Bucaramanga vs Llaneros Prediction

Bucaramanga
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Llaneros
Estadio Américo Montanini, Bucaramanga·Jonnathan Ortiz, Colombia 31/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
53%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
2.13
SignalNEUTRALModel50%SurpriseMediumGap+10.2%
Bucaramanga Rest
5 days
Llaneros Rest
6 days

Bucaramanga vs Llaneros: result, form and history

Bucaramanga and Llaneros drew 1-1 in the Primera A on 31 Jul 2026. Llaneros had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 2 for Bucaramanga.

Their 3 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them. Referee Jonnathan Ortiz averages 5.33 cards a game, 0.71 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%1.57
X
21%3.75
2
28%6.00
Double Chance
1X
72%1.11
X2
49%2.34
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%2.13
No
47%1.65
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.27 + 1.05 = 2.32
Over 1.5
71%1.35
Over 2.5
48%2.10
Over 3.5
26%3.75
Under 1.5
29%3.00
Under 2.5
52%1.70
Under 3.5
74%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.2 = 9.6
Over 8.5
60%1.42
Over 9.5
46%1.72
Over 10.5
32%2.18
Under 8.5
40%2.65
Under 9.5
54%2.00
Under 10.5
68%1.62
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 2.6 = 5.3
Over 3.5
74%-
Over 4.5
57%-
Under 3.5
26%-
Under 4.5
43%-

Match Events

11'M. Sierra INJ. Castilla out
15'O. Albornoz INJ. Salazar out
18'Jhon Vasquez
54'F. SambuezaAssist: L. Flores
60'F. Hinestroza
61'L. Flores INA. Zarate out
61'J. Salazar INK. Quinto out
63'Y. Mena INC. Cortes out
63'Kelvin Osorio INJ. Contreras out
64'J. Contreras
68'J. Castilla
69'F. MezaAssist: N. Ospina
74'Fabry
81'Jhon Vasquez IND. Quintero out
81'N. Ospina INJ. Ramirez out
81'L. Pons INB. Caicedo out
84'B. Caicedo
90+2'J. Escobar Salcedo

Lineups

Bucaramanga
4-2-3-1Coach: Leonel Alvarez
Llaneros
4-3-2-1Coach: Jose Garcia
Avg rating6.74
Avg rating6.71
Cristopher Fiermarín6.925C. Fiermarín
José Ortiz6.524J. Ortiz
Carlos Romaña6.623C. Romaña
José García6.64J. García
Freddy Hinestroza7.38F. Hinestroza
Fabry CastroC6.322F. Castro
Leonardo Flores6.628L. Flores
Emerson Batalla6.917E. Batalla
Fabián Sambueza7.910F. Sambueza
Omar Albornoz6.380O. Albornoz
Luciano Pons6.927L. Pons
Roameth Romaña6.622R. Romaña
Juan Pertuz7.24J. Pertuz
Howell Mena6.62H. Mena
Francisco MezaC8.221F. Meza
Jhojan Escobar6.316J. Escobar
Neider Ospina7.010N. Ospina
Marlon Sierra6.96M. Sierra
Kelvin Osorio6.533K. Osorio
Luis Miranda6.67L. Miranda
Jhon Vásquez6.795J. Vásquez
Yorleys Mena6.317Y. Mena

Bucaramanga Substitutes

11Fredy Salazar15'for O. Albornoz61'for K. Quinto6.9
20Aldair Zárate61'for L. Flores7.0
13Keyson Quinto
9Brandon Caicedo81'for L. Pons84'6.2
12Diego Novoa
18Emmanuel Largacha
21Felix Charrupí
29Santiago Velasquez
5Adrián Murillo

Llaneros Substitutes

13Juan Castilla11'for M. Sierra68'6.7
70Joel Contreras63'for Kelvin Osorio64'6.3
9Carlos Cortés63'for Y. Mena6.6
26Dennys Quintero81'for Jhon Vasquez6.6
8Juan Ramirez81'for N. Ospina6.3
12Juan Loaiza
31Emilio Pardo

Match Stats

BucaramangaLlaneros
61%Ball Possession39%
6Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards4
7Total Shots8
3Shots on Goal4
2Shots off Goal1
2Shots Inside Box6
5Shots Outside Box2
2Blocked Shots3
10Fouls8
1Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves2
459Total Passes306
365Passes Accurate212
80%Pass Accuracy69%

Team Comparison

BucaramangaBucaramanga
LlanerosLlaneros
1602Elo Rating 1488
1.06Attack 1.12
1.81Defense 1.08
23%Hit Rate 44%
12.1Shots per Game 11.7
3.9Shots on Target 4.4
3.7Corners per Game 5.5
2.6Cards per Game 3.9

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+114 Elo
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

BucaramangaBucaramanga
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
LlanerosLlaneros
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

BucaramangaBucaramanga1Wins · 34%
Draws133%
LlanerosLlaneros1Wins · 33%
2.3Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3

