Charlotte vs DC United Prediction

Charlotte
3-1
Finished
HT 0-0
DC United
Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte· Elijio Arreguin, USA 23/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
88%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalSOLIDModel53%RiskMediumGap+4.6%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.63
SignalGOODModel50%RiskMediumGap+13.3%
Charlotte Rest
3 days
DC United Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%1.77
X
22%3.88
2
23%4.30
Double Chance
1X
78%1.20
X2
45%2.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%1.59
No
32%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.23 + 0.99 = 3.22
Over 1.5
89%1.20
Over 2.5
69%1.63
Over 3.5
46%2.58
Under 1.5
11%4.45
Under 2.5
31%2.25
Under 3.5
54%1.49
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.2 = 9.5
Over 8.5
59%1.45
Over 9.5
47%1.79
Over 10.5
35%2.19
Under 8.5
41%2.55
Under 9.5
53%1.95
Under 10.5
65%1.59
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 3 = 5.1
Over 3.5
69%1.42
Over 4.5
55%1.83
Under 3.5
31%2.60
Under 4.5
45%1.89

Match Events

34'K. Kurokawa
44'S. Hefti
55'L. MunteanuAssist: Peglow
64'D. Schnegg
65'L. de la Torre INB. Bronico out
65'R. Aloko INL. Abada out
65'A. Westwood IND. Diani out
66'W. ClearyAssist: P. Biel
68'Peglow
75'I. Toklomati INA. Goodwin out
75'K. Nono INH. Kijima out
75'J. Hopkins INN. Ordaz out
75'B. Servania INN. Markovic out
77'P. BielAssist: L. Abada
83'A. Saint-Maximin INT. Smalls out
85'T. Smalls
86'Peglow INJ. Stroud out
90+4'P. Biel

Lineups

Charlotte
Coach: Dean Smith
DC United
Coach: Rene Weiler

Charlotte Starting XI

1K. Kahlina
35W. Cleary
44M. Agyemang
22H. Kessler
23D. Schnegg
8A. Westwood
17L. de la Torre
37R. Aloko
16P. Biel
10A. Saint-Maximin
9I. Toklomati

DC United Starting XI

1S. Johnson
5S. Hefti
3L. Bartlett
21A. Dozzell
6K. Kurokawa
2K. Nono
4M. Peltola
23B. Servania
7Peglow
25J. Hopkins
11L. Munteanu

Charlotte Substitutes

21T. Miller
3T. Ream
14N. Byrne
4A. Privett
13B. Bronico
28D. Diani
7A. Goodwin
25T. Smalls
11L. Abada

DC United Substitutes

26A. Bono
13S. Nealis
27N. Markovic
77H. Kijima
8J. Stroud
22N. Ordaz
9T. Baribo

Match Stats

CharlotteDC United
61%Ball Possession39%
4Corner Kicks9
2Yellow Cards3
11Total Shots17
5Shots on Goal5
3Shots off Goal7
9Shots Inside Box11
2Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots5
15Fouls11
4Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves2
496Total Passes310
413Passes Accurate236
83%Pass Accuracy76%

Team Comparison

CharlotteCharlotte
DC UnitedDC United
1673Elo Rating 1510
2.02Attack 0.62
1.82Defense 1.85
54%Hit Rate 23%
10.6Shots per Game 11.0
4.1Shots on Target 3.2
4.8Corners per Game 4.8
1.7Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+163 Elo
High Goal Expectancy3.22 goals
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CharlotteCharlotte
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
DC UnitedDC United
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Charlotte 81%Draw 19%0% DC United
2.37Avg Goals
42%BTTS Rate
59%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

Elijio Arreguin, USA · 5 matches analysed

4.3Avg Yellows
4.5Avg Cards
26.7Avg Fouls
Stricter than 49% of referees analysed

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC26176353:21+3257WDLDW
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution26144845:33+1246WWWLW
3Inter MiamiInter Miami261210463:48+1546DDDDW
4CharlotteCharlotte26127747:37+1043WDWDW
5Chicago FireChicago Fire25116845:38+739LLDDD
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union261061050:42+836WWWWW
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC261041246:60-1434LWWWD
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls26961134:48-1433WWLDL
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2589854:61-733DDLLD
10New York City FCNew York City FC26881039:34+532LWLDD
11DC UnitedDC United25611831:39-829LDWDL
12Toronto FCToronto FC26611939:49-1029LLWDD
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew26751437:42-526WLLWL
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC26751430:43-1326WDLDL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal26561531:53-2221LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC2653:2157
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution2645:3346
3Inter MiamiInter Miami2663:4846
4CharlotteCharlotte2647:3743
5Chicago FireChicago Fire2545:3839
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union2650:4236
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC2646:6034
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls2634:4833
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2554:6133
10New York City FCNew York City FC2639:3432
11DC UnitedDC United2531:3929
12Toronto FCToronto FC2639:4929
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew2637:4226
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC2630:4326
15CF MontrealCF Montreal2631:5321
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Charlotte vs DC United Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Charlotte and DC United have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.37 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.