Millonarios vs Bucaramanga Prediction

Millonarios
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Bucaramanga
Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin, Bogota·Wilmar Roldan, Colombia 26/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20
SignalSTRONGModel52%SurpriseMediumGap-2.8%
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.40
SignalHIGHModel49%SurpriseMediumGap+8.6%
Millonarios Rest
7 days
Bucaramanga Rest
62 days

Millonarios vs Bucaramanga: result, form and history

Bucaramanga beat Millonarios 1-0 in the Primera A on 26 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.4 goals a game across 10 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%1.88
X
26%3.25
2
19%4.20
Double Chance
1X
81%1.20
X2
45%1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%2.00
No
46%1.73
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.63 + 0.9 = 2.53
Over 1.5
75%1.40
Over 2.5
55%2.24
Over 3.5
32%4.05
Under 1.5
25%2.75
Under 2.5
45%1.62
Under 3.5
68%1.21
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 4.1 = 9
Over 8.5
51%1.73
Over 9.5
40%2.07
Over 10.5
29%2.72
Under 8.5
49%2.00
Under 9.5
60%1.67
Under 10.5
71%1.37
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.6 = 4.9
Over 3.5
71%-
Over 4.5
54%-
Under 3.5
29%-
Under 4.5
46%-

Match Events

24'J. Arias
61'J. Salazar INE. Batalla out
61'D. Ruiz INJ. Angulo out
68'S. Mosquera
69'L. Flores INA. Zarate out
70'F. Chaverra
73'F. Chaverra INS. Vega out
74'M. Garcia INS. Viveros out
74'L. Castro IND. Quintero out
83'O. Albornoz INF. Hinestroza out
89'E. BatallaAssist: L. Pons

Lineups

Millonarios
4-4-2Coach: Fabian Bustos
Bucaramanga
5-3-2Coach: Leonel Alvarez
Avg rating6.72
Avg rating7.03
Javier Burrai6.61J. Burrai
Jhonier Guerrero6.634J. Guerrero
Sergio Mosquera6.96S. Mosquera
Jorge AriasC6.617J. Arias
Sebastián Valencia6.722S. Valencia
Daniel Ruiz6.510D. Ruiz
Mateo García7.219M. García
Rodrigo Ureña7.918R. Ureña
Francisco Chaverra6.713F. Chaverra
Rodrigo Contreras6.727R. Contreras
Leonardo Castro6.723L. Castro
Cristopher Fiermarín7.325C. Fiermarín
Kevin Londoño7.97K. Londoño
Carlos Romaña7.323C. Romaña
José Ortiz7.024J. Ortiz
José García6.64J. García
Omar Albornoz7.080O. Albornoz
Fredy Salazar6.211F. Salazar
Fabry CastroC7.322F. Castro
Leonardo Flores7.228L. Flores
Luciano Pons6.727L. Pons
Fabián Sambueza7.210F. Sambueza

Millonarios Substitutes

24Julian Angulo61'for D. Ruiz6.6
28Stiven Vega73'for F. Chaverra6.5
30Sebastián del Castillo6.3
25Darwin Quintero74'for L. Castro6.3
12James Aguirre
43Cristian Uparela
20Danovis Banguero
3Samuel Martín
14David Macalister Silva

Bucaramanga Substitutes

17Emerson Batalla61'for J. Salazar89'7.5
20Aldair Zárate69'for L. Flores6.9
8Freddy Hinestroza83'for O. Albornoz6.3
12Diego Novoa
21Felix Charrupí
9Brandon Caicedo
5Adrián Murillo
18Emmanuel Largacha
13Keyson Quinto

Match Stats

MillonariosBucaramanga
56%Ball Possession44%
8Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards0
15Total Shots8
4Shots on Goal2
8Shots off Goal4
6Shots Inside Box3
9Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots2
9Fouls6
2Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves4
457Total Passes361
387Passes Accurate275
85%Pass Accuracy76%

Team Comparison

MillonariosMillonarios
BucaramangaBucaramanga
1648Elo Rating 1602
1.31Attack 1.06
2.27Defense 1.81
19%Hit Rate 23%
19.2Shots per Game 12.1
6.3Shots on Target 3.9
5.2Corners per Game 3.7
3.4Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

MillonariosMillonarios
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
BucaramangaBucaramanga
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

MillonariosMillonarios3Wins · 30%
Draws550%
BucaramangaBucaramanga2Wins · 20%
1.4Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera A18/01/2026
BucaramangaMillonarios
21
Primera A22/10/2025
MillonariosBucaramanga
11
Primera A28/04/2025
BucaramangaMillonarios
02
Copa Colombia09/10/2024
BucaramangaMillonarios
11
Copa Colombia02/10/2024
MillonariosBucaramanga
00
Primera A21/07/2024
MillonariosBucaramanga
10
Primera A23/05/2024
BucaramangaMillonarios
00
Primera A20/05/2024
MillonariosBucaramanga
01
Primera A29/01/2024
BucaramangaMillonarios
00
Primera A16/09/2023
MillonariosBucaramanga
30

