AC Oulu vs HJK Helsinki Prediction

VeikkausliigaFinland Finland · Championship Group - 27
AC Oulu
3-4
Finished
HT 0-2
HJK Helsinki
Raatin stadion, Oulu·Antti Munukka 12/10/2026
AC OuluAC Oulu
3-4
Finished
HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.7 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.20
SignalSTRONGModel62%SurpriseMediumGap-3.0%
AC Oulu Rest
4 days
HJK Helsinki Rest
4 days

AC Oulu vs HJK Helsinki: the result in context

HJK Helsinki beat AC Oulu 4-3 in the Veikkausliiga on 12 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

HJK Helsinki have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.4 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
21%4.20
X
24%3.77
2
55%1.73
Double Chance
1X
45%2.02
X2
79%1.20
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.65
No
44%2.12
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.16 + 1.59 = 2.75
Over 1.5
77%1.20
Over 2.5
55%1.68
Over 3.5
34%2.65
Under 1.5
23%4.00
Under 2.5
45%2.11
Under 3.5
66%1.40
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

20'Mads BorchersAssist: Leonel Montano
41'Liam MöllerAssist: Mads Borchers
48'Camilo Jose·Triana FragozoAssist: Elias Kallio
53'Tuomas KaukuaFoul
55'Joel lotvonen INLamine Ghezali out
64'Mads BorchersAssist: Leonel Montano
68'Liam Möller INJoona Veteli out
75'Camilo Jose·Triana Fragozo INRoope Riski out
75'Markus Arsalo INJuuso Mäkeläinen out
75'Otto Kemppainen INAdramane Cassama out
77'Roope RiskiAssist: Rasmus Karjalainen
79'Mikko PitkanenFoul
80'Lamine GhezaliFoul
84'Mikko PitkanenAssist: Rasmus Karjalainen
86'Joona Veteli
89'Pyry Mentu INMouhamed Gueye out
89'Santeri Haarala INKaius Simojoki out
90+4'Juuso MäkeläinenFoul

Lineups

AC Oulu
4-4-2Coach: M. Isokangas
HJK Helsinki
4-3-3Coach: J. Rantanen
Avg rating6.28
Avg rating6.86
Miguel Santos5.713M. Santos
O. Kemppainen5.216O. Kemppainen
M. Pitkänen6.85M. Pitkänen
J. Pirinen6.366J. Pirinen
T. Kaukua5.922T. Kaukua
J. Lotvonen5.936J. Lotvonen
M. Arsalo5.625M. Arsalo
I. Mendolin6.521I. Mendolin
E. Kallio6.827E. Kallio
C. Triana7.610C. Triana
R. Karjalainen7.27R. Karjalainen
J. Öst6.11J. Öst
N. Alho6.417N. Alho
M. Bogićević6.631M. Bogićević
V. Tikkanen6.66V. Tikkanen
L. Montano7.614L. Montano
L. Möller7.822L. Möller
A. Ring6.54A. Ring
P. Mentu6.98P. Mentu
S. Haarala6.329S. Haarala
M. Borchers9.69M. Borchers
Alfie Cicale6.57A. Cicale

AC Oulu Substitutes

18Adramane Cassamá75'for Otto Kemppainen5.8
11L. Ghezali55'for Joel lotvonen80'6.1
14N. Jokelainen
3J. Lietsa
30J. Makelainen75'for Markus Arsalo90+4'5.8
9R. Riski75'for Camilo Jose·Triana Fragozo77'7.2
99N. Schulz
2S. Sipola
19J. Omotayo

HJK Helsinki Substitutes

13K. Simojoki89'for Santeri Haarala6.1
77J. Veteli68'for Liam Möller86'7.1
20T. Pukki
30J. Samooja
10L. Lingman
24E. Leveälahti
87N. Kroupkin
32Mouhamed Guèye II89'for Pyry Mentu5.9
11M. Kirilov

Match Stats

AC OuluHJK Helsinki
40%Ball Possession60%
6Corner Kicks6
4Yellow Cards0
14Total Shots18
4Shots on Goal6
6Shots off Goal10
10Shots Inside Box12
4Shots Outside Box6
4Blocked Shots2
12Fouls7
3Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves1
346Total Passes501
292Passes Accurate430
7Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

AC OuluAC Oulu
HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki
1568Elo Rating 1734
1.56Attack 3.33
1.37Defense 2.15
46%Hit Rate 69%
9.9Shots per Game 18.3
3.7Shots on Target 7.1
3.2Corners per Game 4.8
2.3Cards per Game 0.4

