Treze vs Sao Jose Prediction

Treze
1-0
After Penalties
HT 1-0AET 0-0PEN 0-3
Sao Jose
26/07/2026
TrezeTreze
1-0
After Penalties
Sao JoseSao Jose

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.59
SignalSOLIDModel33%SurpriseHighGap+7.2%
Treze Rest
8 days
Sao Jose Rest
8 days

Treze vs Sao Jose: the result in context

Sao Jose beat Treze on penalties (3-0) after a 1-0 draw in the Serie D on 26 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%1.96
X
29%2.85
2
23%4.05
Double Chance
1X
77%1.18
X2
52%1.69
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%2.31
No
53%1.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.31 + 0.97 = 2.28
Over 1.5
65%1.59
Over 2.5
38%2.78
Over 3.5
19%5.40
Under 1.5
35%2.19
Under 2.5
62%1.37
Under 3.5
81%1.09
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

10'Marquinhos

Penalty Shootout0 - 3

1(Penalty missed)
1(Penalty)
2(Penalty missed)
2(Penalty)
3(Penalty missed)
3(Penalty)

Team Comparison

TrezeTreze
Sao JoseSao Jose
1525Elo Rating 1507
0.86Attack 0.44
2.21Defense 1.64
46%Hit Rate 0%

Game State Tendencies

TrezeTreze
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.2 in second half)
Sao JoseSao Jose
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

TrezeTreze0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
Sao JoseSao Jose1Wins · 100%
3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

Serie D18/07/2026
Sao JoseTreze
21

Recent Form

TrezeTreze
4W2D4L
18/07/2026
Sao JoseTreze
21
L
12/07/2026
TrezeCRAC
4130
W
04/07/2026
CRACTreze
21
L
28/06/2026
TrezeJacuipense
00
D
21/06/2026
JacuipenseTreze
13
W
14/06/2026
RetrôTreze
30
L
06/06/2026
DecisãoTreze
11
D
30/05/2026
TrezeLagarto
12
L
23/05/2026
SergipeTreze
01
W
16/05/2026
Serra BrancaTreze
12
W
Sao JoseSao Jose
6W4D0L
18/07/2026
Sao JoseTreze
21
W
12/07/2026
Portuguesa RJSao Jose
00
D
04/07/2026
Sao JosePortuguesa RJ
10
W
27/06/2026
Santa CatarinaSao Jose
2141
W
21/06/2026
Sao JoseSanta Catarina
11
D
07/06/2026
BlumenauSao Jose
01
W
01/06/2026
Sao JoseIndependiente FSJ
10
W
24/05/2026
Sao JoseMarcílio Dias
11
D
17/05/2026
Brasil DE PelotasSao Jose
00
D
10/05/2026
Sao JoseAzuriz
10
W

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded

League Table

Serie D 2026

Group 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1TrezeTreze1052318:14+417LDLWW
2SergipeSergipe1043315:13+215DLLDW
3Serra BrancaSerra Branca1036112:8+415DDWLD
4LagartoLagarto1034314:15-113WWDDD
5RetrôRetrô1033413:15-212WDDWL
6DecisãoDecisão1022610:17-78LDWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1TrezeTreze1018:1417
2SergipeSergipe1015:1315
3Serra BrancaSerra Branca1012:815
4LagartoLagarto1014:1513
5RetrôRetrô1013:1512
6DecisãoDecisão1010:178

Group 8

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BlumenauBlumenau1061314:8+619LWWLD
2Marcílio DiasMarcílio Dias104429:5+416DLDWW
3Independiente FSJIndependiente FSJ103433:4-113DLDLD
4Sao JoseSao Jose103436:8-213WWDDW
5Brasil DE PelotasBrasil DE Pelotas102449:12-310DLDDL
6AzurizAzuriz102357:11-49DWLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1BlumenauBlumenau1014:819
2Marcílio DiasMarcílio Dias109:516
3Independiente FSJIndependiente FSJ103:413
4Sao JoseSao Jose106:813
5Brasil DE PelotasBrasil DE Pelotas109:1210
6AzurizAzuriz107:119
Promotion

About the Treze vs Sao Jose forecast

As a knockout tie in the Serie D, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Serie D

More Serie D fixtures and forecasts are on the Serie D Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Treze and Sao Jose have met only 1 time recently, with 3.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.