HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan Prediction

HJK Helsinki
2-3
Finished
HT 2-0
Gnistan
Bolt Arena, Helsinki·Eetu Silen, Finland 23/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.62
SignalGOODModel38%SurpriseHighGap+9.7%
HJK Helsinki Rest
6 days
Gnistan Rest
5 days

HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan: the result in context

Gnistan beat HJK Helsinki 3-2 in the Veikkausliiga on 23 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

HJK Helsinki have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.2 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%1.60
X
21%4.17
2
24%4.72
Double Chance
1X
76%1.16
X2
45%2.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.53
No
45%2.35
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.74 + 1.12 = 2.86
Over 1.5
76%1.14
Over 2.5
55%1.48
Over 3.5
33%2.23
Under 1.5
24%5.00
Under 2.5
45%2.50
Under 3.5
67%1.62
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

23'Santeri Haarala
35'Matej Juricka INOskar Lyberopoulos out
45+3'Ville TikkanenAssist: Leonel Montano
46'Gabriel Europaeus INArtur Atarah out
55'Alexander Ring
61'Saku Ylätupa INJoakim Latonen out
67'Bogdan Milovanov
69'Adeleke AkinyemiAssist: Artur Atarah
70'Kaius Simojoki
71'Martin Kirilov INTeemu Pukki out
71'Alexander Ring INJere Kallinen out
72'Kaius Simojoki INMiska Ylitolva out
76'Roman Eremenko INDanny Pérez out
78'Edmund Arko-Mensah
83'Adeleke AkinyemiAssist: Bogdan Milovanov
86'Santeri Haarala INLiam Möller out
86'Alfie Cicale INLassi Lappalainen out
89'Danny Pérez

Lineups

HJK Helsinki
Coach: Joonas Rantanen
Gnistan
Coach: Jussi Leppalahti

HJK Helsinki Starting XI

44Matej Marković
13Kaius Simojoki70'72'replaced by Miska Ylitolva
6Ville Tikkanen45+3'
3Till Cissokho
14Leonel Montano
29Santeri Haarala23'86'replaced by Liam Möller
4Alexander Ring55'71'replaced by Jere Kallinen
8Pyry Mentu
7Alfie Cicale86'replaced by Lassi Lappalainen
9Mads Borchers
17Martin Kirilov71'replaced by Teemu Pukki

Gnistan Starting XI

95Matej Juricka35'replaced by Oskar Lyberopoulos
24Rachide Gnanou
67Ayo Obileye
3Ruxi
19Bogdan Milovanov67'
31Adam Jouhi
15Gabriel Europaeus46'replaced by Artur Atarah
12Edmund Arko-Mensah78'
23Saku Ylätupa61'replaced by Joakim Latonen
26Roman Eremenko76'replaced by Danny Pérez
17Adeleke Akinyemi69'83'

HJK Helsinki Substitutes

15Jere Kallinen71'for Alexander Ring
20Teemu Pukki71'for Martin Kirilov
28Miska Ylitolva72'for Kaius Simojoki
26Lassi Lappalainen86'for Alfie Cicale
22Liam Möller86'for Santeri Haarala
1Jesse Öst
65Amara Nallo
32Mouhamed Gueye
43Pape Ibrahima Ndir

Gnistan Substitutes

13Oskar Lyberopoulos35'for Matej Juricka
7Artur Atarah46'for Gabriel Europaeus
10Joakim Latonen61'for Saku Ylätupa
11Danny Pérez76'for Roman Eremenko89'
40Juhani Ojala
2Benjamin Dahlström
14Sergei Eremenko
27Otto Hannula

Team Comparison

HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki
GnistanGnistan
1734Elo Rating 1592
3.33Attack 0.95
2.15Defense 0.67
69%Hit Rate 0%
18.3Shots per Game 11.6
7.1Shots on Target 4.5
4.8Corners per Game 4.8
0.4Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+142 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.86 goals
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.1 vs 1.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
GnistanGnistan
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki6Wins · 60%
Draws110%
GnistanGnistan3Wins · 30%
3.2Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Veikkausliiga18/04/2026
GnistanHJK Helsinki
03
League Cup07/02/2026
HJK HelsinkiGnistan
31
Veikkausliiga03/11/2025
GnistanHJK Helsinki
22
Veikkausliiga03/10/2025
HJK HelsinkiGnistan
23
Veikkausliiga28/07/2025
GnistanHJK Helsinki
24
Veikkausliiga22/04/2025
HJK HelsinkiGnistan
01
League Cup11/01/2025
HJK HelsinkiGnistan
01
Veikkausliiga12/06/2024
GnistanHJK Helsinki
04
Veikkausliiga22/05/2024
HJK HelsinkiGnistan
10
League Cup03/02/2024
GnistanHJK Helsinki
12

League Table

Veikkausliiga 2026

Veikkausliiga

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1KuPSKuPS22127338:23+1543DWLLW
2Inter TurkuInter Turku22119229:16+1342WLWDW
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki22114736:27+937DWWWD
4GnistanGnistan22106636:29+736LLLDD
5AC OuluAC Oulu22104825:25034WWLWL
6VPSVPS2296729:22+733LLWLL
7LahtiLahti2295826:19+732WLDLW
8Turku PSTurku PS2287728:23+531LLLLD
9IlvesIlves22741134:37-325WDWWW
10SJKSJK22471125:33-819LWWDD
11FF JaroFF Jaro22361318:44-2615DWDDL
12MariehamnMariehamn22351417:43-2614DDLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1KuPSKuPS2238:2343
2Inter TurkuInter Turku2229:1642
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki2236:2737
4GnistanGnistan2236:2936
5AC OuluAC Oulu2225:2534
6VPSVPS2229:2233
7LahtiLahti2226:1932
8Turku PSTurku PS2228:2331
9IlvesIlves2234:3725
10SJKSJK2225:3319
11FF JaroFF Jaro2218:4415
12MariehamnMariehamn2217:4314

Champion Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Inter TurkuInter Turku291510435:20+1555WLWDW
2HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki29157755:34+2152DWWWD
3KuPSKuPS291410545:28+1752DWLLW
4AC OuluAC Oulu291341236:37-143WWLWL
5GnistanGnistan29119943:41+242LLLDD
6VPSVPS291161231:34-339LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Inter TurkuInter Turku2935:2055
2HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki2955:3452
3KuPSKuPS2945:2852
4AC OuluAC Oulu2936:3743
5GnistanGnistan2943:4142
6VPSVPS2931:3439
Relegation

About the HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan forecast

The forecasts for this Veikkausliiga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

HJK Helsinki and Gnistan in the Veikkausliiga table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: HJK Helsinki are 3rd in the Veikkausliiga, 1 point ahead of Gnistan in 4th. League goal record so far: HJK Helsinki 36-27, Gnistan 36-29. The full standings are on the Veikkausliiga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.