NEOM vs Al-Fateh Prediction
Saudi Arabia · Regular Season - 7
King Khalid Sports City, Tabuk 13/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
62%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.62
SignalNEUTRALModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+0.3%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.62
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+3.4%
NEOM Rest
5 days
Al-Fateh Rest
3 days
NEOM vs Al-Fateh: the result in context
NEOM beat Al-Fateh 4-2 in the Pro League on 13 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: NEOM had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Al-Fateh.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
164%1.62
X23%3.82
213%4.60
Double Chance
1X87%1.18
X236%2.12
Both Teams to Score
Yes54%1.64
No46%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.75 + 1.02 = 2.77
Over 1.577%1.18
Over 2.548%1.65
Over 3.529%2.62
Under 1.523%4.25
Under 2.552%2.15
Under 3.571%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 3.2 = 8.9
Over 8.549%1.61
Over 9.537%2.00
Over 10.534%2.60
Under 8.551%2.13
Under 9.563%1.68
Under 10.566%1.40
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 1.9 = 3.3
Over 3.542%1.62
Over 4.524%2.25
Under 3.558%2.20
Under 4.576%1.60
Match Events
6'Khalil Al-AbsiFoul
16'Alexandre Lacazette(Penalty)
39'Amadou KonéFoul
41'Mourad Batna
42'Mihai LixandruTime wasting
45+5'Christophe GaltierArgument
45+6'Christophe GaltierAbusive Language
51'Amadou KonéAssist: Muhanad Al Saad
64'Wilfried Kanga
65'Khalil Al-Absi INGeorgios Masouras out
70'Alexandre LacazetteAssist: Islam Ahmed Hawsawi
75'Muhanad Al Saad INValentín Vada out
76'Islam Ahmed Hawsawi INMohannad Abu Taha out
79'Valentín VadaAssist: Mohannad Abu Taha
81'Faisal Abdulwahed INHossam Essadak out
81'Lukáš Haraslín INFahad Al Zubaidi out
81'Sattam Tumbukti INAbdul Rahman Al Khaibari out
81'Ali Al-Hassan INSaad Al-Shurafa out
87'Wilfried Kanga INJefferson Soares Oliveira Ramos out
90'Abdulmalik Al-Oyayari INKhalifah Al-Dawsari out
90'Alaa Hejji INAbbas Al Hassan out
Lineups
NEOMAl-Fateh
4-3-3Coach: Khaled Al AtawiAvg ratingAvg rating
1M. Bułka
15A. Al Oyayari
5M. Sarr
44N. Zézé
27I. Hawsawi
77M. Al Saad
18A. Al Hajji
72A. Koné
14K. Al Absi
91A. Lacazette
70H. Camara
1A. Šemper
87S. Al Tumbukti
8M. Lixandru
4Z. Al Jari
16A. Al Khaibari
6A. Al Hassan
28Z. Youssouf
80F. Al Abdulwahed
11M. Batna
9W. Kanga
10L. HaraslínNEOM Substitutes
19Mohannad Abu Taha76'for Islam Ahmed Hawsawi
4Khalifah Al Dawsari90'for Abdulmalik Al-Oyayari
55Muhammad Al Dosari
8Faisal Al Ghamdi
6A. Al Hassan90'for Alaa Hejji
7G. Masouras65'for Khalil Al-Absi
23V. Vada75'for Muhanad Al Saad79'
33Abdulrahman Dagriri
22A. Al Anzi
Al-Fateh Substitutes
7Fahad Al Zubaidi81'for Lukáš Haraslín
20H. Essadak81'for Faisal Abdulwahed
19Robin Kelder
21Ramos Jefferson87'for Wilfried Kanga
63Montadhar Al Shqaq
49Saad Al Sharfa81'for Ali Al-Hassan
25M. Al Sahihi
22Abdul Rahman Al Khaibari81'for Sattam Tumbukti
94Waleed Al Anzi
Match Stats
NEOMAl-Fateh 63%Ball Possession37%
11Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards1
21Total Shots13
6Shots on Goal7
8Shots off Goal2
15Shots Inside Box9
6Shots Outside Box4
7Blocked Shots4
13Fouls10
3Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves2
475Total Passes278
432Passes Accurate220
91%Pass Accuracy79%
Team Comparison
NEOMAl-Fateh1663Elo Rating 1422
1.79Attack 1.12
2.05Defense 0.29
66%Hit Rate 17%
12.3Shots per Game 10.3
3.9Shots on Target 2.6
3.9Corners per Game 5.8
1.7Cards per Game 2.5
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+241 Elo
📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
NEOM- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.7 in second half)
Al-Fateh- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Head to Head
Last 2 meetings, all competitions
NEOM0Wins · 0%Draws150%
Al-Fateh1Wins · 50%
1Wins · 50%2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2
Previous meetings
02/05/2026Al-FatehNEOM22
10/01/2026NEOMAl-Fateh01
Recent Form
NEOM7W1D2L
07/09/2026
