Armenia vs Latvia Prediction

Armenia
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Latvia
Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium, Yerevan·Martin Matosa 25/09/2026
ArmeniaArmenia
2-0
Finished
LatviaLatvia

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.21
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-13.1%
Armenia Rest
108 days
Latvia Rest
108 days

Armenia vs Latvia: the result in context

Armenia beat Latvia 2-0 in the UEFA Nations League on 25 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Latvia had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Armenia.

Armenia have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 3.3 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%1.85
X
28%3.50
2
29%4.40
Double Chance
1X
71%1.21
X2
57%1.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%1.90
No
54%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.8 + 1.33 = 2.13
Over 1.5
72%1.33
Over 2.5
46%2.10
Over 3.5
28%3.75
Under 1.5
28%3.05
Under 2.5
54%1.74
Under 3.5
72%1.24
Corners
Projected Corners: 3 + 5.5 = 8.5
Over 8.5
56%1.59
Over 9.5
48%2.00
Over 10.5
36%2.60
Under 8.5
44%2.21
Under 9.5
52%1.75
Under 10.5
64%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 1.9 = 3.8
Over 3.5
53%-
Over 4.5
33%-
Under 3.5
47%-
Under 4.5
67%-

Match Events

31'Georgiy HarutyunyanAssist: Eduard Spertsyan
45'Jose·Julio INArgishti·Petrosyan out
58'Raivis Jurkovskis INMaksims Tonisevs out
60'karlen hovhannisyan INZhirayr Shaghoyan out
62'Artur SerobyanFoul
68'Markuss Strods INRoberts Uldriķis out
68'Eduards Daskevics INOskars Vientiess out
69'Artur Miranyan INArtur Gharibyan out
75'Artur GharibyanAssist: Zhirayr Shaghoyan
82'Artur Serobyan INEdgar Sevikyan out
82'Georgiy Harutyunyan INErik Simonyan out
87'Antonijs Černomordijs INDanila Patijčuks out
87'Vladislavs Gutkovskis INAlbert aleksanjan out

Lineups

Armenia
5-4-1Coach: E. Melikyan
Latvia
3-4-3Coach: P. Nicolato
Avg rating6.90
Avg rating6.25
O. Čančarević6.81O. Čančarević
A. Bandikyan6.62A. Bandikyan
E. Piloyan7.03E. Piloyan
J. Julio7.120J. Julio
G. Harutyunyan8.14G. Harutyunyan
N. Tiknizyan6.821N. Tiknizyan
A. Serobyan6.69A. Serobyan
U. Iwu6.76U. Iwu
E. Spertsyan7.710E. Spertsyan
K. Hovhannisyan6.523K. Hovhannisyan
A. Miranyan6.518A. Miranyan
R. Matrevics5.823R. Matrevics
D. Meļņiks6.521D. Meļņiks
A. Černomordijs6.65A. Černomordijs
D. Cirkin6.23D. Cirkin
R. Jurkovskis6.213R. Jurkovskis
L. Vapne6.110L. Vapne
D. Zelenkovs6.815D. Zelenkovs
A. Cigaņiks6.114A. Cigaņiks
E. Dašķevičs6.57E. Dašķevičs
V. Gutkovskis6.39V. Gutkovskis
M. Strods6.017M. Strods

Armenia Substitutes

12A. Beglaryan
8N. Hovhannisyan
13K. Ayvazyan
17A. Gharibyan69'for Artur Miranyan75'7.5
22N. Grigoryan
14G. Manvelyan
16G. Matinyan
19K. Muradyan
5A. Petrosyan45'for Jose·Julio6.9
7E. Sevikyan82'for Artur Serobyan6.4
11Z. Shaghoyan60'for karlen hovhannisyan7.2
15E. Simonyan82'for Georgiy Harutyunyan6.1

Latvia Substitutes

2D. Balodis
16G. Žaleiko
4O. Vientiess68'for Eduards Daskevics6.4
20R. Uldriķis68'for Markuss Strods6.7
22A. Saveļjevs
11R. Savaļnieks
1N. Puriņš
12F. Orols
8E. Emsis
18A. Aleksanjan87'for Vladislavs Gutkovskis5.9
6D. Patijčuks87'for Antonijs Černomordijs6.1
19M. Toņiševs58'for Raivis Jurkovskis5.9

Match Stats

ArmeniaLatvia
56%Ball Possession44%
10Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards0
14Total Shots5
4Shots on Goal1
6Shots off Goal1
7Shots Inside Box3
7Shots Outside Box2
4Blocked Shots3
10Fouls9
0Offsides3
1Goalkeeper Saves2
514Total Passes405
449Passes Accurate334
9Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

ArmeniaArmenia
LatviaLatvia
1367Elo Rating 1410
0.86Attack 0.50
0.69Defense 1.53
17%Hit Rate 0%
11.0Shots per Game 10.3
3.4Shots on Target 1.0
5.2Corners per Game 3.6
1.7Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

ArmeniaArmenia
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
LatviaLatvia
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

ArmeniaArmenia3Wins · 75%
Draws00%
LatviaLatvia1Wins · 25%
3.3Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
75%3+ goals3 of 4

Previous meetings

UEFA Nations League17/11/2024
LatviaArmenia
12
UEFA Nations League07/09/2024
ArmeniaLatvia
41
Euro Championship - Qualification12/10/2023
LatviaArmenia
20
Euro Championship - Qualification19/06/2023
ArmeniaLatvia
21

Recent Form

ArmeniaArmenia
1W2D7L
09/06/2026
ArmeniaMoldova
11
D
06/06/2026
ArmeniaKazakhstan
11
D
16/11/2025
PortugalArmenia
91
L
13/11/2025
ArmeniaHungary
01
L
14/10/2025
Rep. Of IrelandArmenia
10
L
11/10/2025
HungaryArmenia
20
L
09/09/2025
ArmeniaRep. Of Ireland
21
W
06/09/2025
ArmeniaPortugal
05
L
23/03/2025
GeorgiaArmenia
61
L
20/03/2025
ArmeniaGeorgia
03
L
LatviaLatvia
2W2D6L
09/06/2026
LatviaFaroe Islands
01
L
06/06/2026
LithuaniaLatvia
5141
L
31/03/2026
LatviaGibraltar
10
W
26/03/2026
GibraltarLatvia
01
W
16/11/2025
SerbiaLatvia
21
L
14/10/2025
LatviaEngland
05
L
11/10/2025
LatviaAndorra
22
D
09/09/2025
AlbaniaLatvia
10
L
06/09/2025
LatviaSerbia
01
L
10/06/2025
LatviaAlbania
11
D

League Table

UEFA Nations League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MontenegroMontenegro43107:4+310DWWW
2CyprusCyprus42115:3+27WWDL
3ArmeniaArmenia41124:5-14DLLW
4LatviaLatvia40132:6-41LLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1MontenegroMontenegro47:410
2CyprusCyprus45:37
3ArmeniaArmenia44:54
4LatviaLatvia42:61
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About the Armenia vs Latvia forecast

This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Armenia and Latvia in the UEFA Nations League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Armenia are 3rd in the UEFA Nations League, 3 points ahead of Latvia in 4th. League goal record so far: Armenia 4-5, Latvia 2-6. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.