Atletico Grau vs UTC Cajamarca Prediction

Primera DivisiónPeru Peru · Clausura - 1
Atletico Grau
3-1
Finished
HT 2-0
UTC Cajamarca
Estadio Municipal Ambrosio Maco Arroyo, Piura·Michael Espinoza, Peru 18/07/2026
Atletico GrauAtletico Grau
3-1
Finished
UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
56%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.75
SignalNEUTRALModel58%SurpriseMediumGap-1.0%
Value Analysis
53%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.98
SignalNEUTRALModel55%SurpriseMediumGap+6.3%
Atletico Grau Rest
9 days
UTC Cajamarca Rest
6 days

Atletico Grau vs UTC Cajamarca: result, form and history

Atletico Grau beat UTC Cajamarca 3-1 in the Primera División on 18 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.1 goals, and both sides scored in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
56%1.75
X
26%3.40
2
18%4.75
Double Chance
1X
82%1.17
X2
44%2.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.98
No
47%1.73
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.52 + 0.94 = 2.46
Over 1.5
70%1.36
Over 2.5
47%2.12
Over 3.5
30%3.73
Under 1.5
30%2.90
Under 2.5
53%1.67
Under 3.5
70%1.23
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.1 = 8.8
Over 8.5
51%1.75
Over 9.5
37%2.14
Over 10.5
28%2.88
Under 8.5
49%1.96
Under 9.5
63%1.60
Under 10.5
72%1.32
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.9 = 5.2
Over 3.5
72%-
Over 4.5
55%1.72
Under 3.5
28%-
Under 4.5
45%2.00

Match Events

4'R. GuarderasAssist: P. Lavandeira Hernandez
18'M. Da LuzAssist: R. Ruidiaz
22'B. DuarteFoul
29'L. Garro IND. Caro out
30'M. GanozaFoul
46'A. Arroyo INS. Galvez out
52'G. AmeliUnsportsmanlike conduct
57'M. Lliuya
59'J. Cantt INJ. Huerto out
62'P. Lavandeira Hernandez INF. Oncoy out
62'M. Da Luz INA. Fernandez out
72'R. Ruidiaz ING. E. Alfaro Martinez out
72'L. E. Benites Vargas INP. de la Cruz out
78'M. Ganoza INF. Cavagna out
78'A. Munoz INJ. Nunez out
84'Goal Disallowed - offsideL. Acevedo
90+1'A. FernandezAssist: P. de la Cruz
90+2'A. de la Cruz IND. Barreto out

Lineups

Atletico Grau
4-3-3Coach: Gerardo Ameli
UTC Cajamarca
4-1-4-1Coach: Jose Albornoz
Avg rating7.13
Avg rating6.44
Patricio ÁlvarezC7.01P. Álvarez
Diego Rodriguez6.94D. Rodriguez
Rodrigo Tapia7.727R. Tapia
Lucas Acevedo6.62L. Acevedo
Elsar Rodas6.96E. Rodas
Adrián De la Cruz6.966A. De la Cruz
Rafael Guarderas7.95R. Guarderas
Pablo Lavandeira7.315P. Lavandeira
Luis Benites7.096L. Benites
Raúl Ruidíaz6.59R. Ruidíaz
Mauro Da Luz7.777M. Da Luz
Ignacio BarriosC7.329I. Barrios
Luis Garro6.217L. Garro
Manuel Ganoza6.73M. Ganoza
Bruno Duarte5.92B. Duarte
Gilmar Paredes6.635G. Paredes
Arquímedes Figuera6.916A. Figuera
Abdiel Arroyo6.311A. Arroyo
Joshua Cantt6.215J. Cantt
Marcos Lliuya7.210M. Lliuya
Adolfo Muñoz6.319A. Muñoz
David Camacho5.922D. Camacho

Atletico Grau Substitutes

13Freddy Oncoy62'for P. Lavandeira Hernandez7.0
99Adrián Fernández62'for M. Da Luz90+1'7.7
25Gabriel Alfaro72'for R. Ruidiaz6.9
10Paulo de la Cruz72'for L. E. Benites Vargas6.9
7Diego Barreto90+2'for A. de la Cruz
33Aamet Calderón
16José Ataupillco
8Christian Vásquez
20Aldair Vasquez

