ADT vs Universitario Prediction

ADT
1-2
Finished
HT 1-2
Universitario
Estadio Union Tarma, Tarma·Augusto Menendez, Peru 18/07/2026
ADTADT
1-2
Finished
UniversitarioUniversitario

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 5.5
1.46
SignalHIGHModel36%SurpriseMediumGap+11.3%
ADT Rest
8 days
Universitario Rest
6 days

ADT vs Universitario: the result in context

Universitario beat ADT 2-1 in the Primera División on 18 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Universitario have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 9 previous meetings, which averaged 2.9 goals a game. Referee Augusto Menendez averages 5.86 cards a game, 0.56 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
30%2.96
X
30%3.10
2
40%2.46
Double Chance
1X
60%1.50
X2
70%1.35
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.80
No
47%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.34 + 1.08 = 2.42
Over 1.5
71%1.33
Over 2.5
44%2.09
Over 3.5
27%3.59
Under 1.5
29%3.00
Under 2.5
56%1.70
Under 3.5
73%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.1 = 9.3
Over 8.5
61%1.80
Over 9.5
48%2.31
Over 10.5
35%3.14
Under 8.5
39%1.90
Under 9.5
52%1.51
Under 10.5
65%1.27
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.9 + 2.5 = 5.3
Over 3.5
74%-
Over 4.5
55%-
Under 3.5
26%-
Under 4.5
45%-

Match Events

20'A. Valera
28'J. J. Canela Torres
30'L. PerezFoul
31'L. Alzugaray
45+4'J. NarvaezSerious foul
45+7'J. MurrugarraFoul
45+8'Goal Disallowed - offsideH. Benincasa
67'J. Rivera INE. Flores out
67'J. J. Canela Torres INA. Mazzo out
67'J. Concha INA. Quiroz out
76'H. Fertoli INJ. Requena out
76'J. Murrugarra INJ. Castillo out
78'J. Alvino INH. Rengifo out
83'A. Valera ING. Lapadula out
87'J. Garcilazo INA. Rodriguez out
87'A. Ojeda INL. Rugel out

Lineups

ADT
4-2-3-1Coach: Teddy Ramirez
Universitario
4-1-3-2Coach: Hector Cuper
Avg rating6.81
Avg rating6.81
Juan Valencia6.930J. Valencia
Jhojan Garcilazo7.026J. Garcilazo
John Narváez5.323J. Narváez
Ángel Ojeda6.26Á. Ojeda
Horacio Benincasa6.944H. Benincasa
Josué Alvino7.215J. Alvino
Luis Pérez8.016L. Pérez
Jeremy Canela7.780J. Canela
Joao RojasC7.27J. Rojas
Orlando Nuñez6.659O. Nuñez
Jonathan Bauman6.732J. Bauman
Diego Romero6.91D. Romero
Andy PoloC6.624A. Polo
Caín Fara6.92C. Fara
Matías Di Benedetto6.95M. Di Benedetto
César Inga7.033C. Inga
Jorge Murrugarra6.223J. Murrugarra
Lisandro Alzugaray7.630L. Alzugaray
Héctor Fértoli6.38H. Fértoli
Jairo Concha6.717J. Concha
Alex Valera7.520A. Valera
José Rivera6.311J. Rivera

ADT Substitutes

18Aylton Mazzo67'for J. J. Canela Torres6.3
9Hernán Rengifo78'replaced by J. Alvino6.6
3Leonardo Rugel87'for A. Ojeda6.9
22Marco Aldair Rodríguez87'for J. Garcilazo6.7
33Carlos Solis
31Jerry Navarro
2Jair Reyes
25Sinclair García
24Said Peralta

Universitario Substitutes

28Adrián Quiroz67'for J. Concha7.0
19Edison Flores67'for J. Rivera7.0
15Juan Manuel Requena76'for H. Fertoli6.9
6Jesús Castillo76'for J. Murrugarra6.9
18Gianluca Lapadula83'for A. Valera6.3
25Miguel Vargas
60Junior Diaz
3Williams Riveros
34Christopher Loayza

Match Stats

ADTUniversitario
59%Ball Possession41%
2Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
14Total Shots14
4Shots on Goal6
7Shots off Goal6
4Shots Inside Box8
10Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots2
8Fouls12
1Offsides3
4Goalkeeper Saves3
425Total Passes302
373Passes Accurate245
88%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

ADTADT
UniversitarioUniversitario
1496Elo Rating 1721
1.36Attack 2.76
1.93Defense 1.78
23%Hit Rate 59%
18.2Shots per Game 19.4
5.7Shots on Target 7.2
4.9Corners per Game 6.9
3.9Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend56% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

ADTADT
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
UniversitarioUniversitario
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2 vs 0.7 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

ADTADT2Wins · 22%
Draws111%
UniversitarioUniversitario6Wins · 67%
2.9Avg Goals
56%Both teams scored5 of 9
56%3+ goals5 of 9

Previous meetings

Primera División02/02/2026
UniversitarioADT
20
Primera División26/10/2025
ADTUniversitario
12
Primera División21/06/2025
UniversitarioADT
50
Primera División20/10/2024
UniversitarioADT
21
Primera División03/05/2024
ADTUniversitario
20
Primera División16/08/2023
ADTUniversitario
20
Primera División19/03/2023
UniversitarioADT
31
Primera División21/08/2022
ADTUniversitario
11
Primera División05/04/2022
UniversitarioADT
21