Al-Hilal Saudi FCNEOMNEOM
Al Khaleej Saihat
Al RiyadhNEOMNEOM
Al-Qadisiyah FCNEOM
Al-Fayha
Al-Hilal Saudi FCNEOM02
W03/09/2026NEOMAl Khaleej Saihat30
W28/08/2026Al RiyadhNEOM10
L24/08/2026NEOMAl-Qadisiyah FC02
L21/08/2026
Al-Faisaly FCNEOM
Al-Faisaly FCNEOM02
W18/08/2026Al-Faisaly FCNEOM
14/08/2026Al-Faisaly FCNEOM13
WNEOMAl-Fayha21
W31/07/2026
Las PalmasNEOM
Las PalmasNEOM01
W24/07/2026
Orlando PiratesNEOM
Orlando PiratesNEOM01
W17/07/2026
PeterboroughNEOM
PeterboroughNEOM00
DAl-Fateh1W4D5L
09/09/2026Al-Fateh
Al Diriyah
Al TaawonAl-FatehAl-Fateh
Al-Ittihad FCAl-Faisaly FCAl-FatehAl-Fateh
Al-Ettifaq
Al-FatehAl Diriyah12
L05/09/2026Al TaawonAl-Fateh00
D29/08/2026Al-FatehAl-Ittihad FC00
D26/08/2026Al-Faisaly FCAl-Fateh11
D22/08/2026Al-FatehAl-Ettifaq01
L19/08/2026
Al UlaAl-Fateh
Al UlaAl-Fateh30
L15/08/2026
Al-NassrAl-Fateh
Al-NassrAl-Fateh30
L25/07/2026
MallorcaAl-Fateh
MallorcaAl-Fateh30
L21/05/2026
Al KholoodAl-Fateh
Al KholoodAl-Fateh00
D14/05/2026Al-Fateh
Al Najma
Al-FatehAl Najma20
WLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 32:9 | +23 | 30 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 32:12 | +20 | 28 | WLWWW |
| 3 | Al-Nassr | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28:11 | +17 | 28 | WWWWD |
| 4 | Al-Ittihad FC | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21:11 | +10 | 24 | DWWLW |
| 5 | NEOM | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 18:10 | +8 | 22 | WWLLD |
| 6 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 28:19 | +9 | 21 | LWWWW |
| 7 | Al-Ettifaq | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18:17 | +1 | 19 | DWLWD |
| 8 | Al Diriyah | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 15 | LLWDL |
| 9 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14:19 | -5 | 15 | WLWWD |
| 10 |  Al Shabab | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 20:15 | +5 | 14 | WWDWD |
| 11 | Al Kholood | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17:26 | -9 | 12 | LLLLL |
| 12 | Al Riyadh | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:25 | -14 | 12 | LWLDW |
| 13 | Al-Fayha | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16:20 | -4 | 11 | WDLLD |
| 14 |  Al-Hazm | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 10 | LDLLD |
| 15 | Al-Faisaly FC | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13:24 | -11 | 10 | LWLDW |
| 16 | Al-Fateh | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10:25 | -15 | 6 | LLLWL |
| 17 | Al Taawon | 12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 6:20 | -14 | 5 | DLLDL |
| 18 |  Abha | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7:19 | -12 | 3 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 11 | 32:9 | 30 |
| 2 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 12 | 32:12 | 28 |
| 3 | Al-Nassr | 11 | 28:11 | 28 |
| 4 | Al-Ittihad FC | 11 | 21:11 | 24 |
| 5 | NEOM | 12 | 18:10 | 22 |
| 6 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 11 | 28:19 | 21 |
| 7 | Al-Ettifaq | 12 | 18:17 | 19 |
| 8 | Al Diriyah | 12 | 10:13 | 15 |
| 9 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 12 | 14:19 | 15 |
| 10 | Al Shabab | 11 | 20:15 | 14 |
| 11 | Al Kholood | 11 | 17:26 | 12 |
| 12 | Al Riyadh | 11 | 11:25 | 12 |
| 13 | Al-Fayha | 12 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 | Al-Hazm | 12 | 14:20 | 10 |
| 15 | Al-Faisaly FC | 12 | 13:24 | 10 |
| 16 | Al-Fateh | 12 | 10:25 | 6 |
| 17 | Al Taawon | 12 | 6:20 | 5 |
| 18 | Abha | 11 | 7:19 | 3 |
Champions LeagueRelegation
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About the NEOM vs Al-Fateh forecast
The forecasts for this Pro League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
NEOM and Al-Fateh in the Pro League table
In the Pro League table, NEOM are 5th and Al-Fateh 16th, 16 points apart. League goal record so far: NEOM 18-10, Al-Fateh 10-25. The full standings are on the Pro League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
NEOM and Al-Fateh have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.