Al-Fateh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah Prediction

Al-Fateh
0-4
Finished
HT 0-1
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Maydan Tamweel Al Oula, Al-Hasa·Abdullah Al Owaidan 09/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.36
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+1.3%
Value Analysis
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.36
SignalHIGHModel77%SurpriseMediumGap+5.2%
Al-Fateh Rest
25 days
Al-Ahli Jeddah Rest
20 days

Al-Fateh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah: result, form and history

Al-Ahli Jeddah beat Al-Fateh 4-0 in the Pro League on 9 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Al-Ahli Jeddah had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Al-Fateh.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Al-Fateh tend to win more corners, 6.6 a game to 3.2 for Al-Ahli Jeddah.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
17%5.72
X
20%4.80
2
63%1.40
Double Chance
1X
37%2.63
X2
83%1.12
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%1.49
No
32%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.28 + 2.24 = 3.52
Over 1.5
87%1.10
Over 2.5
72%1.36
Over 3.5
51%1.91
Under 1.5
13%6.50
Under 2.5
28%3.10
Under 3.5
49%1.84
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.7 + 6.5 = 10.2
Over 8.5
67%1.45
Over 9.5
56%1.75
Over 10.5
41%2.23
Under 8.5
33%2.52
Under 9.5
44%1.98
Under 10.5
59%1.59
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 1.7 = 4
Over 3.5
57%1.62
Over 4.5
38%2.22
Under 3.5
43%2.20
Under 4.5
62%1.62

Match Events

31'Francisco Trincão
45'Zaydou Youssouf INAbdul Aziz Al-Fawaz out
45'Matheus Gonçalves Martins INEduard Spertsyan out
45'Abdul Rahman Al Khaibari INSattam Tumbukti out
50'Francisco Trincão
55'Kennedy BoatengFoul
60'Ivan ToneyAssist: Eduard Spertsyan
62'Wenderson Galeno INFiras Al-Buraikan out
62'Ali Al-Hassan INRobin Kelder out
62'Wilfried Kanga INFaisal Abdulwahed out
63'Marwane SaadaneDissent
76'Valentin Atangana EdoaFoul
76'Faisal AbdulwahedArgument
78'Valentin Atangana Edoa INSaleh Aboulshamat out
78'Ivan Toney INArtem Bondarenko out
82'Lukáš Haraslín INSaad Al-Shurafa out
85'Francisco Trincão INMeshal Al Materai out
89'Ziyad Al-Johani
90+2'Mourad BatnaDissent
90+3'Goal cancelledMohammed Sulaiman

Lineups

Al-Fateh
5-4-1Coach: Khaled Al Atawi
Al-Ahli Jeddah
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Pusic
Avg rating5.86
Avg rating7.31
A. Šemper6.51A. Šemper
Abdul Rahman Al Khaibari5.622A. Rahman Al Khaibari
M. Lixandru6.18M. Lixandru
M. Saâdane5.817M. Saâdane
K. Boateng5.93K. Boateng
Abdulaziz Al Suwailem5.778A. Al Suwailem
M. Batna5.811M. Batna
Ali Al Hassan6.06A. Al Hassan
Z. Youssouf5.428Z. Youssouf
L. Haraslín5.510L. Haraslín
W. Kanga6.29W. Kanga
Abdulrahman Al Sanbi6.71A. Al Sanbi
Saeed Baattia7.815S. Baattia
M. Demiral7.628M. Demiral
Mohammed Bakor7.35M. Bakor
Saad Yaslam7.531S. Yaslam
V. Atangana Edoa6.56V. Atangana Edoa
Ziyad Al Johani8.230Z. Al Johani
Trincão9.77Trincão
Matheus Gonçalves6.420M. Gonçalves
Galeno6.513Galeno
I. Toney8.117I. Toney

Al-Fateh Substitutes

25M. Al Sahihi
88Othman Al-Othma
7Fahad Al Zubaidi
18Abdulaziz Al Fawaz45'for Zaydou Youssouf5.9
94Waleed Al Anzi
80Faisal Al Abdulwahed62'for Wilfried Kanga76'5.7
49Saad Al Sharfa82'for Lukáš Haraslín6.3
87Sattam Al Tumbukti45'for Abdul Rahman Al Khaibari5.8
19R. Kelder62'for Ali Al-Hassan5.7

