Lahti vs HJK Helsinki Prediction

Lahti
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
HJK Helsinki
Lahden Stadion, Lahti·Dennis Antamo, Finland 11/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
83%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalSTRONGModel39%SurpriseMediumGap-0.7%
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.65
SignalSOLIDModel32%SurpriseMediumGap+5.3%
Lahti Rest
7 days
HJK Helsinki Rest
9 days

Lahti vs HJK Helsinki: the result in context

Lahti beat HJK Helsinki 2-0 in the Veikkausliiga on 11 Jul 2026. That went against recent form: HJK Helsinki had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Lahti.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.1 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 5. Lahti tend to win more corners, 7.1 a game to 3.9 for HJK Helsinki.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
33%3.06
X
29%3.60
2
38%2.10
Double Chance
1X
62%1.69
X2
67%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%1.56
No
38%2.27
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.41 + 1.66 = 3.07
Over 1.5
83%1.20
Over 2.5
62%1.65
Over 3.5
41%2.62
Under 1.5
17%4.25
Under 2.5
38%2.15
Under 3.5
59%1.45
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

43'O. KoskinenAssist: M. Sarr
47'C. MontielFoul
48'N. Gianini DantasFoul
59'A. Cicale INT. Pukki out
59'J. Kallinen INM. Kirilov out
59'S. Haarala INA. Ring out
68'O. Koskinen INE. Andersson out
71'L. Moller INL. Lappalainen out
74'R. YapiFoul
75'NeemiasAssist: Y. Cassubie
77'Martim Augusto INA. Belabid out
79'L. Lingman INP. Mentu out
84'M. Sarr INV. Vehkonen out
84'Neemias INA. Lindholm out
85'R. Yapi INJ. Lehtonen out

Lineups

Lahti
4-3-3Coach: Goncalo Pereira
HJK Helsinki
4-1-4-1Coach: Joonas Rantanen
Avg rating6.46
Avg rating6.53
Osku Maukonen7.031O. Maukonen
Romaric Yapi6.527R. Yapi
Nicolas Gianini Dantas5N. Gianini Dantas
José Müller4J. Müller
Romain Sans6.73R. Sans
Tòfol Montiel8T. Montiel
Yohan Cassubie6.618Y. Cassubie
Otso Koskinen6.310O. Koskinen
Momodou Sarr6.277M. Sarr
Neemias Barbosa19N. Barbosa
Martim Ferreira11M. Ferreira
Jesse Öst6.81J. Öst
Miska Ylitolva6.528M. Ylitolva
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster6.42B. Lyons-Foster
Till Cissokho6.93T. Cissokho
Leonel Montano6.114L. Montano
Lucas Lingman6.210L. Lingman
Santeri Haarala6.729S. Haarala
Liam Möller22L. Möller
Jere Kallinen6.315J. Kallinen
Alfie Cicale6.77A. Cicale
Mads Borchers6.59M. Borchers

Lahti Substitutes

14Erik Andersson68'for O. Koskinen
12Aatu Hakala
2Joel Lehtonen85'for R. Yapi
6Väinö Vehkonen84'for M. Sarr
7Daniel Heikkinen
20Justus Ojanen
28Armend Kabashi
9Aaron Lindholm84'for Neemias
17Amir Belabid77'for Martim Augusto

HJK Helsinki Substitutes

17Martin Kirilov59'for J. Kallinen
4Alexander Ring59'for S. Haarala
20Teemu Pukki59'for A. Cicale
26Lassi Lappalainen71'for L. Moller
12Mitja Haapanen
13Kaius Simojoki
31Mihailo Bogićević
8Pyry Mentu79'for L. Lingman
32Mouhamed Gueye

Team Comparison

LahtiLahti
HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki
1624Elo Rating 1750
1.99Attack 3.82
1.67Defense 1.51
41%Hit Rate 77%
19.8Shots per Game 15.7
6.8Shots on Target 7.4
7.1Corners per Game 3.9
2.1Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.06 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

LahtiLahti
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.8 in second half)
HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.5 vs 1.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

LahtiLahti4Wins · 40%
Draws110%
HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki5Wins · 50%
3.1Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Veikkausliiga04/05/2026
HJK HelsinkiLahti
10
League Cup24/01/2026
LahtiHJK Helsinki
20
Veikkausliiga03/08/2024
LahtiHJK Helsinki
21
Veikkausliiga11/04/2024
HJK HelsinkiLahti
40
League Cup27/02/2024
LahtiHJK Helsinki
30
Veikkausliiga08/07/2023
HJK HelsinkiLahti
01
Veikkausliiga07/06/2023
LahtiHJK Helsinki
12
League Cup08/02/2023
HJK HelsinkiLahti
52
Veikkausliiga17/05/2022
HJK HelsinkiLahti
32
Veikkausliiga12/05/2022
LahtiHJK Helsinki
11