Previous meetings

Primera A24/01/2026
LlanerosBucaramanga
11
Primera A25/10/2025
BucaramangaLlaneros
20
Primera A03/05/2025
LlanerosBucaramanga
21

Recent Form

BucaramangaBucaramanga
3W1D6L
26/07/2026
MillonariosBucaramanga
01
W
24/05/2026
Alianza ValleduparBucaramanga
21
L
21/05/2026
BucaramangaPopayan
23
L
12/05/2026
Deportivo CaliBucaramanga
20
L
08/05/2026
BucaramangaReal Santander
50
W
03/05/2026
Fortaleza FCBucaramanga
21
L
25/04/2026
BucaramangaJaguares
22
D
21/04/2026
Atletico NacionalBucaramanga
20
L
13/04/2026
BucaramangaChico
50
W
07/04/2026
Águilas DoradasBucaramanga
21
L
LlanerosLlaneros
5W2D3L
25/07/2026
LlanerosDeportivo Pereira
10
W
27/05/2026
ChicoLlaneros
01
W
21/05/2026
LlanerosPatriotas
31
W
12/05/2026
MillonariosLlaneros
10
L
08/05/2026
LlanerosDepor FC
30
W
02/05/2026
ChicoLlaneros
30
L
27/04/2026
LlanerosAlianza Valledupar
00
D
20/04/2026
JuniorLlaneros
20
L
12/04/2026
Deportivo CaliLlaneros
11
D
02/04/2026
Santa FeLlaneros
01
W

Referee Profile

Jonnathan Ortiz27 matches

5.33Cards per match
5.13Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
24.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jonnathan Ortiz5.33
Other referees6.04

5.33 cards a match, 0.71 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (6.04).

Cards come from 24 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera A 2026

Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional19131535:15+2040LWWWD
2JuniorJunior19112631:24+735WDWWL
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto19104529:25+434LLWWD
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali19103625:15+1033LWWLW
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1989231:22+933DWDDD
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1987427:17+1031LWLDW
7Santa FeSanta Fe1978429:22+729WWWDD
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1977526:26028LWLWD
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1976620:16+427WLDWW
10MillonariosMillonarios1975731:23+826WLDLD
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1975726:24+226WWWLD
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1975720:25-526DLLWL
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1958626:20+623DLWLL
14LlanerosLlaneros19410517:20-322LDLDW
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1957722:27-522LLWDD
16JaguaresJaguares19531120:33-1318DLLWL
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1938813:27-1417DLLWD
18ChicoChico19521215:32-1717WLLWL
19CucutaCucuta1937922:35-1316DLWDW
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira19171115:32-1710WLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1935:1540
2JuniorJunior1931:2435
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1929:2534
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1925:1533
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1931:2233
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1927:1731
7Santa FeSanta Fe1929:2229
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1926:2628
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1920:1627
10MillonariosMillonarios1931:2326
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1926:2426
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1920:2526
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1926:2023
14LlanerosLlaneros1917:2022
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1922:2722
16JaguaresJaguares1920:3318
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1913:2717
18ChicoChico1915:3217
19CucutaCucuta1922:3516
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1915:3210

Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional18123337:17+2039LWWWD
2Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1897226:10+1634WLDWW
3Santa FeSanta Fe19104530:18+1234WWWDD
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1896329:15+1433LWWLW
5BucaramangaBucaramanga1888230:17+1332DLWLL
6Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1892728:25+329WWWLD
7MillonariosMillonarios1869325:16+927WLDLD
8Once CaldasOnce Caldas1876522:18+427DWDDD
9Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1875623:21+226LWLDW
10Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1867522:21+125DLLWL
11LlanerosLlaneros1973921:24-324LDLDW
12CucutaCucuta1873819:26-724DLWDW
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1958625:25023LWLWD
14JuniorJunior1957726:27-122WDWWL
15ChicoChico1955915:29-1420WLLWL
16Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar18531018:31-1318DLLWD
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1838716:26-1017WLDLL
18Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto19431213:30-1715LLWWD
19JaguaresJaguares18341117:35-1813DLLWL
20Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1819817:28-1112LLWDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1837:1739
2Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1826:1034
3Santa FeSanta Fe1930:1834
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1829:1533
5BucaramangaBucaramanga1830:1732
6Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1828:2529
7MillonariosMillonarios1825:1627
8Once CaldasOnce Caldas1822:1827
9Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1823:2126
10Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1822:2125
11LlanerosLlaneros1921:2424
12CucutaCucuta1819:2624
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1925:2523
14JuniorJunior1926:2722
15ChicoChico1915:2920
16Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1818:3118
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1816:2617
18Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1913:3015
19JaguaresJaguares1817:3513
20Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1817:2812

About the Bucaramanga vs Llaneros forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Bucaramanga and Llaneros in the Primera A table

Bucaramanga and Llaneros are close in the Primera A table, 13th and 14th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Bucaramanga 26-20, Llaneros 17-20. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.