AC Oulu vs HJK Helsinki Prediction

AC Oulu
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
HJK Helsinki
Raatin stadion, Oulu·Peiman Simani, Finland 09/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.30
SignalHIGHModel51%SurpriseMediumGap+0.1%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.65
SignalSOLIDModel42%SurpriseMediumGap+6.2%
AC Oulu Rest
7 days
HJK Helsinki Rest
3 days

AC Oulu vs HJK Helsinki: the result in context

HJK Helsinki beat AC Oulu 1-0 in the Veikkausliiga on 9 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: HJK Helsinki had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for AC Oulu.

HJK Helsinki have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.6 goals a game. Referee Peiman Simani averages 3.48 cards a game, 0.51 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
23%3.27
X
22%3.55
2
55%2.05
Double Chance
1X
45%1.73
X2
77%1.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.55
No
43%2.26
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.19 + 1.91 = 3.10
Over 1.5
82%1.19
Over 2.5
63%1.65
Over 3.5
37%2.57
Under 1.5
18%4.20
Under 2.5
37%2.15
Under 3.5
63%1.44
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

20'M. ArsaloFoul
44'M. Gueye
46'A. Kone INC. Triana out
49'M. Arsalo INI. Mendolin out
63'M. KirilovFoul
66'E. Kallio INK. Jatta out
66'L. Ghezali INN. Jokelainen out
66'T. Pukki INM. Borchers out
66'S. Haarala INL. Moller out
77'K. JattaFoul
79'M. SantosUnsportsmanlike conduct
79'V. TikkanenUnsportsmanlike conduct
80'L. LingmanFoul
80'A. Cicale INT. Mero out
80'M. Gueye INA. Ring out
88'K. Simojoki INL. Montano out

Lineups

AC Oulu
4-3-3Coach: Mikko Isokangas
HJK Helsinki
4-2-3-1Coach: Joonas Rantanen
Miguel Santos13M. Santos
Tuomas Kaukua22T. Kaukua
Alex Lietsa3A. Lietsa
Juha Pirinen66J. Pirinen
Adramane Cassama18A. Cassama
Lamine Ghezali11L. Ghezali
Markus Arsalo25M. Arsalo
Julius Paananen6J. Paananen
Rasmus Karjalainen7R. Karjalainen
Abdoulaye Kone32A. Kone
Elias Kallio27E. Kallio
Matej Marković44M. Marković
Miska Ylitolva28M. Ylitolva
Ville Tikkanen6V. Tikkanen
Till Cissokho3T. Cissokho
Kaius Simojoki13K. Simojoki
Mouhamed Gueye32M. Gueye
Lucas Lingman10L. Lingman
Santeri Haarala29S. Haarala
Martin Kirilov17M. Kirilov
Alfie Cicale7A. Cicale
Teemu Pukki20T. Pukki

AC Oulu Substitutes

10Camilo Triana46'for A. Kone
34Iiro Mendolin49'for M. Arsalo
14Niklas Jokelainen66'for L. Ghezali
20Kalifa Jatta66'for E. Kallio77'
99Niklas Schulz
2Sami Sipola
5Mikko Pitkänen
29Santeri Silander
8Matias Ojala

HJK Helsinki Substitutes

22Liam Möller66'for S. Haarala
9Mads Borchers66'for T. Pukki
1Jesse Öst
14Leonel Montano88'for K. Simojoki
65Amara Nallo
4Alexander Ring80'replaced by M. Gueye
8Pyry Mentu
18Toivo Mero80'for A. Cicale

Team Comparison

AC OuluAC Oulu
HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki
1599Elo Rating 1765
2.07Attack 3.61
1.69Defense 1.73
63%Hit Rate 81%
12.9Shots per Game 15.7
4.3Shots on Target 6.2
4.3Corners per Game 4.2
2.1Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.1 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

AC OuluAC Oulu
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.1 vs 1.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

AC OuluAC Oulu3Wins · 30%
Draws110%
HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki6Wins · 60%
2.6Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Veikkausliiga11/04/2026
HJK HelsinkiAC Oulu
01
League Cup14/03/2026
AC OuluHJK Helsinki
21
Suomen Cup21/08/2025
HJK HelsinkiAC Oulu
10
Veikkausliiga20/07/2025
HJK HelsinkiAC Oulu
31
Veikkausliiga14/06/2025
AC OuluHJK Helsinki
04
Veikkausliiga27/07/2024
HJK HelsinkiAC Oulu
30
Veikkausliiga31/05/2024
AC OuluHJK Helsinki
10
Veikkausliiga27/08/2023
AC OuluHJK Helsinki
13
Veikkausliiga23/04/2023
HJK HelsinkiAC Oulu
11
League Cup01/04/2023
HJK HelsinkiAC Oulu
21

Referee Profile

Peiman Simani166 matches

3.48Cards per match
3.31Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
20.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Peiman Simani3.48
Other referees3.99

3.48 cards a match, 0.51 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.99).

Cards come from 48 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Veikkausliiga 2026

Veikkausliiga

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1KuPSKuPS22127338:23+1543LLDDW
2Inter TurkuInter Turku22119229:16+1342WWLWL
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki22114736:27+937DWWDW
4GnistanGnistan22106636:29+736WLDLL
5AC OuluAC Oulu22104825:25034DWDWW
6VPSVPS2296729:22+733LLDLL
7LahtiLahti2295826:19+732WLDLW
8Turku PSTurku PS2287728:23+531LLLLD
9IlvesIlves22741134:37-325WDWWW
10SJKSJK22471125:33-819LWWDD
11FF JaroFF Jaro22361318:44-2615DWDDL
12MariehamnMariehamn22351417:43-2614DDLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1KuPSKuPS2238:2343
2Inter TurkuInter Turku2229:1642
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki2236:2737
4GnistanGnistan2236:2936
5AC OuluAC Oulu2225:2534
6VPSVPS2229:2233
7LahtiLahti2226:1932
8Turku PSTurku PS2228:2331
9IlvesIlves2234:3725
10SJKSJK2225:3319
11FF JaroFF Jaro2218:4415
12MariehamnMariehamn2217:4314

Champion Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Inter TurkuInter Turku321710543:27+1661WWLWL
2HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki32178766:39+2759DWWDW
3KuPSKuPS321411746:33+1353LLDDW
4AC OuluAC Oulu321461241:40+148DWDWW
5GnistanGnistan3212101052:47+546WLDLL
6VPSVPS321171432:43-1140LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Inter TurkuInter Turku3243:2761
2HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki3266:3959
3KuPSKuPS3246:3353
4AC OuluAC Oulu3241:4048
5GnistanGnistan3252:4746
6VPSVPS3232:4340
Relegation

About the AC Oulu vs HJK Helsinki forecast

The forecasts for this Veikkausliiga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

AC Oulu and HJK Helsinki in the Veikkausliiga table

HJK Helsinki and AC Oulu are close in the Veikkausliiga table, 3rd and 5th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: AC Oulu 25-25, HJK Helsinki 36-27. The full standings are on the Veikkausliiga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

AC Oulu have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. HJK Helsinki have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.