Charlotte vs DC United Prediction

Charlotte
3-1
Finished
HT 0-0
DC United
Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte·Elijio Arreguin, USA 23/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
88%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalSTRONGModel53%SurpriseMediumGap+4.6%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.63
SignalGOODModel50%SurpriseMediumGap+13.3%
Charlotte Rest
3 days
DC United Rest
3 days

Charlotte vs DC United: result, form and history

Charlotte beat DC United 3-1 in the Major League Soccer on 23 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Charlotte had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for DC United.

Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them. DC United tend to win more corners, 6.9 a game to 4.2 for Charlotte.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%1.77
X
22%3.88
2
23%4.30
Double Chance
1X
78%1.20
X2
45%2.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%1.59
No
32%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.23 + 0.99 = 3.22
Over 1.5
89%1.20
Over 2.5
69%1.63
Over 3.5
46%2.58
Under 1.5
11%4.45
Under 2.5
31%2.25
Under 3.5
54%1.49
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.2 = 9.5
Over 8.5
59%1.45
Over 9.5
47%1.79
Over 10.5
35%2.19
Under 8.5
41%2.55
Under 9.5
53%1.95
Under 10.5
65%1.59
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 3 = 5.1
Over 3.5
69%1.42
Over 4.5
55%1.83
Under 3.5
31%2.60
Under 4.5
45%1.89

Match Events

34'K. Kurokawa
44'S. Hefti
55'L. MunteanuAssist: Peglow
64'D. Schnegg
65'L. de la Torre INB. Bronico out
65'R. Aloko INL. Abada out
65'A. Westwood IND. Diani out
66'W. ClearyAssist: P. Biel
68'Peglow
75'I. Toklomati INA. Goodwin out
75'K. Nono INH. Kijima out
75'J. Hopkins INN. Ordaz out
75'B. Servania INN. Markovic out
77'P. BielAssist: L. Abada
83'A. Saint-Maximin INT. Smalls out
85'T. Smalls
86'Peglow INJ. Stroud out
90+4'P. Biel

Lineups

Charlotte
Coach: Dean Smith
DC United
Coach: Rene Weiler

Charlotte Starting XI

1K. Kahlina
35W. Cleary66'
44M. Agyemang
22H. Kessler
23D. Schnegg64'
8A. Westwood65'replaced by D. Diani
17L. de la Torre65'replaced by B. Bronico
37R. Aloko65'replaced by L. Abada
16P. Biel77'90+4'
10A. Saint-Maximin83'replaced by T. Smalls
9I. Toklomati75'replaced by A. Goodwin

DC United Starting XI

1S. Johnson
5S. Hefti44'
3L. Bartlett
21A. Dozzell
6K. Kurokawa34'
2K. Nono75'replaced by H. Kijima
4M. Peltola
23B. Servania75'replaced by N. Markovic
7Peglow68'86'replaced by J. Stroud
25J. Hopkins75'replaced by N. Ordaz
11L. Munteanu55'

Charlotte Substitutes

21T. Miller
3T. Ream
14N. Byrne
4A. Privett
13B. Bronico65'for L. de la Torre
28D. Diani65'for A. Westwood
7A. Goodwin75'for I. Toklomati
25T. Smalls83'for A. Saint-Maximin85'
11L. Abada65'for R. Aloko

DC United Substitutes

26A. Bono
13S. Nealis
27N. Markovic75'for B. Servania
77H. Kijima75'for K. Nono
8J. Stroud86'for Peglow
22N. Ordaz75'for J. Hopkins
9T. Baribo

Match Stats

CharlotteDC United
61%Ball Possession39%
4Corner Kicks9
2Yellow Cards3
11Total Shots17
5Shots on Goal5
3Shots off Goal7
9Shots Inside Box11
2Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots5
15Fouls11
4Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves2
496Total Passes310
413Passes Accurate236
83%Pass Accuracy76%

Team Comparison

CharlotteCharlotte
DC UnitedDC United
1676Elo Rating 1448
2.86Attack 0.54
1.66Defense 0.45
50%Hit Rate 0%
11.9Shots per Game 11.5
4.6Shots on Target 3.0
4.2Corners per Game 6.9
1.5Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+228 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.22 goals
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CharlotteCharlotte
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2 vs 0.8 in first half)
DC UnitedDC United
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

