Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte Prediction

Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta· V. Rivas 30/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.47
SignalNEUTRALModel42%RiskMediumGap-1.9%
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.74
SignalGOODModel40%RiskMediumGap+7.3%
Atlanta United FC Rest
6 days
Charlotte Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
29%2.46
X
28%3.70
2
43%2.60
Double Chance
1X
57%1.48
X2
72%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%1.47
No
36%2.53
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.34 + 1.36 = 2.70
Over 1.5
77%1.16
Over 2.5
60%1.56
Over 3.5
35%2.38
Under 1.5
23%5.10
Under 2.5
40%2.40
Under 3.5
65%1.57
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.4 = 9.7
Over 8.5
61%1.45
Over 9.5
52%1.83
Over 10.5
35%2.29
Under 8.5
39%2.50
Under 9.5
48%1.88
Under 10.5
65%1.54
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.5 = 4.6
Over 3.5
66%1.47
Over 4.5
43%1.98
Under 3.5
34%2.54
Under 4.5
57%1.78

Match Events

22'I. ToklomatiAssist: P. Biel
45+3'D. Diani
48'L. AbadaAssist: A. Saint-Maximin
64'W. Reilly INA. Gill out
64'M. Edwards INR. Hernandez out
64'F. Picault INSergio Santos out
64'T. Muyumba INS. Alzate out
70'M. Almiron INE. Dovlo out
77'A. Westwood INB. Bronico out
77'A. Saint-Maximin INR. Aloko out
77'I. Toklomati INA. Goodwin out
85'D. Schnegg INN. Byrne out
85'A. Gill
90'P. Biel INL. de la Torre out

Lineups

Atlanta United FC
Coach: Gerardo Martino
Charlotte
Coach: Dean Smith

Atlanta United FC Starting XI

1Lucas HoyosG
55Tomás JacobD
27Paulo DíazD
6Junior AlonsoD
47Matthew EdwardsD
48Cooper SanchezM
28William ReillyM
8Tristan MuyumbaM
59Aleksey MiranchukF
22Fafà PicaultF
10Miguel AlmirónF

Charlotte Starting XI

1Kristijan KahlinaG
35Will ClearyD
22Henry KesslerD
3Tim ReamD
23David SchneggD
16Pep BielM
8Ashley WestwoodM
28Djibril DianiM
11Liel AbadaF
9Idan ToklomatiF
10Allan Saint-MaximinF

Atlanta United FC Substitutes

2Ronald HernándezD
16Adrian GillM
7Steven AlzateM
19Sergio SantosF
67Enzo DovloF
42Jayden HibbertG
4Enea MihajD
30Cayman TogashiF
78Andrew JardinesM

Charlotte Substitutes

13Brandt BronicoM
7Archie GoodwinF
37Rodolfo AlokoF
14Nathan ByrneD
17Luca De La TorreM
21Tyler MillerG
44Morrison AgyemangD
4Andrew PrivettD
25Tyger SmallsF

Match Stats

Atlanta United FCCharlotte
59%Ball Possession41%
11Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards1
18Total Shots12
3Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal3
6Shots Inside Box9
12Shots Outside Box3
11Blocked Shots4
8Fouls5
1Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves3
608Total Passes430
561Passes Accurate377
92%Pass Accuracy88%

Team Comparison

Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
CharlotteCharlotte
1500Elo Rating 1673
1.13Attack 2.02
1.45Defense 1.82
14%Hit Rate 54%
15.6Shots per Game 10.6
3.2Shots on Target 4.1
7.0Corners per Game 4.8
1.8Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
CharlotteCharlotte
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Atlanta United FC 37%Draw 27%36% Charlotte
2.98Avg Goals
46%BTTS Rate
46%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

V. Rivas · 104 matches analysed

4.5Avg Yellows
4.7Avg Cards
24.3Avg Fouls
Stricter than 65% of referees analysed

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC26176353:21+3257WDLDW
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution26144845:33+1246WWWLW
3Inter MiamiInter Miami261210463:48+1546DDDDW
4CharlotteCharlotte26127747:37+1043WDWDW
5Chicago FireChicago Fire25116845:38+739LLDDD
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union261061050:42+836WWWWW
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC261041246:60-1434LWWWD
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls26961134:48-1433WWLDL
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2589854:61-733DDLLD
10New York City FCNew York City FC26881039:34+532LWLDD
11DC UnitedDC United25611831:39-829LDWDL
12Toronto FCToronto FC26611939:49-1029LLWDD
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew26751437:42-526WLLWL
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC26751430:43-1326WDLDL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal26561531:53-2221LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC2653:2157
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution2645:3346
3Inter MiamiInter Miami2663:4846
4CharlotteCharlotte2647:3743
5Chicago FireChicago Fire2545:3839
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union2650:4236
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC2646:6034
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls2634:4833
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2554:6133
10New York City FCNew York City FC2639:3432
11DC UnitedDC United2531:3929
12Toronto FCToronto FC2639:4929
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew2637:4226
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC2630:4326
15CF MontrealCF Montreal2631:5321
Promotion

Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Atlanta United FC and Charlotte have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.98 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.