Poland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina Prediction

National Stadium Warsaw, Warsaw·Anastasios Papapetrou 25/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
Value Analysis
56%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 3.5
1.83
SignalNEUTRALModel56%SurpriseMediumGap+5.7%
Poland Rest
114 days
Bosnia & Herzegovina Rest
85 days

Poland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina: result, form and history

Poland and Bosnia & Herzegovina drew 0-0 in the UEFA Nations League on 25 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Anastasios Papapetrou averages 4.30 cards a game, 0.72 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
61%1.61
X
23%4.10
2
16%5.50
Double Chance
1X
84%1.16
X2
39%2.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.77
No
51%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.8 + 0.9 = 2.70
Over 1.5
77%1.20
Over 2.5
54%1.77
Over 3.5
35%2.88
Under 1.5
23%3.98
Under 2.5
46%2.08
Under 3.5
65%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 3.8 = 9.9
Over 8.5
57%1.59
Over 9.5
48%2.00
Over 10.5
38%2.61
Under 8.5
43%2.16
Under 9.5
52%1.72
Under 10.5
62%1.40
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 1.8 = 3.4
Over 3.5
44%1.83
Over 4.5
25%2.92
Under 3.5
56%1.83
Under 4.5
75%1.36

Match Events

19'Jakub KiwiorFoul
24'Jakub Kamiński INNicola Zalewski out
32'Kerim AlajbegovicFoul
38'Zinedin SmajlovicFoul
45'Zinedin Smajlovic INAmar Memić out
45'Bartosz Ślisz INWiktor Nowak out
45'Jakub Kiwior INPrzemysław Frankowski out
47'Ivan ŠunjićFoul
57'S. BarbarezDissent
66'Ivan Šunjić INBenjamin Tahirovic out
73'Michał Skóraś INKarol Świderski out
78'Ermedin Demirović INErmin Mahmić out
81'Sead KolašinacFoul
82'Jan BednarekDissent
86'Matty CashFoul
87'Robert Lewandowski INMateusz Zukowski out
89'Amar MemićFoul
90+1'Haris Tabaković INJovo Lukić out
90+1'Kerim Alajbegovic INArmin Gigovic out

Lineups

Poland
4-4-1-1Coach: J. Urban
Bosnia & Herzegovina
4-4-2Coach: S. Barbarez
Avg rating6.70
Avg rating6.60
M. Bułka6.81M. Bułka
M. Cash7.12M. Cash
K. Potulski6.823K. Potulski
J. Bednarek7.25J. Bednarek
J. Kiwior6.114J. Kiwior
M. Skóraś6.417M. Skóraś
B. Slisz6.96B. Slisz
P. Zieliński7.010P. Zieliński
J. Kamiński6.67J. Kamiński
S. Szymański6.920S. Szymański
R. Lewandowski6.49R. Lewandowski
M. Zlomislić7.522M. Zlomislić
Z. Smajlović5.87Z. Smajlović
N. Katić7.118N. Katić
T. Muharemović7.04T. Muharemović
S. Kolašinac6.35S. Kolašinac
E. Bajraktarevic6.820E. Bajraktarevic
I. Bašić6.813I. Bašić
I. Šunjić6.414I. Šunjić
Kerim-Sam Alajbegović6.519K. Alajbegović
E. Demirović6.110E. Demirović
H. Tabaković6.423H. Tabaković

Poland Substitutes

12M. Kochalski
22S. Abramowicz
4T. Kędziora
16W. Nowak45'for Bartosz Ślisz6.7
15T. Puchacz
18M. Reguła
8K. Urbański
3P. Wiśniewski
11K. Świderski73'for Michał Skóraś6.5
13M. Żukowski87'for Robert Lewandowski6.5
21N. Zalewski24'for Jakub Kamiński6.2
19P. Frankowski45'for Jakub Kiwior7.1

Bosnia & Herzegovina Substitutes

8A. Gigović90+1'for Kerim Alajbegovic
12S. Hamzić
21S. Radeljić
9N. Omerović
2N. Mujakić
15A. Memić45'for Zinedin Smajlovic89'6.7
3A. Malic
16Ermin Mahmić78'for Ermedin Demirović6.6
11J. Lukić90+1'for Haris Tabaković
1M. Jurkas
17A. Hasić
6B. Tahirović66'for Ivan Šunjić6.6

Match Stats

PolandBosnia & Herzegovina
57%Ball Possession43%
3Corner Kicks3
3Yellow Cards5
14Total Shots9
4Shots on Goal1
7Shots off Goal5
6Shots Inside Box4
8Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots3
18Fouls17
1Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves4
435Total Passes448
369Passes Accurate368
16Free Kicks17

Team Comparison

PolandPoland
Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina
1583Elo Rating 1554
1.85Attack 1.28
1.72Defense 2.10
23%Hit Rate 46%
18.3Shots per Game 9.2
6.2Shots on Target 2.7
6.3Corners per Game 3.0
2.8Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

PolandPoland
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

PolandPoland2Wins · 100%
Draws00%
Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina0Wins · 0%
3.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

UEFA Nations League14/10/2020
PolandBosnia & Herzegovina
30
UEFA Nations League07/09/2020
Bosnia & HerzegovinaPoland
12

Recent Form

PolandPoland
4W3D3L
03/06/2026
PolandNigeria
22
D
31/05/2026
PolandUkraine
02
L
31/03/2026
SwedenPoland
32
L
26/03/2026
PolandAlbania
21
W
17/11/2025
MaltaPoland
23
W
14/11/2025
PolandNetherlands
11
D
12/10/2025
LithuaniaPoland
02
W
07/09/2025
PolandFinland
31
W
04/09/2025
NetherlandsPoland
11
D
10/06/2025
FinlandPoland
21
L
Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina
4W4D2L
02/07/2026
USABosnia & Herzegovina
20
L
24/06/2026
Bosnia & HerzegovinaQatar
31
W
18/06/2026
SwitzerlandBosnia & Herzegovina
41
L
12/06/2026
CanadaBosnia & Herzegovina
11
D
06/06/2026
PanamaBosnia & Herzegovina
11
D
29/05/2026
Bosnia & HerzegovinaFYR Macedonia
00
D
31/03/2026
Bosnia & HerzegovinaItaly
4111
W
26/03/2026
WalesBosnia & Herzegovina
2141
W
18/11/2025
AustriaBosnia & Herzegovina
11
D
15/11/2025
Bosnia & HerzegovinaRomania
31
W

Referee Profile

Anastasios Papapetrou134 matches

4.30Cards per match
4.13Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
28.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Anastasios Papapetrou4.30
Other referees5.02

4.30 cards a match, 0.72 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.02).

Cards come from 113 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Nations League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1SwedenSweden43107:3+410WDWW
2Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina42206:3+38WDWD
3PolandPoland41127:4+34LWLD
4RomaniaRomania40043:13-100LLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1SwedenSweden47:310
2Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina46:38
3PolandPoland47:44
4RomaniaRomania43:130
PromotionRelegation

About the Poland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina forecast

This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Poland and Bosnia & Herzegovina in the UEFA Nations League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Bosnia & Herzegovina are 2nd in the UEFA Nations League, 4 points ahead of Poland in 3rd. League goal record so far: Poland 7-4, Bosnia & Herzegovina 6-3. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Poland and Bosnia & Herzegovina have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.