Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Riyadh Prediction
Saudi Arabia · Regular Season - 5
King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah 04/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.48
SignalSTRONGModel64%SurpriseHighGap+13.2%
Al-Ahli Jeddah Rest
3 days
Al Riyadh Rest
7 days
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Riyadh: the result in context
Al-Ahli Jeddah beat Al Riyadh 5-0 in the Pro League on 4 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Al-Ahli Jeddah have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 2.4 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
192%1.27
X4%5.35
24%8.70
Double Chance
1X97%1.06
X28%3.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes43%1.81
No57%1.91
Goals
Projected Goals: 3.01 + 0.72 = 3.73
Over 1.597%1.14
Over 2.577%1.48
Over 3.559%2.19
Under 1.53%5.45
Under 2.523%2.62
Under 3.541%1.65
Corners
Projected Corners: 7.3 + 3.4 = 10.7
Over 8.564%1.44
Over 9.557%1.75
Over 10.542%2.19
Under 8.536%2.58
Under 9.543%2.00
Under 10.558%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.2 + 1.7 = 2.9
Over 3.533%1.57
Over 4.517%2.12
Under 3.567%2.32
Under 4.583%1.67
Match Events
13'Penalty confirmedSaad Yaslam Balobaid
16'Ivan Toney(Penalty)
43'Eduard SpertsyanAssist: Saad Yaslam Balobaid
45'Fahad Mohammed Al-Jayzani INHussain Al Shurafa out
45+2'Francisco TrincãoAssist: Saad Yaslam Balobaid
47'Hussain Al ShurafaFoul
57'Penalty confirmedArtem Bondarenko
60'Mohammed Al-KhaibariFoul
61'Ivan Toney(Penalty)
62'Artem Bondarenko INZiyad Al-Johani out
69'Leandro Antunes INMarzouq Tambakti out
69'Essam Hassan Abdullah Bahri INHussain Al-Raqwani out
75'Eduard Spertsyan INSaleh Aboulshamat out
75'Wenderson Galeno INFiras Al-Buraikan out
75'Valentin Atangana Edoa INNaif Masoud Khalid out
77'Saad Yaslam BalobaidFoul
81'Teddy Okou INAbdulilah Al Tale out
83'Saad Yaslam Balobaid INZakaria Hawsawi out
85'Abdulilah Al TaleFoul
87'Naif Masoud KhalidAssist: Firas Al-Buraikan
89'Hassan Hashim Al-Ali INSalman Matar out
Lineups
Al-Ahli JeddahAl Riyadh
4-4-2Coach: Maurício DulacAvg ratingAvg rating
16É. Mendy
5M. Bakor
46R. Hamidou
3Ibañez
31S. Yaslam
6V. Atangana Edoa
19A. Bondarenko
8E. Spertsyan
7Trincão
17I. Toney
13Galeno
82M. Borjan
2S. Alessa
67M. Al Khaibari
26R. Abascal
12S. Hazazi
10T. Okou
22V. Lekhal
79F. Al Jayzani
14E. Bahri
77L. Antunes
11H. Al AliAl-Ahli Jeddah Substitutes
21Abdullah Radif
72Salman Al-Jadani
9Feras Al Brikan75'for Wenderson Galeno
47Waheb Saleh75'for Eduard Spertsyan
30Ziyad Al Johani62'for Artem Bondarenko
11Meshal Al Mutairi
1Abdulrahman Al Sanbi
2Zakaria Al Hawsawi83'for Saad Yaslam Balobaid
66Naif Masoud75'for Valentin Atangana Edoa87'
Al Riyadh Substitutes
16Faisal Al Sobhi
5Hossam Majrashi
87Marzouq Tambakti69'for Leandro Antunes
13Osama Al-Boardi
17Hussain Al-Raqwani69'for Essam Hassan Abdullah Bahri
19b. A. Al Shurafaa H. b. A.45'for Fahad Mohammed Al-Jayzani47'
24A. Al Tale81'for Teddy Okou85'
97Emad Fida
29S. Matar89'for Hassan Hashim Al-Ali
Match Stats
Al-Ahli JeddahAl Riyadh 56%Ball Possession44%
4Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards3
16Total Shots12
8Shots on Goal1
2Shots off Goal4
10Shots Inside Box4
6Shots Outside Box8
6Blocked Shots7
11Fouls8
1Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves3
356Total Passes273
303Passes Accurate217
85%Pass Accuracy79%
Team Comparison
Al-Ahli JeddahAl Riyadh1825Elo Rating 1497
3.15Attack 1.07
1.80Defense 2.31
86%Hit Rate 44%
13.6Shots per Game 13.4
7.7Shots on Target 3.9
3.2Corners per Game 4.9
0.9Cards per Game 1.9
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+328 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.74 goals
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%
Game State Tendencies
Al-Ahli Jeddah- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (2.2 vs 1 in first half)
Al Riyadh- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Al-Ahli Jeddah5Wins · 63%Draws112%
Al Riyadh2Wins · 25%
2Wins · 25%2.4Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored2 of 8
38%3+ goals3 of 8
Previous meetings
26/02/2026Al RiyadhAl-Ahli Jeddah01
30/10/2025Al-Ahli JeddahAl Riyadh11
26/05/2025Al RiyadhAl-Ahli Jeddah01
26/01/2025Al-Ahli JeddahAl Riyadh50
25/04/2024Al RiyadhAl-Ahli Jeddah21
05/11/2023Al-Ahli JeddahAl Riyadh30
