Cusco vs Alianza Atletico Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 1
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
56%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.88
SignalNEUTRALModel55%SurpriseMediumGap+5.6%
Cusco Rest
20 days
Alianza Atletico Rest
8 days
Cusco vs Alianza Atletico: result, form and history
Cusco beat Alianza Atletico 4-1 in the Primera División on 19 Jul 2026. That went against recent form: Alianza Atletico had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Cusco.
Cusco have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 2.5 goals a game. Referee Joel Alarcon averages 3.44 cards a game, 1.64 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
159%1.49
X26%4.05
215%6.40
Double Chance
1X85%1.11
X242%2.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes53%1.93
No47%1.76
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.41 + 1 = 2.41
Over 1.571%1.25
Over 2.544%1.84
Over 3.527%3.02
Under 1.529%3.52
Under 2.556%1.88
Under 3.573%1.32
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 3.9 = 8.8
Over 8.551%1.82
Over 9.537%2.35
Over 10.528%3.15
Under 8.549%1.85
Under 9.563%1.50
Under 10.572%1.28
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.7 = 5.2
Over 3.572%-
Over 4.555%1.65
Under 3.528%-
Under 4.545%2.12
Match Events
21'J. ManzanedaAssist: L. Colitto
30'J. ManzanedaUnsportsmanlike conduct
30'W. GuzmanUnsportsmanlike conduct
33'I. ColmanAssist: F. Callejo
46'J. Perez INF. Flores out
46'H. Lupu INC. Penilla out
46'G. A. Larios Saavedra INJ. Ingratti out
58'C. Penilla
59'J. Manzaneda INMiguel Silveira out
71'C. Diez INO. Valenzuela out
71'L. Colitto INN. Silva out
79'A. Munoz INJ. Molina out
81'F. CallejoAssist: I. Colman
84'N. SilvaAssist: F. Callejo
86'I. Colman INJ. Tevez out
86'D. Soto INC. Gamarra out
87'J. del Castillo INR. Suarez out
Lineups
CuscoAlianza Atletico
4-3-3Coach: Federico UrciuoliAvg ratingAvg rating
28P. Diaz
21J. Zevallos
8A. Fuentes
6A. Ampuero
3R. Lagos
14C. Diez
88D. Soto
22L. Colitto
C10I. Colman
7J. Miguel Manzaneda
9F. Callejo
31S. Rivadeneyra
21E. Perleche
25W. Guzmán
6J. Luján
24A. Gordillo
C15H. Lupú
10G. Diaz
20J. Pérez
23A. Muñoz
11G. Larios
22J. del CastilloCusco Substitutes
13Andy Vidal
15Jose Bolivar
2Carlos Gamarra86'for D. Soto
37Gu-rum Choi
16Oswaldo Valenzuela71'for C. Diez
99Miguel Silveira59'for J. Manzaneda
55Jean Carlos Montaño
11Juan Tévez86'for I. Colman
26Nicolás Silva71'for L. Colitto84'
Alianza Atletico Substitutes
95Daniel Prieto
2Román Suárez87'for J. del Castillo
19Jesus Mendieta
17Cristian Penilla46'for H. Lupu58'
8Franchesco Flores46'for J. Perez
77Christian Valladolid
99Mariano Barreda
27José Ingratti46'for G. A. Larios Saavedra
29Jairo Molina79'for A. Munoz
Match Stats
CuscoAlianza Atletico 58%Ball Possession42%
8Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards1
18Total Shots14
7Shots on Goal6
8Shots off Goal3
16Shots Inside Box5
2Shots Outside Box9
3Blocked Shots5
11Fouls6
2Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves4
526Total Passes380
459Passes Accurate309
87%Pass Accuracy81%
Team Comparison
CuscoAlianza Atletico1577Elo Rating 1632
0.83Attack 1.74
1.51Defense 0.96
36%Hit Rate 64%
15.9Shots per Game 17.1
4.9Shots on Target 5.1
5.6Corners per Game 5.7
1.9Cards per Game 1.5
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Cusco- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Alianza Atletico- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.7 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Cusco5Wins · 63%Draws112%
Alianza Atletico2Wins · 25%
2Wins · 25%2.5Avg Goals
38%Both teams scored3 of 8
38%3+ goals3 of 8
Previous meetings
01/02/2026Alianza AtleticoCusco10
18/08/2025CuscoAlianza Atletico10
28/03/2025Alianza AtleticoCusco24
15/08/2024Alianza AtleticoCusco11
07/03/2024CuscoAlianza Atletico20
22/07/2023Alianza AtleticoCusco20
20/02/2023CuscoAlianza Atletico21
08/08/2021CuscoAlianza Atletico30
Recent Form
Cusco2W3D5L
29/06/2026Cusco
Cienciano
CuscoCienciano12
L22/06/2026
Deportivo BinacionalCusco
15/06/2026Deportivo BinacionalCusco43
L
Deportivo GarcilasoCusco00
D30/05/2026
ADTCusco
ADTCusco12
W27/05/2026
FlamengoCusco
FlamengoCusco30
L24/05/2026Cusco
Atletico Grau
CuscoAtletico Grau10
W21/05/2026Cusco
Independiente Medellin
CuscoIndependiente Medellin23
L17/05/2026
Sport BoysCusco
Sport BoysCusco10
L11/05/2026Cusco
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
CuscoClub Deportivo Los Chankas11
D07/05/2026Cusco
Estudiantes L.P.
CuscoEstudiantes L.P.11
DAlianza Atletico5W2D3L
10/07/2026Alianza Atletico
Molinos El Pirata
Alianza AtleticoMolinos El Pirata32
W28/06/2026
Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico
19/06/2026Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico12
WAlianza Atletico
Cesar Vallejo20
W13/06/2026
Carlos A. MannucciAlianza Atletico
Carlos A. MannucciAlianza Atletico01
W31/05/2026
FBC MelgarAlianza Atletico
FBC MelgarAlianza Atletico31
L29/05/2026
TigreAlianza Atletico
TigreAlianza Atletico20
L24/05/2026Alianza Atletico
FC Cajamarca
Alianza AtleticoFC Cajamarca11
D22/05/2026
MacaraAlianza Atletico
MacaraAlianza Atletico00
D16/05/2026
Juan Pablo II CollegeAlianza Atletico
Juan Pablo II CollegeAlianza Atletico02
W11/05/2026Deportivo GarcilasoAlianza Atletico
Deportivo GarcilasoAlianza Atletico21
LReferee Profile
3.44Cards per match
3.09Yellow cards per match
0.36Red cards per match
21.1Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
3.44 cards a match, 1.64 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.08).