CharlotteCharlotte5Wins · 56%
Draws222%
DC UnitedDC United2Wins · 22%
2.3Avg Goals
22%Both teams scored2 of 9
67%3+ goals6 of 9

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer04/10/2025
DC UnitedCharlotte
01
Major League Soccer17/07/2025
CharlotteDC United
21
US Open Cup22/05/2025
DC UnitedCharlotte
2212
Major League Soccer21/10/2024
DC UnitedCharlotte
03
Major League Soccer16/06/2024
CharlotteDC United
10
Major League Soccer17/09/2023
CharlotteDC United
00
Major League Soccer30/04/2023
DC UnitedCharlotte
30
Major League Soccer04/08/2022
CharlotteDC United
30
Major League Soccer27/02/2022
DC UnitedCharlotte
30

Recent Form

CharlotteCharlotte
6W2D2L
20/08/2026
Toronto FCCharlotte
33
D
16/08/2026
CharlotteColumbus Crew
31
W
12/08/2026
CharlotteCF Pachuca
01
L
08/08/2026
CharlotteAtlas
20
W
05/08/2026
CharlotteU.N.A.M. - Pumas
30
W
02/08/2026
Chicago FireCharlotte
21
L
26/07/2026
New York Red BullsCharlotte
02
W
23/07/2026
CharlotteAtlanta United FC
22
D
24/05/2026
CharlotteNew England Revolution
10
W
17/05/2026
CharlotteToronto FC
31
W
DC UnitedDC United
2W6D2L
20/08/2026
DC UnitedNew England Revolution
03
L
16/08/2026
CF MontrealDC United
11
D
02/08/2026
DC UnitedNashville SC
22
D
26/07/2026
DC UnitedToronto FC
21
W
23/07/2026
Houston DynamoDC United
11
D
24/05/2026
DC UnitedCF Montreal
44
D
17/05/2026
DC UnitedSt. Louis City
11
D
14/05/2026
DC UnitedChicago Fire
13
L
10/05/2026
Nashville SCDC United
22
D
03/05/2026
New York City FCDC United
02
W

Referee Profile

Elijio Arreguin109 matches

4.25Cards per match
4.10Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
29.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Elijio Arreguin4.25
Other referees4.23

4.25 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.23).

Cards come from 20 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC34238371:25+4677WWDWD
2Inter MiamiInter Miami341612680:59+2160DWDLW
3New England RevolutionNew England Revolution341841255:47+858LLWWW
4Chicago FireChicago Fire341671164:54+1055LWDWL
5CharlotteCharlotte341591066:51+1554DWWLD
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union341481266:52+1450WLDLD
7Columbus CrewColumbus Crew341451559:52+747WWWWW
8Orlando City SCOrlando City SC341371463:78-1546WLDDW
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3412101267:75-846LWDWW
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls341261648:62-1442WLLWL
11New York City FCNew York City FC3410121249:45+442WDWDD
12Toronto FCToronto FC349121352:67-1539LLWLW
13Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC34961943:60-1733LWLLL
14DC UnitedDC United347121539:61-2233LLLLL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal34682037:69-3226LDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC3471:2577
2Inter MiamiInter Miami3480:5960
3New England RevolutionNew England Revolution3455:4758
4Chicago FireChicago Fire3464:5455
5CharlotteCharlotte3466:5154
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union3466:5250
7Columbus CrewColumbus Crew3459:5247
8Orlando City SCOrlando City SC3463:7846
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3467:7546
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls3448:6242
11New York City FCNew York City FC3449:4542
12Toronto FCToronto FC3452:6739
13Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC3443:6033
14DC UnitedDC United3439:6133
15CF MontrealCF Montreal3437:6926
Promotion

About the Charlotte vs DC United forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Charlotte and DC United in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, Charlotte are 5th and DC United 14th, 21 points apart. League goal record so far: Charlotte 66-51, DC United 39-61. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.