferreira11M. FerreiraMartim Ferreira
Jesse Öst1J. ÖstJesse Öst
Miska Ylitolva28M. YlitolvaMiska Ylitolva
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster2B. Lyons-FosterBrooklyn Lyons-Foster
Till Cissokho3T. CissokhoTill Cissokho
Leonel Montano14L. MontanoLeonel Montano
Lucas Lingman10L. LingmanLucas Lingman
Santeri Haarala29S. HaaralaSanteri Haarala
Liam Möller22L. MöllerLiam Möller
Jere Kallinen15J. KallinenJere Kallinen
Alfie Cicale7A. CicaleAlfie Cicale
Mads Borchers9M. BorchersMads Borchers

Lahti Substitutes

14Erik AnderssonM
12Aatu HakalaG
2Joel LehtonenD
6Väinö VehkonenD
7Daniel HeikkinenM
20Justus OjanenM
28Armend KabashiM
9Aaron LindholmF
17Amir BelabidF

HJK Helsinki Substitutes

17Martin KirilovM
4Alexander RingM
20Teemu PukkiF
26Lassi LappalainenM
12Mitja HaapanenG
13Kaius SimojokiD
31Mihailo BogićevićD
8Pyry MentuM
32Mouhamed GueyeM

Team Comparison

LahtiLahti
HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki
1629Elo Rating 1699
1.39Attack 1.07
1.51Defense 1.99
59%Hit Rate 39%
16.2Shots per Game 13.5
4.3Shots on Target 2.9
4.2Corners per Game 3.5
2.5Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.06 goals

Game State Tendencies

LahtiLahti
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.3 in first half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Lahti 56%Draw 0%44% HJK Helsinki
2.4Avg Goals
19%BTTS Rate
50%Over 2.5

Recent Form

LahtiLahti
1W2D2L
04/07/2026
LahtiGnistan
10
W
27/06/2026
AC OuluLahti
11
D23/06/2026
LahtiTurku PS
00
D17/06/2026
GnistanLahti
10
L13/06/2026
LahtiSJK
23
L
HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki
3W1D1L
01/07/2026
HJK HelsinkiIlves
21
W
27/06/2026
HJK HelsinkiKuPS
04
L23/06/2026
MariehamnHJK Helsinki
04
W17/06/2026
HJK HelsinkiInter Turku
33
D13/06/2026
FF JaroHJK Helsinki
25
W

Referee Profile

Dennis Antamo, Finland · 13 matches analysed

3.7Avg Yellows
3.9Avg Cards
20.9Avg Fouls
Stricter than 11% of referees analysed

League Table

Veikkausliiga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1KuPSKuPS22127338:23+1543LLWDW
2Inter TurkuInter Turku22119229:16+1342WDWDW
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki22114736:27+937WLWWL
4GnistanGnistan22106636:29+736DWWDL
5AC OuluAC Oulu22104825:25034DWLLW
6VPSVPS2296729:22+733LWLWL
7LahtiLahti2295826:19+732WWLDW
8Turku PSTurku PS2287728:23+531DDWDW
9IlvesIlves22741134:37-325LLLWL
10SJKSJK22471125:33-819DLLDW
11FF JaroFF Jaro22361318:44-2615LLLLL
12MariehamnMariehamn22351417:43-2614WWWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1KuPSKuPS2238:2343
2Inter TurkuInter Turku2229:1642
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki2236:2737
4GnistanGnistan2236:2936
5AC OuluAC Oulu2225:2534
6VPSVPS2229:2233
7LahtiLahti2226:1932
8Turku PSTurku PS2228:2331
9IlvesIlves2234:3725
10SJKSJK2225:3319
11FF JaroFF Jaro2218:4415
12MariehamnMariehamn2217:4314
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Lahti vs HJK Helsinki Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Veikkausliiga fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Veikkausliiga

ScorePredicts covers Finland football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Lahti and HJK Helsinki have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.4 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.