Alianza Valledupar vs Bucaramanga Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 4
Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar· Ferney Ossa Orozco, Colombia 09/08/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.51SignalGOODModel45%RiskMediumGap+6.9%
Value Analysis
54%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
2.02SignalGOODModel43%RiskMediumGap+8.7%
Alianza Valledupar Rest
8 days
Bucaramanga Rest
5 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
142%3.10
X31%2.90
227%2.44
Double Chance
1X73%1.51
X258%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes53%2.10
No47%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.28 + 0.95 = 2.23
Over 1.571%1.50
Over 2.544%2.60
Over 3.524%5.00
Under 1.529%2.50
Under 2.556%1.47
Under 3.576%1.16
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4 = 9.1
Over 8.553%1.63
Over 9.538%2.04
Over 10.529%2.70
Under 8.547%2.10
Under 9.562%1.67
Under 10.571%1.41
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 2.5 = 5.3
Over 3.574%-
Over 4.557%1.36
Under 3.526%-
Under 4.543%2.65
Match Events
5'F. CharrupiAssist: E. Batalla
28'C. VergaraAssist: D. Quinones
34'L. PonsAssist: F. Sambueza
37'F. Sambueza
47'F. Hinestroza
63'L. Flores INA. Zarate out
67'C. Esparragoza INF. Cantillo out
69'F. Pardo
69'F. Charrupi INFabry out
69'F. Hinestroza INA. Murrilo out
75'F. Pardo INI. Alba out
75'D. Quinones INM. Martinez out
76'L. Pons INB. Caicedo out
76'N. Castrillon INA. Gutierrez out
81'M. Martinez
86'J. Garcia
86'J. Munoz INL. Palacios out
90'E. BatallaAssist: B. Caicedo
90+3'E. Batalla
Lineups
Alianza ValleduparBucaramanga
4-3-3Coach: Leonel Alvarez
1J. WallensJohan Wallens
60Y. RosalesYilson Rosales
32J. ViverosJuan Viveros
5P. FrancoPedro Franco
33J. LassoJhildrey Lasso
15C. EsparragozaCarlos Esparragoza
7J. CastilloJair Castillo
17F. PardoFelipe Pardo
10D. QuiñonesDéinner Quiñones
8J. MuñozJesús Muñoz
18C. Andres Vergara RivasCristian Andres Vergara Rivas
25C. FiermarínCristopher Fiermarín
6N. CastrillónNilson Castrillón
24J. OrtizJosé Ortiz
23C. RomañaCarlos Romaña
4J. GarcíaJosé García
21F. CharrupíFelix Charrupí
28L. FloresLeonardo Flores
8F. HinestrozaFreddy Hinestroza
10F. SambuezaFabián Sambueza
27L. PonsLuciano Pons
17E. BatallaEmerson BatallaAlianza Valledupar Substitutes
24Fabián CantilloM
40Eduar BeltránG
22Jesús FigueroaD
29Jean RojasM
23Israel AlbaD
14Charly VillegasF
88Leyner PalaciosM
77Misael MartínezF
4Joseb MosqueraD
Bucaramanga Substitutes
20Aldair ZárateF
12Diego NovoaG
19Aldair GutiérrezD
22Fabry CastroM
11Fredy SalazarF
5Adrián MurilloF
9Brandon CaicedoF
Match Stats
Alianza ValleduparBucaramanga 50%Ball Possession50%
3Corner Kicks0
1Yellow Cards4
8Total Shots5
2Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal2
1Shots Inside Box3
7Shots Outside Box2
2Blocked Shots0
11Fouls19
2Goalkeeper Saves1
434Total Passes442
369Passes Accurate371
85%Pass Accuracy84%
Team Comparison
Alianza ValleduparBucaramanga1444Elo Rating 1562
0.44Attack 1.68
1.22Defense 2.03
27%Hit Rate 44%
9.2Shots per Game 13.2
2.5Shots on Target 5.0
3.2Corners per Game 1.5
4.0Cards per Game 3.5
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend77% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Alianza Valledupar- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.4 vs 0 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Bucaramanga- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.7 in second half)
Head to Head
Based on 5 historical meetings
Alianza Valledupar 27%Draw 0%73% Bucaramanga
3.82Avg Goals
77%BTTS Rate
100%Over 2.5
Recent Form
Alianza Valledupar2W1D2L
01/08/2026Alianza Valledupar
Deportes TolimaAlianza Valledupar
Fortaleza FC
Alianza ValleduparDeportes Tolima12
L27/07/2026Alianza ValleduparFortaleza FC11
D24/05/2026Alianza ValleduparBucaramanga
Alianza ValleduparBucaramanga21
W21/05/2026
Deportivo CaliAlianza Valledupar
Deportivo CaliAlianza Valledupar10
L16/05/2026Alianza Valledupar
Real Santander
Alianza ValleduparReal Santander30
WBucaramanga1W2D2L
04/08/2026Bucaramanga
CucutaBucaramanga
Llaneros
MillonariosBucaramanga
BucaramangaCucuta11
D31/07/2026BucaramangaLlaneros11
D26/07/2026MillonariosBucaramanga01
W24/05/2026Alianza ValleduparBucaramanga
Alianza ValleduparBucaramanga21
L21/05/2026Bucaramanga
Popayan
BucaramangaPopayan23
LLeague Table
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 | LWWLW |
| 2 |  Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 | LWLWW |
