Minnesota United FC vs Atlanta United FC Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 20
Allianz Field, Saint Paul· Joshua Encarnacion, USA 20/08/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.61SignalSOLIDModel62%RiskMediumGap+1.7%
Value Analysis
64%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.61SignalGOODModel59%RiskMediumGap+5.7%
Minnesota United FC Rest
3 days
Atlanta United FC Rest
4 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
158%1.75
X24%3.85
218%4.20
Double Chance
1X82%1.22
X242%1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes64%1.61
No36%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.87 + 1.15 = 3.02
Over 1.582%1.20
Over 2.562%1.65
Over 3.537%2.63
Under 1.518%4.45
Under 2.538%2.21
Under 3.563%1.48
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 3.9 = 10
Over 8.566%1.39
Over 9.548%1.67
Over 10.534%2.05
Under 8.534%2.73
Under 9.552%2.10
Under 10.566%1.70
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.4 = 4.5
Over 3.562%1.72
Over 4.542%-
Under 3.538%2.05
Under 4.558%-
Match Events
18'J. Alonso
29'M. Boxall
32'J. Pereyra
37'T. Jacob
46'A. Gill
56'C. Sanchez
58'A. Markanich
64'F. Picault INL. Brennan out
64'C. Sanchez INS. Alzate out
68'B. Hlongwane INM. Dieng out
68'M. Caldeira INA. Jackson out
75'T. Chancalay
78'T. MuyumbaAssist: A. Miranchuk
79'A. Miranchuk INM. Edwards out
80'T. Chancalay INK. Yeboah out
80'W. Trapp INM. Gonzalez out
84'A. Gill INE. Mihaj out
84'T. Muyumba INP. Diaz out
87'O. Gene
Lineups
Minnesota United FCAtlanta United FC
4-3-3Coach: Gerardo Martino
12D. CallenderDrake Callender
28J. DíazJefferson Díaz
15M. BoxallMichael Boxall
23M. DugganMorris Duggan
21B. HlongwaneBongokuhle Hlongwane
30O. GeneOwen Gene
20W. TrappWil Trapp
13A. MarkanichAnthony Markanich
26J. PereyraJoaquín Pereyra
22M. CaldeiraMarcus Caldeira
8T. ChancalayTomás Chancalay
1L. HoyosLucas Hoyos
55T. JacobTomás Jacob
5S. GregersenStian Gregersen
6J. AlonsoJunior Alonso
3E. BáezElías Báez
48C. SanchezCooper Sanchez
16A. GillAdrian Gill
8T. MuyumbaTristan Muyumba
59A. MiranchukAleksey Miranchuk
10M. AlmirónMiguel Almirón
22F. PicaultFafà PicaultMinnesota United FC Substitutes
16Aziel JacksonM
29Mamadou DiengF
18Mauricio GonzálezF
9Kelvin YeboahF
1Alec SmirG
3Kyle DuncanD
2Devin PadelfordD
24Julian GresselM
67Carlos HarveyM
Atlanta United FC Substitutes
20Luke BrennanM
7Steven AlzateM
47Matthew EdwardsD
4Enea MihajD
27Paulo DíazD
42Jayden HibbertG
2Ronald HernándezD
30Cayman TogashiF
19Sergio SantosF
Match Stats
Minnesota United FCAtlanta United FC 53%Ball Possession47%
6Corner Kicks4
4Yellow Cards3
13Total Shots10
4Shots on Goal3
9Shots off Goal4
11Shots Inside Box6
2Shots Outside Box4
0Blocked Shots3
13Fouls13
4Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves3
475Total Passes423
375Passes Accurate329
79%Pass Accuracy78%
Team Comparison
Minnesota United FCAtlanta United FC1565Elo Rating 1500
2.75Attack 1.13
0.00Defense 1.45
14%Hit Rate 14%
13.1Shots per Game 15.6
5.3Shots on Target 3.2
4.1Corners per Game 7.0
1.9Cards per Game 1.8
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.02 goals
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Minnesota United FC- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 1.1 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Atlanta United FC- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
Head to Head
Based on 1 historical meeting
Minnesota United FC 100%Draw 0%0% Atlanta United FC
3Avg Goals
100%BTTS Rate
100%Over 2.5
Recent Form
Minnesota United FC1W2D2L
16/08/2026
Real Salt LakeMinnesota United FC
Tigres UANLMinnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
San Diego
Real Salt LakeMinnesota United FC11
D12/08/2026Minnesota United FC
Atlante FC
08/08/2026Minnesota United FCAtlante FC31
WTigres UANLMinnesota United FC4020
L05/08/2026Minnesota United FC
FC Juarez
02/08/2026Minnesota United FCFC Juarez12
LMinnesota United FCSan Diego11
DAtlanta United FC1W1D3L
16/08/2026Atlanta United FC
New York Red Bulls
Philadelphia UnionAtlanta United FC
CharlotteAtlanta United FC
Nashville SCAtlanta United FC
Atlanta United FCNew York Red Bulls21
W02/08/2026Philadelphia UnionAtlanta United FC32
L26/07/2026
New England RevolutionAtlanta United FC
23/07/2026New England RevolutionAtlanta United FC41
LCharlotteAtlanta United FC22
D18/07/2026Nashville SCAtlanta United FC10
LReferee Profile
Joshua Encarnacion, USA · 4 matches analysed
4.6Avg Yellows
4.8Avg Cards
25.6Avg Fouls
Stricter than 66% of referees analysed
League Table
Western Conference
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 56:23 | +33 | 49 | WLWLW |
| 2 |  Houston Dynamo | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 34:30 | +4 | 44 | DLWDD |
| 3 |  St. Louis City | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 45:36 | +9 | 44 | WWDWD |
