ASA vs Cianorte Prediction

ASA
5-1
Finished
HT 2-0
Cianorte
26/07/2026
ASAASA
5-1
Finished
CianorteCianorte

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
60%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.67
SignalNEUTRALModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+0.3%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.55
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+7.2%
ASA Rest
8 days
Cianorte Rest
8 days

ASA vs Cianorte: the result in context

ASA beat Cianorte 5-1 in the Serie D on 26 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
60%1.67
X
26%3.10
2
14%5.54
Double Chance
1X
86%1.11
X2
40%2.04
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%2.46
No
57%1.44
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.74 + 0.67 = 2.41
Over 1.5
67%1.55
Over 2.5
43%2.65
Over 3.5
22%5.00
Under 1.5
33%2.25
Under 2.5
57%1.39
Under 3.5
78%1.10
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

29'Alex Bruno
33'Motta
56'Crysthyan
63'Jailson
77'Michel Douglas
86'Michel Douglas

Team Comparison

ASAASA
CianorteCianorte
1642Elo Rating 1481
0.74Attack 0.93
2.13Defense 1.28
17%Hit Rate 17%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+161 Elo

Game State Tendencies

ASAASA
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
CianorteCianorte
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

ASAASA1Wins · 100%
Draws00%
CianorteCianorte0Wins · 0%
1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

Recent Form

ASAASA
6W4D0L
18/07/2026
CianorteASA
01
W
12/07/2026
ASAIvinhema
40
W
07/07/2026
IvinhemaASA
12
W
27/06/2026
SergipeASA
01
W
21/06/2026
ASASergipe
11
D
14/06/2026
JacuipenseASA
11
D
30/05/2026
ASACSE
00
D
23/05/2026
CSAASA
11
D
16/05/2026
ASAJuazeirense
10
W
10/05/2026
ASAAtlético Alagoinhas
30
W
CianorteCianorte
5W2D3L
18/07/2026
CianorteASA
01
L
11/07/2026
XV de PiracicabaCianorte
00
D
04/07/2026
CianorteXV de Piracicaba
40
W
28/06/2026
CianorteIndependiente FSJ
5041
W
20/06/2026
Independiente FSJCianorte
01
W
07/06/2026
Guarany de BagéCianorte
01
W
31/05/2026
CianorteSanta Catarina
13
L
23/05/2026
JoinvilleCianorte
00
D
17/05/2026
CianorteCascavel
10
W
10/05/2026
CianorteSão Luiz
01
L

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded

League Table

Serie D 2026

Group 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CSACSA1063125:8+1721WDDWW
2JuazeirenseJuazeirense1052312:9+317WDDLL
3ASAASA1044211:7+416DDDWW
4JacuipenseJacuipense1034312:14-213DDDWW
5CSECSE1023510:17-79LDDLL
6Atlético AlagoinhasAtlético Alagoinhas101275:20-155LDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CSACSA1025:821
2JuazeirenseJuazeirense1012:917
3ASAASA1011:716
4JacuipenseJacuipense1012:1413
5CSECSE1010:179
6Atlético AlagoinhasAtlético Alagoinhas105:205

Group 7

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Santa CatarinaSanta Catarina1061315:9+619WWWWL
2CianorteCianorte105149:8+116WLDWL
3CascavelCascavel104339:4+515LDWLW
4São LuizSão Luiz1043311:9+215WDLWW
5JoinvilleJoinville1043310:8+215LWDLL
6Guarany de BagéGuarany de Bagé101182:18-164LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Santa CatarinaSanta Catarina1015:919
2CianorteCianorte109:816
3CascavelCascavel109:415
4São LuizSão Luiz1011:915
5JoinvilleJoinville1010:815
6Guarany de BagéGuarany de Bagé102:184
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About the ASA vs Cianorte forecast

As a knockout tie in the Serie D, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Serie D

More Serie D fixtures and forecasts are on the Serie D Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

ASA and Cianorte have met only 1 time recently, with 1.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.