Cards come from 45 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 54:24 | +30 | 69 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Universitario | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 59:39 | +20 | 61 | DLDWL |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 56:38 | +18 | 57 | DWDWL |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 50:35 | +15 | 55 | DWWWW |
| 5 | Cusco | 33 | 16 | 3 | 14 | 46:47 | -1 | 51 | WLDDW |
| 6 |  Sporting Cristal | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 63:49 | +14 | 50 | WLDDL |
| 7 | Cienciano | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 54:46 | +8 | 50 | DLWWD |
| 8 |  Sport Huancayo | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 48:49 | -1 | 50 | DLWLL |
| 9 | Alianza Atletico | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 49:48 | +1 | 49 | DWLWW |
| 10 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 40:52 | -12 | 48 | LWDLL |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 37:35 | +2 | 46 | DWDLD |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 48:59 | -11 | 41 | DLLLD |
| 13 |  Comerciantes Unidos | 33 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 44:47 | -3 | 37 | DLDLW |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 32:41 | -9 | 37 | LWLLL |
| 15 | ADT | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 37:48 | -11 | 34 | LWDWW |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 46:65 | -19 | 31 | DWWWL |
| 17 |  UCV Moquegua | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 27:48 | -21 | 30 | DLDLW |
| 18 |  UTC Cajamarca | 33 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 38:58 | -20 | 19 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 33 | 54:24 | 69 |
| 2 | Universitario | 33 | 59:39 | 61 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 33 | 56:38 | 57 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 33 | 50:35 | 55 |
| 5 | Cusco | 33 | 46:47 | 51 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 33 | 63:49 | 50 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 33 | 54:46 | 50 |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 33 | 48:49 | 50 |
| 9 | Alianza Atletico | 33 | 49:48 | 49 |
| 10 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 33 | 40:52 | 48 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 33 | 37:35 | 46 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 33 | 48:59 | 41 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 33 | 44:47 | 37 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 33 | 32:41 | 37 |
| 15 | ADT | 33 | 37:48 | 34 |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 33 | 46:65 | 31 |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 33 | 27:48 | 30 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 33 | 38:58 | 19 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | LWDLL |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | DLWWD |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | DLDWL |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | DWDWL |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | WLDDW |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | DWWWW |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | DWLWW |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | DLDLW |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | LWDWW |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | DWDLD |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | WLDDL |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | DLLLD |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | DLDLW |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | DWWWL |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | DLWLL |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Huancayo | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 27:18 | +9 | 34 | DLWLL |
| 2 | Universitario | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 35:24 | +11 | 32 | DLDWL |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 35:19 | +16 | 31 | WLDDL |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 29:17 | +12 | 29 | DWWWW |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 27:18 | +9 | 29 | DWDWL |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24:16 | +8 | 29 | WWDWW |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 29:30 | -1 | 28 | DWLWW |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | +6 | 26 | DWDLD |
| 9 | Juan Pablo II College | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 26:19 | +7 | 25 | DLLLD |
| 10 | Cusco | 16 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 25:23 | +2 | 24 | WLDDW |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 | LWLLL |
| 12 | Cienciano | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 20:24 | -4 | 17 | DLWWD |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 26:27 | -1 | 16 | DLDLW |
| 14 | ADT | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:27 | -12 | 14 | LWDWW |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 23:37 | -14 | 14 | DWWWL |
| 16 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:31 | -16 | 14 | LWDLL |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 10:24 | -14 | 12 | DLDLW |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17:32 | -15 | 6 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Huancayo | 16 | 27:18 | 34 |
| 2 | Universitario | 16 | 35:24 | 32 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 16 | 35:19 | 31 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 29:17 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 16 | 27:18 | 29 |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 16 | 24:16 | 29 |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 16 | 29:30 | 28 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 16 | 22:16 | 26 |
| 9 | Juan Pablo II College | 16 | 26:19 | 25 |
| 10 | Cusco | 16 | 25:23 | 24 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 16 | 20:23 | 21 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 16 | 20:24 | 17 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 16 | 26:27 | 16 |
| 14 | ADT | 16 | 15:27 | 14 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 16 | 23:37 | 14 |
| 16 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 16 | 15:31 | 14 |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 16 | 10:24 | 12 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 16 | 17:32 | 6 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera División matches
- Cienciano vs FBC Melgar 18/07/26
- UCV Moquegua vs Comerciantes Unidos 18/07/26
- ADT vs Universitario 18/07/26
- Atletico Grau vs UTC Cajamarca 18/07/26
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Sport Boys 19/07/26
- Alianza Lima vs Sport Huancayo 20/07/26
- Alianza Atletico vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas 24/07/26
- Universitario vs Cusco 25/07/26
About the Cusco vs Alianza Atletico forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Cusco and Alianza Atletico in the Primera División table
In the Primera División table, Cusco are 5th and Alianza Atletico 9th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Cusco 46-47, Alianza Atletico 49-48. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.