Recent Form

MillonariosMillonarios
4W3D3L
19/07/2026
MillonariosColo Colo
01
L
11/07/2026
UniversitarioMillonarios
20
L
30/05/2026
Depor FCMillonarios
18
W
27/05/2026
MillonariosO'Higgins
12
L
23/05/2026
MillonariosChico
22
D
20/05/2026
Sao PauloMillonarios
11
D
16/05/2026
PatriotasMillonarios
23
W
12/05/2026
MillonariosLlaneros
10
W
08/05/2026
Boston RiverMillonarios
24
W
03/05/2026
Alianza ValleduparMillonarios
22
D
BucaramangaBucaramanga
2W1D7L
24/05/2026
Alianza ValleduparBucaramanga
21
L
21/05/2026
BucaramangaPopayan
23
L
12/05/2026
Deportivo CaliBucaramanga
20
L
08/05/2026
BucaramangaReal Santander
50
W
03/05/2026
Fortaleza FCBucaramanga
21
L
25/04/2026
BucaramangaJaguares
22
D
21/04/2026
Atletico NacionalBucaramanga
20
L
13/04/2026
BucaramangaChico
50
W
07/04/2026
Águilas DoradasBucaramanga
21
L
02/04/2026
America de CaliBucaramanga
20
L

Referee Profile

Wilmar Roldan321 matches

5.42Cards per match
4.98Yellow cards per match
0.44Red cards per match
21.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Wilmar Roldan5.42
Other referees5.53

5.42 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.53).

Cards come from 293 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera A 2026

Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional19131535:15+2040LWWWD
2JuniorJunior19112631:24+735WDWWL
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto19104529:25+434LLWWD
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali19103625:15+1033LWWLW
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1989231:22+933DWDDD
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1987427:17+1031LWLDW
7Santa FeSanta Fe1978429:22+729WWWDD
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1977526:26028LWLWD
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1976620:16+427WLDWW
10MillonariosMillonarios1975731:23+826WLDLD
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1975726:24+226WWWLD
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1975720:25-526DLLWL
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1958626:20+623DLWLL
14LlanerosLlaneros19410517:20-322LDLDW
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1957722:27-522LLWDD
16JaguaresJaguares19531120:33-1318DLLWL
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1938813:27-1417DLLWD
18ChicoChico19521215:32-1717WLLWL
19CucutaCucuta1937922:35-1316DLWDW
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira19171115:32-1710WLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1935:1540
2JuniorJunior1931:2435
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1929:2534
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1925:1533
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1931:2233
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1927:1731
7Santa FeSanta Fe1929:2229
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1926:2628
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1920:1627
10MillonariosMillonarios1931:2326
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1926:2426
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1920:2526
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1926:2023
14LlanerosLlaneros1917:2022
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1922:2722
16JaguaresJaguares1920:3318
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1913:2717
18ChicoChico1915:3217
19CucutaCucuta1922:3516
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1915:3210

Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional18123337:17+2039LWWWD
2Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1897226:10+1634WLDWW
3Santa FeSanta Fe19104530:18+1234WWWDD
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1896329:15+1433LWWLW
5BucaramangaBucaramanga1888230:17+1332DLWLL
6Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1892728:25+329WWWLD
7MillonariosMillonarios1869325:16+927WLDLD
8Once CaldasOnce Caldas1876522:18+427DWDDD
9Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1875623:21+226LWLDW
10Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1867522:21+125DLLWL
11LlanerosLlaneros1973921:24-324LDLDW
12CucutaCucuta1873819:26-724DLWDW
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1958625:25023LWLWD
14JuniorJunior1957726:27-122WDWWL
15ChicoChico1955915:29-1420WLLWL
16Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar18531018:31-1318DLLWD
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1838716:26-1017WLDLL
18Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto19431213:30-1715LLWWD
19JaguaresJaguares18341117:35-1813DLLWL
20Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1819817:28-1112LLWDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1837:1739
2Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1826:1034
3Santa FeSanta Fe1930:1834
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1829:1533
5BucaramangaBucaramanga1830:1732
6Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1828:2529
7MillonariosMillonarios1825:1627
8Once CaldasOnce Caldas1822:1827
9Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1823:2126
10Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1822:2125
11LlanerosLlaneros1921:2424
12CucutaCucuta1819:2624
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1925:2523
14JuniorJunior1926:2722
15ChicoChico1915:2920
16Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1818:3118
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1816:2617
18Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1913:3015
19JaguaresJaguares1817:3513
20Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1817:2812

About the Millonarios vs Bucaramanga forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Millonarios and Bucaramanga in the Primera A table

In the Primera A table, Millonarios are 10th and Bucaramanga 13th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Millonarios 31-23, Bucaramanga 26-20. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.