Lokomotiv Sofia vs Levski Sofia Prediction

Stadion Lokomotiv, Sofia·Nikola Popov, Bulgaria 25/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
60%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.65
SignalSOLIDModel49%SurpriseHighGap+4.1%
Lokomotiv Sofia Rest
3 days
Levski Sofia Rest
3 days

Lokomotiv Sofia vs Levski Sofia: the result in context

Levski Sofia beat Lokomotiv Sofia 2-1 in the First League on 25 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: Levski Sofia had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Lokomotiv Sofia.

Levski Sofia have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.9 goals a game. Lokomotiv Sofia tend to win more corners, 5.9 a game to 3.9 for Levski Sofia.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
10%6.00
X
25%4.35
2
65%1.45
Double Chance
1X
35%2.50
X2
90%1.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.65
No
40%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.09 + 2.27 = 3.36
Over 1.5
85%1.15
Over 2.5
74%1.52
Over 3.5
39%2.35
Under 1.5
15%4.80
Under 2.5
26%2.35
Under 3.5
61%1.55
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

46'D. Kusso INReinaldo out
60'N. Penev INA. Taoui out
60'S. Stoyanchov INMaicon out
60'M. Soula INA. Neves out
63'S. DelevAssist: D. Kostadinov
69'Goal Disallowed - offsideReinaldo
69'G. Minchev
70'D. Kostadinov
74'Everton Bala INA. Oko-Flex out
77'ReinaldoAssist: Serginho
80'E. Dost INM. Medfai out
82'SerginhoAssist: Reinaldo
84'
86'Serginho INM. Sangare out
89'S. Delev INCaue Caruzo out
89'G. Minchev INM. Papazov out
90+6'A. Oko-Flex

Lineups

Lokomotiv Sofia
4-2-3-1Coach: Lyuboslav Penev
Levski Sofia
4-2-3-1Coach: Julio Velazquez
Martin Velichkov99M. Velichkov
Reyan Daskalov22R. Daskalov
Bozhidar Katsarov44B. Katsarov
Ryan Bidounga91R. Bidounga
Angel Lyaskov14A. Lyaskov
Krasimir Stanoev31K. Stanoev
Erol Dost5E. Dost
Nikolas Penev71N. Penev
Dimitar Kostadinov20D. Kostadinov
Spas Delev7S. Delev
Georgi Minchev10G. Minchev
Svetoslav Vutsov92S. Vutsov
Álex Centelles20Á. Centelles
Nikola Serafimov31N. Serafimov
Gašper Trdin18G. Trdin
Christian Makoun4C. Makoun
Serginho35Serginho
Akram Bouras47A. Bouras
David Kusso27D. Kusso
Mazire Soula22M. Soula
Everton Bala17E. Bala
Steven Stoyanchov28S. Stoyanchov

Lokomotiv Sofia Substitutes

24Aleksandar Lyubenov
61Eirô
19Mitko Mitkov
21Kristian Chachev
26Krasimir Miloshev
11Adil Taoui60'for N. Penev
13Mohamed Medfai80'for E. Dost
17Mark Emilio Papazov89'for G. Minchev
77Caue Caruzo Alves
45Gerov Emil

Levski Sofia Substitutes

7Reinaldo46'for D. Kusso77'
78Martin Lukov
1Ognyan Vladimirov
21Aldair60'for M. Soula
3Maicon60'for S. Stoyanchov
50Kristian Dimitrov
11Armstrong Oko-Flex74'for Everton Bala90+6'
77Adrian Raychev
12Mustapha Sangaré86'for Serginho

Team Comparison

Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
Levski SofiaLevski Sofia
1437Elo Rating 1739
1.46Attack 1.56
1.06Defense 2.34
34%Hit Rate 56%
8.8Shots per Game 8.5
3.8Shots on Target 3.1
5.9Corners per Game 3.9
3.6Cards per Game 0.8

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.36 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
🔥Derby Match
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Levski SofiaLevski Sofia
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1Wins · 10%
Draws110%
Levski SofiaLevski Sofia8Wins · 80%
3.9Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

First League01/03/2026
Levski SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
43
First League14/09/2025
Lokomotiv SofiaLevski Sofia
12
First League23/11/2024
Levski SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
20
First League20/07/2024
Lokomotiv SofiaLevski Sofia
16
First League27/11/2023
Lokomotiv SofiaLevski Sofia
22
First League30/07/2023
Levski SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
60
First League08/04/2023
Levski SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
10
First League10/09/2022
Lokomotiv SofiaLevski Sofia
32
First League19/03/2022
Levski SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
10
First League16/10/2021
Lokomotiv SofiaLevski Sofia
12

Recent Form

Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
2W7D1L
21/07/2026
Botev PlovdivLokomotiv Sofia
11
D
11/07/2026
Lokomotiv SofiaTeuta Durrës
00
D
04/07/2026
Lokomotiv SofiaDukagjini
33
D
22/05/2026
Spartak VarnaLokomotiv Sofia
30
L
18/05/2026
Lokomotiv SofiaSlavia Sofia
20
W
14/05/2026
Lokomotiv SofiaBeroe
11
D
09/05/2026
MontanaLokomotiv Sofia
22
D
05/05/2026
Lokomotiv SofiaBotev Vratsa
22
D
01/05/2026
DobrudzhaLokomotiv Sofia
03
W
27/04/2026
Lokomotiv SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
11
D
Levski SofiaLevski Sofia
7W3D0L
22/07/2026
Levski SofiaUniversitatea Craiova
10
W
17/07/2026
Levski SofiaDunav Ruse
21
W
14/07/2026
Levski SofiaBorac Banja Luka
40
W
07/07/2026
Borac Banja LukaLevski Sofia
11
D
30/06/2026
Levski SofiaRadnik Surdulica
50
W
27/06/2026
Levski SofiaBotev Vratsa
11
D
23/06/2026
Levski SofiaEtar Veliko Tarnovo
60
W
19/06/2026
Levski SofiaAkademik Svishtov
40
W
25/05/2026
CSKA 1948Levski Sofia
00
D
16/05/2026
Levski SofiaCSKA Sofia
20
W

Referee Profile

Nikola Popov130 matches

4.94Cards per match
4.71Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
27.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Nikola Popov4.94
Other referees5.19

4.94 cards a match, 0.25 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.19).

Cards come from 87 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia12102025:5+2032WDWDW
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1394029:9+2031DWWDW
3LudogoretsLudogorets1292124:9+1529WLWWW
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481391331:14+1728WWLWW
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1371522:20+222WLWWW
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1363418:19-121WDLDL
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia132749:9013DDLLD
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1334612:23-1113LLWLD
9Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1333714:22-812WWLDD
10Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1332815:22-711LWWDL
11Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1324710:22-1210LDLDD
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1316615:25-109LDDWL
13Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv132386:17-119LDDDL
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1322911:25-148LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1225:532
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1329:931
3LudogoretsLudogorets1224:929
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481331:1428
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1322:2022
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1318:1921
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia139:913
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1312:2313
9Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1314:2212
10Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1315:2211
11Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1310:2210
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1315:259
13Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv136:179
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1311:258
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Lokomotiv Sofia vs Levski Sofia forecast

As a derby, this First League meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Lokomotiv Sofia and Levski Sofia in the First League table

The table shows a wide gap: Levski Sofia are 1st in the First League, while Lokomotiv Sofia sit 12th, 23 points behind. League goal record so far: Lokomotiv Sofia 15-25, Levski Sofia 25-5. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Levski Sofia have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.