Arda Kardzhali vs Slavia Sofia Prediction

Arena Arda, Kardzhali·Gero Piskov, Bulgaria 24/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
Value Analysis
58%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams NOT to Score
1.70
SignalSOLIDModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+5.8%
Arda Kardzhali Rest
6 days
Slavia Sofia Rest
4 days

Arda Kardzhali vs Slavia Sofia: the result in context

Arda Kardzhali beat Slavia Sofia 1-0 in the First League on 24 Jul 2026. That went against recent form: Slavia Sofia had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Arda Kardzhali.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Slavia Sofia tend to win more corners, 4.5 a game to 1.5 for Arda Kardzhali.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
59%1.68
X
27%3.50
2
14%5.00
Double Chance
1X
86%1.13
X2
41%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%2.02
No
58%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.64 + 0.95 = 2.59
Over 1.5
74%1.36
Over 2.5
50%2.14
Over 3.5
27%3.75
Under 1.5
26%2.90
Under 2.5
50%1.67
Under 3.5
73%1.23
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

28'A. Vutov
46'V. Kazaldzhiev INI. Stefanov out
61'I. Stefanov
67'P. Bachev IND. Yankov out
73'R. Raychev INJ. Semedo out
78'A. Vutov INA. Kabov out
81'V. Nikolov INY. Bornosuzov out
81'I. Minchev INB. Todorov out
90+2'U. Balde INY. Guermouche out
90+3'A. Kabov
90+5'A. Kabov
90+6'B. Karagaren INM. Paskalev out
90+6'S. Kovachev INV. Popov out

Lineups

Arda Kardzhali
4-2-3-1Coach: Blagov Tunchev Aleksander
Slavia Sofia
4-2-3-1Coach: Ratko Dostanic
Anatoli Gospodinov1A. Gospodinov
Vyacheslav Velev21V. Velev
Adama Ardile Traoré44A. Ardile Traoré
Viktor Lyubenov5V. Lyubenov
Dimitar Velkovski35D. Velkovski
Lachezar Kotev80L. Kotev
Idowu David Akintola4I. David Akintola
Svetoslav Kovachev10S. Kovachev
Antonio Vutov39A. Vutov
Birsent Karagaren99B. Karagaren
Preslav Bachev16P. Bachev
Ivan Andonov99I. Andonov
Diego Ferraresso87D. Ferraresso
Nikola Savić4N. Savić
David Malembana5D. Malembana
Dimitar Burov26D. Burov
Ivan Minchev73I. Minchev
Mouhamed Dosso11M. Dosso
Umaro Baldé27U. Baldé
Roberto Raychev7R. Raychev
Vasil Kazaldzhiev17V. Kazaldzhiev
Vladimir Nikolov88V. Nikolov

Arda Kardzhali Substitutes

22Yanko Georgiev
18Simeon Vasilev
24Martin Paskalev90+6'for B. Karagaren
6Viktor Popov90+6'for S. Kovachev
26Burak Akandzha
11Atanas Kabov78'for A. Vutov90+3'90+5'
64Dominik Yankov67'replaced by P. Bachev

Slavia Sofia Substitutes

13Iliyan Stefanov46'replaced by V. Kazaldzhiev61'
63Levi Ntumba
1Georgi Petkov
20Jordan Semedo Varela73'for R. Raychev
16Maksimilian Lazarov
3Martin Georgiev
77Emil Stoev
6Boris Todorov
23Ilian Antonov
9Yoan Bornosuzov81'for V. Nikolov
10Yanis Guermouche90+2'for U. Balde

Team Comparison

Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali
Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia
1564Elo Rating 1497
1.03Attack 0.85
0.80Defense 2.47
23%Hit Rate 23%
6.2Shots per Game 6.1
2.8Shots on Target 2.0
1.5Corners per Game 4.5
3.6Cards per Game 2.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali4Wins · 40%
Draws440%
Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia2Wins · 20%
2.2Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

First League14/02/2026
Arda KardzhaliSlavia Sofia
21
First League25/08/2025
Slavia SofiaArda Kardzhali
20
First League22/02/2025
Arda KardzhaliSlavia Sofia
11
First League30/08/2024
Slavia SofiaArda Kardzhali
11
First League23/05/2024
Arda KardzhaliSlavia Sofia
31
First League06/05/2024
Slavia SofiaArda Kardzhali
00
First League06/04/2024
Arda KardzhaliSlavia Sofia
21
First League07/10/2023
Slavia SofiaArda Kardzhali
10
First League01/06/2023
Arda KardzhaliSlavia Sofia
32
First League19/05/2023
Slavia SofiaArda Kardzhali
00

Recent Form

Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali
4W2D4L
18/07/2026
Septemvri SofiaArda Kardzhali
11
D
10/07/2026
Botev VratsaArda Kardzhali
10
L
07/07/2026
Arda KardzhaliBeitar Jerusalem
00
D
04/07/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivArda Kardzhali
20
L
01/07/2026
Rilski SportistArda Kardzhali
02
W
26/06/2026
Botev PlovdivArda Kardzhali
21
L
25/05/2026
Cherno More VarnaArda Kardzhali
23
W
16/05/2026
Arda KardzhaliLokomotiv Plovdiv
40
W
12/05/2026
Botev PlovdivArda Kardzhali
12
W
08/05/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivArda Kardzhali
20
L
Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia
4W2D4L
20/07/2026
Slavia SofiaCSKA Sofia
00
D
11/07/2026
Slavia SofiaMontana
72
W
04/07/2026
Septemvri SofiaSlavia Sofia
23
W
22/05/2026
Slavia SofiaMontana
20
W
18/05/2026
Lokomotiv SofiaSlavia Sofia
20
L
13/05/2026
Slavia SofiaDobrudzha
02
L
10/05/2026
Spartak VarnaSlavia Sofia
21
L
06/05/2026
Slavia SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
21
W
02/05/2026
BeroeSlavia Sofia
30
L
26/04/2026
Slavia SofiaBotev Vratsa
11
D

Referee Profile

Gero Piskov3 matches analysed

4.95Cards per match
4.72Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
23.1Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 73% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia12102025:5+2032WDWDW
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1394029:9+2031DWWDW
3LudogoretsLudogorets1292124:9+1529WLWWW
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481391331:14+1728WWLWW
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1371522:20+222WLWWW
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1253416:18-218DLDLL
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia132749:9013DDLLD
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1334612:23-1113LLWLD
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1332815:22-711LWWDL
10Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1224610:21-1110DLDDW
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv132386:17-119LDDDL
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1316615:25-109LDDWL
13Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1223713:22-99WLDDL
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1222810:23-138LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1225:532
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1329:931
3LudogoretsLudogorets1224:929
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481331:1428
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1322:2022
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1216:1818
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia139:913
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1312:2313
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1315:2211
10Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1210:2110
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv136:179
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1315:259
13Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1213:229
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1210:238
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Arda Kardzhali vs Slavia Sofia forecast

The forecasts for this First League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Arda Kardzhali and Slavia Sofia in the First League table

Arda Kardzhali and Slavia Sofia are close in the First League table, 6th and 7th, with 5 points between them. League goal record so far: Arda Kardzhali 16-18, Slavia Sofia 9-9. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.