River Plate vs Santa Fe Prediction

CONMEBOL SudamericanaWorld World · Round of 16
CupKnockout
River Plate
1-1
After Penalties
HT 0-0AET 0-0PEN 7-8
Santa Fe
Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires· E. Ostojich 27/08/2026
River PlateRiver Plate
1-1
After Penalties
Santa FeSanta Fe

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.4 / 10
Value Analysis
54%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
1.96
SignalGOODModel46%RiskHighGap+6.5%
River Plate Rest
3 days
Santa Fe Rest
4 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.30
X
39%4.89
2
9%11.63
Double Chance
1X
91%1.04
X2
48%3.42
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%2.76
No
55%1.40
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.5 + 0.93 = 2.43
Over 1.5
71%1.36
Over 2.5
39%2.15
Over 3.5
20%3.85
Under 1.5
29%3.00
Under 2.5
61%1.69
Under 3.5
80%1.23
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 2.4 = 8.2
Over 8.5
56%1.75
Over 9.5
44%2.20
Over 10.5
34%2.83
Under 8.5
44%2.00
Under 9.5
56%1.60
Under 10.5
66%1.35
Cards
Projected Cards: 3.2 + 3.8 = 7
Over 3.5
92%1.17
Over 4.5
66%1.40
Under 3.5
8%3.65
Under 4.5
34%2.56

Match Events

36'K. D. Toscano Bassa INJ. Torres out
52'S. DriussiAssist: G. Montiel
58'A. Zapata INF. Fagundez out
58'J. Obrian INL. Palacios out
58'N. Bustos INM. Lovera out
62'T. Galvan INFausto Vera out
62'S. Driussi INR. Borre out
71'G. MontielFoul
76'T. Andrada INF. Gonzalez out
76'G. Montiel INJ. Meza out
80'F. Fagundez(Penalty)
82'A. Moreno INJ. Freitas out
82'M. AcunaUnsportsmanlike conduct
83'C. MaflaTripping
87'H. Rodallega INJ. Angulo out

Penalty Shootout7 - 8

1T. Almada(Penalty)
1M. Lovera(Penalty)
2A. Correa(Penalty)
2D. Torres(Penalty)
3N. Otamendi(Penalty)
3E. Olivera(Penalty missed)
4J. Freitas(Penalty)
4L. Palacios(Penalty)
5R. Borre(Penalty missed)
5F. Fagundez(Penalty)
6L. Martinez Quarta(Penalty missed)
6J. Torres(Penalty missed)
7Fausto Vera(Penalty)
7I. R. Scarpeta Silgado(Penalty)
8F. Gonzalez(Penalty missed)
8J. Angulo(Penalty missed)
9M. Acuna(Penalty)
9H. Palacios(Penalty)
10J. Meza(Penalty)
10C. Mafla(Penalty)
11S. Beltran(Penalty missed)
11W. Asprilla(Penalty)

Lineups

River Plate
4-2-3-1Coach: Eduardo Coudet
Santa Fe
4-2-3-1Coach: Jose Lopez Fierro
Santiago Beltrán41S. BeltránSantiago Beltrán
Gonzalo Montiel29G. MontielGonzalo Montiel
Lucas Martínez Quarta28L. Martínez QuartaLucas Martínez Quarta
Nicolás Otamendi30N. OtamendiNicolás Otamendi
Marcos Acuña21M. AcuñaMarcos Acuña
Aníbal Moreno6A. MorenoAníbal Moreno
Tobías Andrada50T. AndradaTobías Andrada
Tomás Galván26T. GalvánTomás Galván
Ángel Correa10Á. CorreaÁngel Correa
Thiago Almada23T. AlmadaThiago Almada
Sebastián Driussi9S. DriussiSebastián Driussi
Weibmar Asprilla12W. AsprillaWeibmar Asprilla
Helibelton Palacios13H. PalaciosHelibelton Palacios
Emanuel Olivera18E. OliveraEmanuel Olivera
Ivan Scarpeta15I. ScarpetaIvan Scarpeta
Christian Mafla32C. MaflaChristian Mafla
Daniel Torres16D. TorresDaniel Torres
Kilian Toscano6K. ToscanoKilian Toscano
Jader Obrian77J. ObrianJader Obrian
Nahuel Bustos19N. BustosNahuel Bustos
Alexis Zapata10A. ZapataAlexis Zapata
Hugo Rodallega11H. RodallegaHugo Rodallega