Recent Form

LahtiLahti
3W3D4L
04/07/2026
LahtiGnistan
10
W
27/06/2026
AC OuluLahti
11
D
23/06/2026
LahtiTurku PS
00
D
17/06/2026
GnistanLahti
10
L
13/06/2026
LahtiSJK
23
L
10/06/2026
IlvesLahti
52
L
30/05/2026
LahtiIlves
50
W
26/05/2026
MariehamnLahti
01
W
23/05/2026
KuPSLahti
21
L
18/05/2026
LahtiVPS
11
D
HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki
6W2D2L
01/07/2026
HJK HelsinkiIlves
21
W
27/06/2026
HJK HelsinkiKuPS
04
L
23/06/2026
MariehamnHJK Helsinki
04
W
17/06/2026
HJK HelsinkiInter Turku
33
D
13/06/2026
FF JaroHJK Helsinki
25
W
09/06/2026
HonkaHJK Helsinki
17
W
30/05/2026
HJK HelsinkiMariehamn
10
W
26/05/2026
HJK HelsinkiMyPa
111
W
22/05/2026
VPSHJK Helsinki
21
L
16/05/2026
HJK HelsinkiIlves
22
D

Referee Profile

Dennis Antamo127 matches

4.08Cards per match
3.92Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
23.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Dennis Antamo4.08
Other referees3.85

4.08 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.85).

Cards come from 37 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Veikkausliiga 2026

Veikkausliiga

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1KuPSKuPS22127338:23+1543LDDWL
2Inter TurkuInter Turku22119229:16+1342LWLWD
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki22114736:27+937WDWWW
4GnistanGnistan22106636:29+736DLLLD
5AC OuluAC Oulu22104825:25034WDWWL
6VPSVPS2296729:22+733DLLWL
7LahtiLahti2295826:19+732WLDLW
8Turku PSTurku PS2287728:23+531LLLLD
9IlvesIlves22741134:37-325WDWWW
10SJKSJK22471125:33-819LWWDD
11FF JaroFF Jaro22361318:44-2615DWDDL
12MariehamnMariehamn22351417:43-2614DDLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1KuPSKuPS2238:2343
2Inter TurkuInter Turku2229:1642
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki2236:2737
4GnistanGnistan2236:2936
5AC OuluAC Oulu2225:2534
6VPSVPS2229:2233
7LahtiLahti2226:1932
8Turku PSTurku PS2228:2331
9IlvesIlves2234:3725
10SJKSJK2225:3319
11FF JaroFF Jaro2218:4415
12MariehamnMariehamn2217:4314

Champion Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki30167759:36+2355WDWWW
2Inter TurkuInter Turku301510537:24+1355LWLWD
3KuPSKuPS311411646:31+1553LDDWL
4AC OuluAC Oulu311451238:37+147WDWWL
5GnistanGnistan301110944:42+243DLLLD
6VPSVPS301171231:34-340DLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki3059:3655
2Inter TurkuInter Turku3037:2455
3KuPSKuPS3146:3153
4AC OuluAC Oulu3138:3747
5GnistanGnistan3044:4243
6VPSVPS3031:3440

Relegration Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LahtiLahti271161035:26+939WLDLW
2IlvesIlves271151145:39+638WDWWW
3Turku PSTurku PS27881129:33-432LLLLD
4SJKSJK27691229:37-827LWWDD
5FF JaroFF Jaro27491422:49-2721DWDDL
6MariehamnMariehamn27471622:49-2719DDLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1LahtiLahti2735:2639
2IlvesIlves2745:3938
3Turku PSTurku PS2729:3332
4SJKSJK2729:3727
5FF JaroFF Jaro2722:4921
6MariehamnMariehamn2722:4919
Relegation

About the Lahti vs HJK Helsinki forecast

The forecasts for this Veikkausliiga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Lahti and HJK Helsinki in the Veikkausliiga table

In the Veikkausliiga table, HJK Helsinki are 3rd and Lahti 7th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Lahti 26-19, HJK Helsinki 36-27. The full standings are on the Veikkausliiga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Lahti have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. HJK Helsinki have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.