UTC Cajamarca Substitutes

13Dylan Caro29'for L. Garro6.3
18Santiago Gálvez46'for A. Arroyo6.5
5Carlos Junior Huerto59'for J. Cantt6.3
6Francesco Cavagna78'for M. Ganoza6.2
7Jhosep Nuñez6.3
21Ricardo Bettocchi
8David Dioses
88Luis Arce
9Marlon de Jesús

Match Stats

Atletico GrauUTC Cajamarca
36%Ball Possession64%
2Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards2
15Total Shots10
6Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal4
9Shots Inside Box3
6Shots Outside Box7
4Blocked Shots1
15Fouls11
3Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves3
283Total Passes514
224Passes Accurate429
79%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

Atletico GrauAtletico Grau
UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca
1544Elo Rating 1425
1.34Attack 1.42
1.14Defense 1.27
27%Hit Rate 23%
8.5Shots per Game 12.6
3.0Shots on Target 4.8
3.1Corners per Game 4.2
1.7Cards per Game 3.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+119 Elo
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Atletico GrauAtletico Grau
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Atletico GrauAtletico Grau4Wins · 40%
Draws330%
UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca3Wins · 30%
3.1Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera División30/01/2026
UTC CajamarcaAtletico Grau
20
Primera División19/10/2025
Atletico GrauUTC Cajamarca
02
Primera División13/06/2025
UTC CajamarcaAtletico Grau
02
Primera División30/09/2024
Atletico GrauUTC Cajamarca
40
Primera División27/04/2024
UTC CajamarcaAtletico Grau
32
Primera División15/09/2023
Atletico GrauUTC Cajamarca
42
Primera División21/04/2023
UTC CajamarcaAtletico Grau
11
Primera División23/07/2022
Atletico GrauUTC Cajamarca
31
Primera División19/02/2022
UTC CajamarcaAtletico Grau
00
Copa Bicentenario11/08/2019
Atletico GrauUTC Cajamarca
7262

Recent Form

Atletico GrauAtletico Grau
5W1D4L
09/07/2026
Atletico GrauCarlos A. Mannucci
8171
W
27/06/2026
UniversitarioAtletico Grau
11
D
22/06/2026
Atletico GrauMolinos El Pirata
32
W
29/05/2026
Atletico GrauUCV Moquegua
10
W
24/05/2026
CuscoAtletico Grau
10
L
16/05/2026
UniversitarioAtletico Grau
01
W
09/05/2026
Atletico GrauCienciano
12
L
02/05/2026
ADTAtletico Grau
10
L
26/04/2026
Atletico GrauAlianza Lima
01
L
22/04/2026
Atletico GrauSporting Cristal
41
W
UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca
2W4D4L
12/07/2026
UTC CajamarcaDeportiva Agropecuaria
41
W
26/06/2026
UTC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca
31
W
15/06/2026
Deportivo LlacuabambaUTC Cajamarca
22
D
31/05/2026
Club Deportivo Los ChankasUTC Cajamarca
22
D
23/05/2026
UTC CajamarcaSport Boys
00
D
17/05/2026
Deportivo GarcilasoUTC Cajamarca
20
L
08/05/2026
UTC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca
12
L
04/05/2026
FBC MelgarUTC Cajamarca
20
L
26/04/2026
UTC CajamarcaCienciano
22
D
19/04/2026
Sporting CristalUTC Cajamarca
32
L

Referee Profile

Michael Espinoza157 matches

5.56Cards per match
5.09Yellow cards per match
0.47Red cards per match
26.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Michael Espinoza5.56
Other referees5.39

5.56 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.39).