Al-Ahli Jeddah Substitutes

9Feras Al Brikan62'for Wenderson Galeno6.7
47Waheb Saleh78'for Valentin Atangana Edoa6.9
62Abdullah Abdo
11Meshal Al Mutairi85'for Francisco Trincão6.8
19A. Bondarenko78'for Ivan Toney6.8
46Rayane Hamidou
21Abdullah Radif
8E. Spertsyan45'for Matheus Gonçalves Martins7.4
29Mohammed Yousef

Match Stats

Al-FatehAl-Ahli Jeddah
38%Ball Possession62%
3Corner Kicks4
4Yellow Cards1
5Total Shots17
1Shots on Goal10
3Shots off Goal5
4Shots Inside Box11
1Shots Outside Box6
1Blocked Shots2
20Fouls17
1Offsides1
6Goalkeeper Saves1
277Total Passes451
224Passes Accurate389
17Free Kicks20

Team Comparison

Al-FatehAl-Fateh
Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah
1424Elo Rating 1825
1.59Attack 3.15
0.00Defense 1.80
19%Hit Rate 86%
12.6Shots per Game 13.6
4.0Shots on Target 7.7
6.6Corners per Game 3.2
2.1Cards per Game 0.9

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.52 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Al-FatehAl-Fateh
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.2 vs 1 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Al-FatehAl-Fateh4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah4Wins · 40%
2.7Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Pro League06/05/2026
Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Fateh
31
Pro League26/12/2025
Al-FatehAl-Ahli Jeddah
21
Pro League07/02/2025
Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Fateh
20
Pro League27/08/2024
Al-FatehAl-Ahli Jeddah
10
Pro League02/03/2024
Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Fateh
11
Pro League02/09/2023
Al-FatehAl-Ahli Jeddah
51
Pro League11/02/2022
Al-FatehAl-Ahli Jeddah
01
Pro League17/09/2021
Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Fateh
11
Pro League20/03/2021
Al-FatehAl-Ahli Jeddah
41
Pro League22/12/2020
Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Fateh
10

Referee Profile

Abdullah Al Owaidan17 matches

3.81Cards per match
3.63Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
24.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Abdullah Al Owaidan3.81
Other referees4.08

3.81 cards a match, 0.27 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.08).

Cards come from 16 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC1090130:9+2127WWWWL
2Al-NassrAl-Nassr1081123:8+1525WWWDW
3Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC1181226:12+1425LWWWD
4Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC1072120:10+1023WWLWW
5Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah1070327:13+1421WWWWL
6NEOMNEOM1161416:9+719WLLDW
7Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq1153317:16+118WLWDD
8Al DiriyahAl Diriyah114349:11-215LWDLD
9Al KholoodAl Kholood1033414:21-712LLLLW
10Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat1126310:17-712LWWDD
11Al RiyadhAl Riyadh1033411:19-812WLDWD
12Al ShababAl Shabab1025314:14011WDWDL
13Al-HazmAl-Hazm1124512:16-410DLLDL
14Al-Faisaly FCAl-Faisaly FC1124512:20-810WLDWL
15Al-FayhaAl-Fayha1115512:19-78DLLDD
16Al-FatehAl-Fateh1113710:23-136LLWLL
17Al TaawonAl Taawon110475:19-144LLDLL
18AbhaAbha100286:18-122LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC1030:927
2Al-NassrAl-Nassr1023:825
3Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC1126:1225
4Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC1020:1023
5Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah1027:1321
6NEOMNEOM1116:919
7Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq1117:1618
8Al DiriyahAl Diriyah119:1115
9Al KholoodAl Kholood1014:2112
10Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat1110:1712
11Al RiyadhAl Riyadh1011:1912
12Al ShababAl Shabab1014:1411
13Al-HazmAl-Hazm1112:1610
14Al-Faisaly FCAl-Faisaly FC1112:2010
15Al-FayhaAl-Fayha1112:198
16Al-FatehAl-Fateh1110:236
17Al TaawonAl Taawon115:194
18AbhaAbha106:182
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Al-Fateh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Al-Fateh and Al-Ahli Jeddah in the Pro League table

In the Pro League table, Al-Ahli Jeddah are 5th and Al-Fateh 16th, 15 points apart. League goal record so far: Al-Fateh 10-23, Al-Ahli Jeddah 27-13. The full standings are on the Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.