River Plate Substitutes

15Fausto VeraM
19Rafael BorréF
31Facundo GonzálezD
24Juan Cruz MezaM
35Joaquín FreitasF
33Ezequiel CenturiónG
43Valentín LuceroM
44Lucas SilvaM
25Lautaro PereyraF

Santa Fe Substitutes

7Jhojan TorresF
14Luis Angel PalaciosF
9Franco FagúndezF
17Maximiliano LoveraF
24Jeison AnguloD
30Emiliano ContrerasG
42Jhojan ZúñigaM
43Jean CaicedoD
4Mateo PuertaD
3Victor MorenoD
39Cristhian PortocarreroM
40Martin PalaciosF

Match Stats

River PlateSanta Fe
72%Ball Possession28%
6Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards1
31Total Shots12
11Shots on Goal4
16Shots off Goal7
18Shots Inside Box9
13Shots Outside Box3
4Blocked Shots1
15Fouls10
1Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves8
584Total Passes226
499Passes Accurate137
85%Pass Accuracy61%

Team Comparison

River PlateRiver Plate
Santa FeSanta Fe
1746Elo Rating 1699
2.26Attack 1.30
1.66Defense 2.14
69%Hit Rate 44%
18.8Shots per Game 14.4
7.4Shots on Target 4.2
3.6Corners per Game 5.3
1.6Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend33% in H2H
⚠️Home Rotation Risk60%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

River PlateRiver Plate
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Santa FeSanta Fe
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 3 historical meetings

River Plate 33%Draw 67%0% Santa Fe
0.99Avg Goals
33%BTTS Rate
33%Over 2.5

Recent Form

River PlateRiver Plate
1W2D2L
24/08/2026
River PlateVelez Sarsfield
22
D
20/08/2026
Santa FeRiver Plate
00
D
16/08/2026
River PlateArgentinos JRS
20
W08/08/2026
TigreRiver Plate
10
L03/08/2026
River PlateRosario Central
01
L
Santa FeSanta Fe
2W3D0L
23/08/2026
Santa FeAmerica de Cali
00
D
20/08/2026
Santa FeRiver Plate
00
D
08/08/2026
Santa FeChico
20
W06/08/2026
Santa FeUnion Magdalena
20
W03/08/2026
Santa FeOnce Caldas
22
D

Referee Profile

E. Ostojich · 58 matches analysed

6.2Avg Yellows
6.6Avg Cards
26.2Avg Fouls
Stricter than 100% of referees analysed

League Table

CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1River PlateRiver Plate64209:3+614WDWWW
2RB BragantinoRB Bragantino631212:5+710WDWLW
3Carabobo FCCarabobo FC63036:5+19LWLWL
4BloomingBlooming60153:17-141LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1River PlateRiver Plate69:314
2RB BragantinoRB Bragantino612:510
3Carabobo FCCarabobo FC66:59
4BloomingBlooming63:171
Promotion

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Deportivo Recoleta
Seeded
Sao Paulo
Seeded
Atletico-MG
Seeded
Atletico Torque
Seeded
Olimpia
Seeded
Macara
Seeded
Botafogo
Seeded
River Plate
Seeded

River Plate vs Santa Fe Prediction

As a knockout-stage CONMEBOL Sudamericana fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About CONMEBOL Sudamericana

ScorePredicts covers CONMEBOL Sudamericana across every knockout round. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

River Plate have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. River Plate and Santa Fe have met 3 times recently, averaging 0.99 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.