Cards come from 127 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026

Primera Division: Tabla Anual

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima33209454:24+3069WWDWW
2UniversitarioUniversitario331710659:39+2061DLDWL
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar33169856:38+1857DWDWL
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso331671050:35+1555DWWWW
5Sporting CristalSporting Cristal331561263:48+1551WLDDL
6CuscoCusco331631446:47-151WLDDW
7CiencianoCienciano331551354:46+850DLWWD
8Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo331551348:49-150DLWLL
9Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico331471249:48+149DWLWW
10Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas331391140:52-1248LWDLL
11Sport BoysSport Boys3312101137:35+246DWDLD
12Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College331181448:59-1141DLLLD
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos338131244:47-337DLDLW
14Atletico GrauAtletico Grau331071632:41-937LWLLL
15ADTADT337111536:48-1232LWDWW
16FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca33871846:65-1931DWWWL
17UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua33791727:48-2130DLDLW
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca33591938:58-2019DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima3354:2469
2UniversitarioUniversitario3359:3961
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar3356:3857
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso3350:3555
5Sporting CristalSporting Cristal3363:4851
6CuscoCusco3346:4751
7CiencianoCienciano3354:4650
8Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo3348:4950
9Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico3349:4849
10Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas3340:5248
11Sport BoysSport Boys3337:3546
12Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College3348:5941
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos3344:4737
14Atletico GrauAtletico Grau3332:4137
15ADTADT3336:4832
16FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca3346:6531
17UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua3327:4830
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca3338:5819

Primera Division: Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima17124130:8+2240WWDWW
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas17104325:21+434LWDLL
3CiencianoCienciano17103434:22+1233DLWWD
4UniversitarioUniversitario1785424:15+929DLDWL
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1784529:20+928DWDWL
6CuscoCusco1783621:24-327WLDDW
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1775521:18+326DWWWW
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1756620:18+221DWLWW
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1756618:20-221DLDLW
10ADTADT1755722:21+120LWDWW
11Sport BoysSport Boys1755715:19-420DWDLD
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1754828:30-219WLDDL
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1746721:26-518DLLLD
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1753917:24-718DLDLW
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1745823:28-517DWWWL
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1744912:18-616LWLLL
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1744921:31-1016DLWLL
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1744922:40-1816DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1730:840
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1725:2134
3CiencianoCienciano1734:2233
4UniversitarioUniversitario1724:1529
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1729:2028
6CuscoCusco1721:2427
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1721:1826
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1720:1821
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1718:2021
10ADTADT1722:2120
11Sport BoysSport Boys1715:1920
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1728:3019
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1721:2618
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1717:2418
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1723:2817
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1712:1816
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1721:3116
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1722:4016

Primera Division: Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo16111427:18+934DLWLL
2Sporting CristalSporting Cristal16102435:18+1732WLDDL
3UniversitarioUniversitario1695235:24+1132DLDWL
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1692529:17+1229DWWWW
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1685327:18+929DWDWL
6Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1685324:16+829WWDWW
7Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1691629:30-128DWLWW
8Sport BoysSport Boys1675422:16+626DWDLD
9Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1674526:19+725DLLLD
10CuscoCusco1680825:23+224WLDDW
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1663720:23-321LWLLL
12CiencianoCienciano1652920:24-417DLWWD
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1637626:27-116DLDLW
14FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca16421023:37-1414DWWWL
15Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1635815:31-1614LWDLL
16ADTADT1626814:27-1312LWDWW
17UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1626810:24-1412DLDLW
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca16131217:32-156DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1627:1834
2Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1635:1832
3UniversitarioUniversitario1635:2432
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1629:1729
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1627:1829
6Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1624:1629
7Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1629:3028
8Sport BoysSport Boys1622:1626
9Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1626:1925
10CuscoCusco1625:2324
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1620:2321
12CiencianoCienciano1620:2417
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1626:2716
14FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1623:3714
15Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1615:3114
16ADTADT1614:2712
17UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1610:2412
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1617:326
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About the Atletico Grau vs UTC Cajamarca forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Atletico Grau and UTC Cajamarca in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, Atletico Grau are 14th and UTC Cajamarca 18th, 18 points apart. League goal record so far: Atletico Grau 32-41, UTC Cajamarca 38-58. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.