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

AC OuluAC Oulu
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.1 vs 1.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

AC OuluAC Oulu3Wins · 30%
Draws110%
HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki6Wins · 60%
2.4Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Veikkausliiga09/08/2026
AC OuluHJK Helsinki
01
Veikkausliiga11/04/2026
HJK HelsinkiAC Oulu
01
League Cup14/03/2026
AC OuluHJK Helsinki
21
Suomen Cup21/08/2025
HJK HelsinkiAC Oulu
10
Veikkausliiga20/07/2025
HJK HelsinkiAC Oulu
31
Veikkausliiga14/06/2025
AC OuluHJK Helsinki
04
Veikkausliiga27/07/2024
HJK HelsinkiAC Oulu
30
Veikkausliiga31/05/2024
AC OuluHJK Helsinki
10
Veikkausliiga27/08/2023
AC OuluHJK Helsinki
13
Veikkausliiga23/04/2023
HJK HelsinkiAC Oulu
11

Recent Form

AC OuluAC Oulu
3W2D5L
08/10/2026
KuPSAC Oulu
01
W
18/09/2026
AC OuluInter Turku
01
L
12/09/2026
AC OuluGnistan
12
L
08/09/2026
VPSAC Oulu
10
L
31/08/2026
AC OuluSJK
00
D
22/08/2026
FF JaroAC Oulu
01
W
16/08/2026
AC OuluInter Turku
23
L09/08/2026
AC OuluHJK Helsinki
01
L02/08/2026
AC OuluIlves
10
W
25/07/2026
MariehamnAC Oulu
11
D
HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki
5W2D3L
08/10/2026
HJK HelsinkiVPS
60
W
18/09/2026
GnistanHJK Helsinki
11
D
13/09/2026
KuPSHJK Helsinki
00
D
09/09/2026
HJK HelsinkiInter Turku
21
W
05/09/2026
Inter TurkuHJK Helsinki
10
L
31/08/2026
IlvesHJK Helsinki
12
W
23/08/2026
HJK HelsinkiGnistan
23
L16/08/2026
HJK HelsinkiFF Jaro
30
W13/08/2026
MotherwellHJK Helsinki
20
L09/08/2026
AC OuluHJK Helsinki
01
W

Referee Profile

Antti Munukka131 matches

4.15Cards per match
4.05Yellow cards per match
0.10Red cards per match
20.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Antti Munukka4.15
Other referees3.94

4.15 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.94).

Cards come from 41 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Veikkausliiga 2026

Veikkausliiga

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1KuPSKuPS22127338:23+1543WLLWD
2Inter TurkuInter Turku22119229:16+1342WLWDW
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki22114736:27+937WWWDD
4GnistanGnistan22106636:29+736LLDDW
5AC OuluAC Oulu22104825:25034WLWLL
6VPSVPS2296729:22+733LLWLL
7LahtiLahti2295826:19+732WLDLW
8Turku PSTurku PS2287728:23+531LLLLD
9IlvesIlves22741134:37-325WDWWW
10SJKSJK22471125:33-819LWWDD
11FF JaroFF Jaro22361318:44-2615DWDDL
12MariehamnMariehamn22351417:43-2614DDLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1KuPSKuPS2238:2343
2Inter TurkuInter Turku2229:1642
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki2236:2737
4GnistanGnistan2236:2936
5AC OuluAC Oulu2225:2534
6VPSVPS2229:2233
7LahtiLahti2226:1932
8Turku PSTurku PS2228:2331
9IlvesIlves2234:3725
10SJKSJK2225:3319
11FF JaroFF Jaro2218:4415
12MariehamnMariehamn2217:4314

Champion Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Inter TurkuInter Turku291510435:20+1555WLWDW
2HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki28156753:32+2151WWWDD
3KuPSKuPS28149543:26+1751WLLWD
4GnistanGnistan28119840:37+342LLDDW
5AC OuluAC Oulu281241232:34-240WLWLL
6VPSVPS291161231:34-339LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Inter TurkuInter Turku2935:2055
2HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki2853:3251
3KuPSKuPS2843:2651
4GnistanGnistan2840:3742
5AC OuluAC Oulu2832:3440
6VPSVPS2931:3439
Relegation

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About the AC Oulu vs HJK Helsinki forecast

The forecasts for this Veikkausliiga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

AC Oulu and HJK Helsinki in the Veikkausliiga table

HJK Helsinki and AC Oulu are close in the Veikkausliiga table, 3rd and 5th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: AC Oulu 25-25, HJK Helsinki 36-27. The full standings are on the Veikkausliiga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.