Al-Gharafa vs Al Ahli Doha Prediction

Al-Gharafa
2-2
Finished
HT 2-0
Al Ahli Doha
Al Gharafa Stadium , Doha 22/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalGOODModel49%SurpriseMediumGap-2.4%
Al-Gharafa Rest
4 days
Al Ahli Doha Rest
6 days

Al-Gharafa vs Al Ahli Doha: result, form and history

Al-Gharafa and Al Ahli Doha drew 2-2 in the Stars League on 22 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.5 goals, and both sides scored in 7 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%1.93
X
23%3.87
2
27%3.10
Double Chance
1X
73%1.30
X2
50%1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%1.38
No
35%2.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.8 + 1.36 = 3.16
Over 1.5
84%1.10
Over 2.5
67%1.37
Over 3.5
45%2.00
Under 1.5
16%6.00
Under 2.5
33%2.88
Under 3.5
55%1.75
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

13'Seydou SanoAssist: Ismaël Bennacer
22'Amro SuragFoul
36'Yacine BrahimiAssist: Adam Ounas
52'Erik ExpósitoAssist: Naïm Sliti
58'Ismaeel Mohammad INYounis Hussein Abdelrahman out
59'Hassan Aladin INFlorinel Coman out
65'Ismaël Bennacer INHyun-Soo Jang out
78'Adam Ounas INAbdulrahman Al-Rashidi out
78'Ghanem Al-Minhali INLuiz Junior out
87'Robin Tihi INZinedine Sassi out
87'Ayoub Amraoui INSuhaib Gannan out
87'Benjamin Bourigeaud INHamad Mansour out
90+3'Naïm SlitiAssist: Luiz Junior

Lineups

Al-Gharafa
4-2-3-1Coach: Pedro Martins
Al Ahli Doha
4-1-4-1Coach: Borja Jiménez
Avg rating6.78
Avg rating6.65
Khalifa Ababacar8.01K. Ababacar
Amro Abdelfatah Ali Surag5.911A. Abdelfatah Ali Surag
S. Sano7.34S. Sano
Dame Traoré6.56D. Traoré
Saifeldeen Hassan Fadlalla6.023S. Hassan Fadlalla
Ayoub Al Oui6.518A. Al Oui
F. Díaz6.929F. Díaz
A. Ounas6.996A. Ounas
I. Bennacer6.810I. Bennacer
Y. Brahimi8.28Y. Brahimi
A. Hassan6.690A. Hassan
Mohamed Lingliz5.913M. Lingliz
Ahmed Reyed6.941A. Reyed
R. Tihi6.516R. Tihi
A. Amraoui6.788A. Amraoui
Ghanem Al Minhali6.612G. Al Minhali
D. Fettouhi6.433D. Fettouhi
Ismaeel Mohammad6.177I. Mohammad
B. Bourigeaud6.427B. Bourigeaud
J. Draxler7.27J. Draxler
N. Sliti8.323N. Sliti
Erik Expósito7.210E. Expósito

Al-Gharafa Substitutes

49R. Faragalla
48Fahed Amro Abu Hamdeh
26Rayyan Al Ali
2Abdulrahman Faiz Al Rashidi78'for Adam Ounas6.2
7F. Coman59'for Hassan Aladin6.8
24Hamad Kahiout
16Jamil Friarkh
20Jang Hyun-Soo65'for Ismaël Bennacer6.3
31A. Kone
97A. Nasar Mohamed
19Yousef Saaed Ahmed
22Abdirashid Saeed Hassan

Al Ahli Doha Substitutes

70Younis Abdelrahman58'for Ismaeel Mohammad6.6
18Jassem Mohammed
53Saleh Ahmed Qassem
20Hamad Mansour87'for Benjamin Bourigeaud6.1
15Mohammed Abdulla Al-Ishaq
6Luiz Ceará78'for Ghanem Al-Minhali6.8
75Nasser Adil Babiker
11Suhaib Gannan87'for Ayoub Amraoui6.7
49Z. Sassi87'for Robin Tihi6.2
5W. Troost-Ekong

Match Stats

Al-GharafaAl Ahli Doha
37%Ball Possession63%
6Corner Kicks13
1Yellow Cards0
16Total Shots25
4Shots on Goal10
7Shots off Goal11
12Shots Inside Box13
4Shots Outside Box12
5Blocked Shots4
12Fouls9
7Goalkeeper Saves2
275Total Passes460
214Passes Accurate399
9Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