| 4 |  FC Dallas | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 49:42 | +7 | 44 | DWWWD |
| 5 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 46:38 | +8 | 42 | DWWDD |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 43:29 | +14 | 41 | DLWDD |
| 7 |  Colorado Rapids | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 36:35 | +1 | 36 | DWDLW |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 34:42 | -8 | 33 | WDLWL |
| 9 |  Portland Timbers | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 47:48 | -1 | 32 | LLDWL |
| 10 | San Diego | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 44:44 | 0 | 31 | DLLLW |
| 11 |  Austin | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:44 | -12 | 30 | DWDDW |
| 12 | Real Salt Lake | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 37:42 | -5 | 29 | LLLDL |
| 13 |  Seattle Sounders | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 28:33 | -5 | 29 | DDDDD |
| 14 | Minnesota United FC | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 39:46 | -7 | 29 | LLLLD |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 25 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 29:63 | -34 | 18 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 25 | 56:23 | 49 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo | 26 | 34:30 | 44 |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 26 | 45:36 | 44 |
| 4 | FC Dallas | 26 | 49:42 | 44 |
| 5 | San Jose Earthquakes | 26 | 46:38 | 42 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 27 | 43:29 | 41 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 26 | 36:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 27 | 34:42 | 33 |
| 9 | Portland Timbers | 26 | 47:48 | 32 |
| 10 | San Diego | 26 | 44:44 | 31 |
| 11 | Austin | 26 | 32:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Real Salt Lake | 25 | 37:42 | 29 |
| 13 | Seattle Sounders | 24 | 28:33 | 29 |
| 14 | Minnesota United FC | 26 | 39:46 | 29 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 25 | 29:63 | 18 |
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 53:21 | +32 | 57 | WDLDW |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 45:33 | +12 | 46 | WWWLW |
| 3 |  Inter Miami | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 63:48 | +15 | 46 | DDDDW |
| 4 | Charlotte | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 47:37 | +10 | 43 | WDWDW |
| 5 |  Chicago Fire | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 45:38 | +7 | 39 | LLDDD |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 50:42 | +8 | 36 | WWWWW |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 46:60 | -14 | 34 | LWWWD |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 34:48 | -14 | 33 | WWLDL |
| 9 |  FC Cincinnati | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 54:61 | -7 | 33 | DDLLD |
| 10 |  New York City FC | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 39:34 | +5 | 32 | LWLDD |
| 11 |  DC United | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 31:39 | -8 | 29 | LDWDL |
| 12 |  Toronto FC | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 39:49 | -10 | 29 | LLWDD |
| 13 |  Columbus Crew | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 37:42 | -5 | 26 | WLLWL |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 30:43 | -13 | 26 | WDLDL |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 31:53 | -22 | 21 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 26 | 53:21 | 57 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 26 | 45:33 | 46 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 26 | 63:48 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte | 26 | 47:37 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | 25 | 45:38 | 39 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 26 | 50:42 | 36 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 26 | 46:60 | 34 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 34:48 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 25 | 54:61 | 33 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 26 | 39:34 | 32 |
| 11 | DC United | 25 | 31:39 | 29 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 26 | 39:49 | 29 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 26 | 37:42 | 26 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 26 | 30:43 | 26 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 26 | 31:53 | 21 |
Promotion
Minnesota United FC vs Atlanta United FC Prediction
Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Major League Soccer
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Key Factors for This Match
Minnesota United FC and Atlanta United FC have met 1 times recently, averaging 3 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.