12/03/2023Al-Ahli JeddahAl Riyadh02
16/10/2022Al RiyadhAl-Ahli Jeddah02
Recent Form
Al-Ahli Jeddah4W2D4L
01/09/2026
Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Ahli Jeddah
Al KholoodAl-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah
AucklandAl-Ahli Jeddah
Abha
Al DiriyahAl-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Ahli Jeddah30
L29/08/2026Al KholoodAl-Ahli Jeddah31
L26/08/2026Al-Ahli JeddahAuckland10
W22/08/2026Al-Ahli JeddahAbha40
W17/08/2026
Al AnwarAl-Ahli Jeddah
13/08/2026Al AnwarAl-Ahli Jeddah12
WAl DiriyahAl-Ahli Jeddah01
W28/07/2026Al-Ahli Jeddah
Fulham
Al-Ahli JeddahFulham11
D28/07/2026
PortimonenseAl-Ahli Jeddah
PortimonenseAl-Ahli Jeddah20
L24/07/2026Al-Ahli Jeddah
Guimaraes
Al-Ahli JeddahGuimaraes13
L19/07/2026
Rio AveAl-Ahli Jeddah
Rio AveAl-Ahli Jeddah22
DAl Riyadh4W2D4L
28/08/2026Al Riyadh
NEOM
Al ShababAl RiyadhAl Riyadh
Al-Nassr
Al-EttifaqAl Riyadh
Al RiyadhNEOM10
W25/08/2026Al ShababAl Riyadh33
D21/08/2026Al RiyadhAl-Nassr04
L17/08/2026
Al ZulfiAl Riyadh
14/08/2026Al ZulfiAl Riyadh02
WAl-EttifaqAl Riyadh42
L21/05/2026Al Riyadh
Al Okhdood
Al RiyadhAl Okhdood10
W15/05/2026
Al TaawonAl Riyadh
Al TaawonAl Riyadh11
D10/05/2026Al Riyadh
Al-Fateh
Al RiyadhAl-Fateh10
W04/05/2026
Al-FayhaAl Riyadh
Al-FayhaAl Riyadh42
L29/04/2026Al Riyadh
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al RiyadhAl-Qadisiyah FC04
LLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 30:9 | +21 | 27 | WWWWL |
| 2 | Al-Nassr | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23:8 | +15 | 25 | WWWDW |
| 3 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 26:12 | +14 | 25 | LWWWD |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | +10 | 23 | WWLWW |
| 5 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 27:13 | +14 | 21 | WWWWL |
| 6 | NEOM | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 16:9 | +7 | 19 | WLLDW |
| 7 | Al-Ettifaq | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17:16 | +1 | 18 | WLWDD |
| 8 | Al Diriyah | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 15 | LWDLD |
| 9 | Al Kholood | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:21 | -7 | 12 | LLLLW |
| 10 |  Al Khaleej Saihat | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10:17 | -7 | 12 | LWWDD |
| 11 | Al Riyadh | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | -8 | 12 | WLDWD |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 11 | WDWDL |
| 13 |  Al-Hazm | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 | DLLDL |
| 14 | Al-Fayha | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 | DLLDD |
| 15 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:20 | -9 | 7 | LDWLD |
| 16 | Al-Fateh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10:23 | -13 | 6 | LLWLL |
| 17 | Al Taawon | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5:19 | -14 | 4 | LLDLL |
| 18 | Abha | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6:17 | -11 | 2 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 30:9 | 27 |
| 2 | Al-Nassr | 10 | 23:8 | 25 |
| 3 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 11 | 26:12 | 25 |
| 4 | Al-Ittihad FC | 10 | 20:10 | 23 |
| 5 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 10 | 27:13 | 21 |
| 6 | NEOM | 11 | 16:9 | 19 |
| 7 | Al-Ettifaq | 11 | 17:16 | 18 |
| 8 | Al Diriyah | 11 | 9:11 | 15 |
| 9 | Al Kholood | 10 | 14:21 | 12 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 11 | 10:17 | 12 |
| 11 | Al Riyadh | 10 | 11:19 | 12 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 10 | 14:14 | 11 |
| 13 | Al-Hazm | 11 | 12:16 | 10 |
| 14 | Al-Fayha | 11 | 12:19 | 8 |
| 15 | Al-Faisaly FC | 10 | 11:20 | 7 |
| 16 | Al-Fateh | 11 | 10:23 | 6 |
| 17 | Al Taawon | 11 | 5:19 | 4 |
| 18 | Abha | 9 | 6:17 | 2 |
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About the Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Riyadh forecast
The forecasts for this Pro League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Al-Ahli Jeddah and Al Riyadh in the Pro League table
In the Pro League table, Al-Ahli Jeddah are 5th and Al Riyadh 11th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Al-Ahli Jeddah 27-13, Al Riyadh 11-19. The full standings are on the Pro League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.