Al-GharafaAl-Gharafa
Al Ahli DohaAl Ahli Doha
1443Elo Rating 1456
1.63Attack 1.68
1.29Defense 1.47
14%Hit Rate 19%
15.6Shots per Game 19.7
5.1Shots on Target 6.9
6.5Corners per Game 7.9
2.0Cards per Game 0.7

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.17 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Al-GharafaAl-Gharafa
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Al Ahli DohaAl Ahli Doha
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.6 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Al-GharafaAl-Gharafa4Wins · 40%
Draws330%
Al Ahli DohaAl Ahli Doha3Wins · 30%
3.5Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Stars League18/03/2026
Al-GharafaAl Ahli Doha
14
Stars League25/10/2025
Al Ahli DohaAl-Gharafa
13
Stars League22/01/2025
Al-GharafaAl Ahli Doha
20
Stars League18/08/2024
Al Ahli DohaAl-Gharafa
10
Emir Cup08/05/2024
Al-GharafaAl Ahli Doha
43
Stars League24/02/2024
Al-GharafaAl Ahli Doha
12
Stars League01/09/2023
Al Ahli DohaAl-Gharafa
14
Stars League03/03/2023
Al-GharafaAl Ahli Doha
11
Stars League31/08/2022
Al Ahli DohaAl-Gharafa
33
Stars League07/01/2022
Al-GharafaAl Ahli Doha
00

Recent Form

Al-GharafaAl-Gharafa
2W2D6L
18/10/2026
Al-GharafaAl-Rayyan SC
00
D
12/10/2026
Al-GharafaEsteghlal FC
12
L
08/10/2026
Al WakrahAl-Gharafa
32
L
01/10/2026
Al-GharafaAl Mesaimeer
42
W
15/09/2026
Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Gharafa
21
L
11/09/2026
Al-GharafaLusail City
00
D
05/09/2026
Al SaddAl-Gharafa
41
L
01/09/2026
Al SaddAl-Gharafa
21
L
27/08/2026
Al-GharafaAl Shamal
13
L
21/08/2026
Al-GharafaAl Shahaniya
21
W
Al Ahli DohaAl Ahli Doha
2W3D5L
16/10/2026
Al Ahli DohaAl Wakrah
03
L
10/10/2026
Al Ahli DohaAl-Sailiya
50
W
29/09/2026
Al-MarkhiyaAl Ahli Doha
11
D
20/09/2026
Al Ahli DohaAl Shahaniya
01
L
11/09/2026
Al-Rayyan SCAl Ahli Doha
30
L
03/09/2026
Al Ahli DohaQatar SC
10
W
28/08/2026
Al Ahli DohaLusail City
33
D
22/08/2026
Al SaddAl Ahli Doha
31
L
03/08/2026
Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl Ahli Doha
33
D
30/07/2026
Al ShababAl Ahli Doha
30
L

League Table

Stars League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Al-Rayyan SCAl-Rayyan SC752016:3+1317WDWWD
2Al SaddAl Sadd750227:13+1415WLLWW
3Al-Duhail SCAl-Duhail SC743015:6+915WWWDD
4Al-Arabi SCAl-Arabi SC733116:8+812LWWDW
5Al WakrahAl Wakrah732213:13011WWWDL
6Al ShamalAl Shamal723212:13-19LDLDW
7Al Ahli DohaAl Ahli Doha722312:14-28DLWLW
8Al ShahaniyaAl Shahaniya72148:19-117LLWDL
9Lusail CityLusail City71338:806LDLDW
10Al-GharafaAl-Gharafa71338:13-56DDLDL
11Qatar SCQatar SC71339:16-76WDLDL
12Al-SailiyaAl-Sailiya70168:26-181LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Al-Rayyan SCAl-Rayyan SC716:317
2Al SaddAl Sadd727:1315
3Al-Duhail SCAl-Duhail SC715:615
4Al-Arabi SCAl-Arabi SC716:812
5Al WakrahAl Wakrah713:1311
6Al ShamalAl Shamal712:139
7Al Ahli DohaAl Ahli Doha712:148
8Al ShahaniyaAl Shahaniya78:197
9Lusail CityLusail City78:86
10Al-GharafaAl-Gharafa78:136
11Qatar SCQatar SC79:166
12Al-SailiyaAl-Sailiya78:261
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Al-Gharafa vs Al Ahli Doha forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Al-Gharafa and Al Ahli Doha in the Stars League table

In the Stars League table, Al Ahli Doha are 7th and Al-Gharafa 10th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Al-Gharafa 8-13, Al Ahli Doha 12-14. The full standings are on the Stars League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.