| 3 |  Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 | WDDWD |
| 4 |  America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 | LWWLW |
| 5 |  Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 | WWLWD |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 | WLWDL |
| 7 |  Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 | WLLDW |
| 8 |  Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 | DDWDW |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | DWLDW |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 | WWLWW |
| 11 |  Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 | DDWLD |
| 12 |  Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 | WLWDW |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | WDDDW |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 | DDLLW |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 | DLWLD |
| 16 |  Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 | LLWLW |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 | DLLDD |
| 18 |  Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 | LLWLL |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | LWDLL |
| 20 |  Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 | DDLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 15:32 | 10 |
Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20:5 | +15 | 20 | LWWLW |
| 2 | Atletico Nacional | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17:6 | +11 | 18 | LWWLW |
| 3 | Independiente Medellin | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:10 | +5 | 16 | DDWLD |
| 4 | Millonarios | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | +4 | 16 | WWLWW |
| 5 | Deportes Tolima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | +2 | 16 | WLWDL |
| 6 | Bucaramanga | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:8 | +4 | 14 | WDDDW |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:9 | +3 | 13 | WLLDW |
| 8 | Deportivo Cali | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | +3 | 12 | DWLDW |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:11 | +2 | 12 | WWLWD |
| 10 | Llaneros | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 | DDLLW |
| 11 | Internacional de Bogota | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13:15 | -2 | 11 | DDWDW |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:10 | 0 | 10 | WLWDW |
| 13 | Cucuta | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 9 | LWDLL |
| 14 | Fortaleza FC | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 8 | DLWLD |
| 15 | Alianza Valledupar | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 8 | DLLDD |
| 16 | Chico | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:15 | -8 | 8 | LLWLL |
| 17 | Jaguares | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 | LLWLW |
| 18 | Deportivo Pereira | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 6 | DDLLD |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8:15 | -7 | 5 | WDDWD |
| 20 | Junior | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 3 | LWLWW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 9 | 20:5 | 20 |
| 2 | Atletico Nacional | 7 | 17:6 | 18 |
| 3 | Independiente Medellin | 8 | 15:10 | 16 |
| 4 | Millonarios | 10 | 12:8 | 16 |
| 5 | Deportes Tolima | 9 | 12:10 | 16 |
| 6 | Bucaramanga | 8 | 12:8 | 14 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 8 | 12:9 | 13 |
| 8 | Deportivo Cali | 8 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 9 | 13:11 | 12 |
| 10 | Llaneros | 9 | 11:12 | 11 |
| 11 | Internacional de Bogota | 10 | 13:15 | 11 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 7 | 10:10 | 10 |
| 13 | Cucuta | 9 | 9:15 | 9 |
| 14 | Fortaleza FC | 9 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 15 | Alianza Valledupar | 9 | 8:16 | 8 |
| 16 | Chico | 8 | 7:15 | 8 |
| 17 | Jaguares | 8 | 9:14 | 7 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pereira | 7 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 9 | 8:15 | 5 |
| 20 | Junior | 7 | 8:13 | 3 |
Alianza Valledupar vs Bucaramanga Prediction
Our AI model has analysed this Primera A fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Primera A
ScorePredicts covers Colombia football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.
Key Factors for This Match
Alianza Valledupar and Bucaramanga have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.82 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.