Recent Form

ADTADT
5W2D3L
10/07/2026
CiencianoADT
23
W
26/06/2026
Sport HuancayoADT
10
L
19/06/2026
ADTAlianza Universidad
31
W
12/06/2026
MinasADT
00
D
30/05/2026
ADTCusco
12
L
24/05/2026
Sporting CristalADT
21
L
17/05/2026
ADTComerciantes Unidos
20
W
09/05/2026
UCV MoqueguaADT
22
D
02/05/2026
ADTAtletico Grau
10
W
27/04/2026
ADTClub Deportivo Los Chankas
40
W
UniversitarioUniversitario
2W5D3L
11/07/2026
UniversitarioMillonarios
20
W
27/06/2026
UniversitarioAtletico Grau
11
D
13/06/2026
Molinos El PirataUniversitario
20
L
31/05/2026
UniversitarioSport Huancayo
21
W
27/05/2026
UniversitarioDeportes Tolima
00
D
23/05/2026
UCV MoqueguaUniversitario
00
D
21/05/2026
Club NacionalUniversitario
00
D
16/05/2026
UniversitarioAtletico Grau
01
L
12/05/2026
Sport BoysUniversitario
00
D
08/05/2026
Coquimbo UnidoUniversitario
21
L

Referee Profile

Augusto Menendez138 matches

5.86Cards per match
5.35Yellow cards per match
0.51Red cards per match
26.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Augusto Menendez5.86
Other referees5.30

5.86 cards a match, 0.56 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.30).

Cards come from 117 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026

Primera Division: Tabla Anual

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima33209454:24+3069WWDWW
2UniversitarioUniversitario331710659:39+2061DLDWL
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar33169856:38+1857DWDWL
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso331671050:35+1555DWWWW
5Sporting CristalSporting Cristal331561263:48+1551WLDDL
6CuscoCusco331631446:47-151WLDDW
7CiencianoCienciano331551354:46+850DLWWD
8Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo331551348:49-150DLWLL
9Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico331471249:48+149DWLWW
10Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas331391140:52-1248LWDLL
11Sport BoysSport Boys3312101137:35+242DWDLD
12Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College331181448:59-1141DLLLD
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos338131244:47-337DLDLW
14Atletico GrauAtletico Grau331071632:41-937LWLLL
15ADTADT337111536:48-1231LWDWW
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua33791727:48-2130DLDLW
17FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca33871846:65-1929DWWWL
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca33591938:58-2014DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima3354:2469
2UniversitarioUniversitario3359:3961
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar3356:3857
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso3350:3555
5Sporting CristalSporting Cristal3363:4851
6CuscoCusco3346:4751
7CiencianoCienciano3354:4650
8Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo3348:4950
9Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico3349:4849
10Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas3340:5248
11Sport BoysSport Boys3337:3542
12Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College3348:5941
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos3344:4737
14Atletico GrauAtletico Grau3332:4137
15ADTADT3336:4831
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua3327:4830
17FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca3346:6529
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca3338:5814

Primera Division: Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima17124130:8+2240WWDWW
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas17104325:21+434LWDLL
3CiencianoCienciano17103434:22+1233DLWWD
4UniversitarioUniversitario1785424:15+929DLDWL
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1784529:20+928DWDWL
6CuscoCusco1783621:24-327WLDDW
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1775521:18+326DWWWW
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1756620:18+221DWLWW
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1756618:20-221DLDLW
10ADTADT1755722:21+120LWDWW
11Sport BoysSport Boys1755715:19-420DWDLD
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1754828:30-219WLDDL
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1746721:26-518DLLLD
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1753917:24-718DLDLW
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1745823:28-517DWWWL
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1744912:18-616LWLLL
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1744921:31-1016DLWLL
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1744922:40-1816DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1730:840
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1725:2134
3CiencianoCienciano1734:2233
4UniversitarioUniversitario1724:1529
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1729:2028
6CuscoCusco1721:2427
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1721:1826
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1720:1821
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1718:2021
10ADTADT1722:2120
11Sport BoysSport Boys1715:1920
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1728:3019
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1721:2618
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1717:2418
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1723:2817
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1712:1816
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1721:3116
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1722:4016

Primera Division: Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo16111427:18+934DLWLL
2Sporting CristalSporting Cristal16102435:18+1732WLDDL
3UniversitarioUniversitario1695235:24+1132DLDWL
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1692529:17+1229DWWWW
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1685327:18+929DWDWL
6Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1685324:16+829WWDWW
7Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1691629:30-128DWLWW
8Sport BoysSport Boys1675422:16+626DWDLD
9Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1674526:19+725DLLLD
10CuscoCusco1680825:23+224WLDDW
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1663720:23-321LWLLL
12CiencianoCienciano1652920:24-417DLWWD
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1637626:27-116DLDLW
14FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca16421023:37-1414DWWWL
15Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1635815:31-1614LWDLL
16ADTADT1626814:27-1312LWDWW
17UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1626810:24-1412DLDLW
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca16131217:32-156DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1627:1834
2Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1635:1832
3UniversitarioUniversitario1635:2432
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1629:1729
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1627:1829
6Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1624:1629
7Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1629:3028
8Sport BoysSport Boys1622:1626
9Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1626:1925
10CuscoCusco1625:2324
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1620:2321
12CiencianoCienciano1620:2417
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1626:2716
14FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1623:3714
15Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1615:3114
16ADTADT1614:2712
17UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1610:2412
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1617:326
PromotionRelegation

About the ADT vs Universitario forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

ADT and Universitario in the Primera División table

The table shows a wide gap: Universitario are 2nd in the Primera División, while ADT sit 15th, 30 points behind. League goal record so far: ADT 36-48, Universitario 59-39. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.