River Plate vs Velez Sarsfield Prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina

Argentina · Clausura - 6

River Plate

2-2

Finished

HT 2-0

Velez Sarsfield

Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires· D. Herrera 24/08/2026

River Plate

2-2

Finished

Velez Sarsfield

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality

Complete

Match Importance

4.4 / 10

Value Analysis

56%Trust

Home Corners

Home Corners Under 5.5

1.86

SignalGOODModel46%RiskMediumGap+5.9%

River Plate Rest

3 days

Velez Sarsfield Rest

6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result

50%1.67

29%3.45

21%5.75

Double Chance

79%1.13

51%2.15

Both Teams to Score

Yes

50%2.25

50%1.58

Goals

Projected Goals: 1.23 + 0.94 = 2.17

Over 1.5

68%1.44

Over 2.5

37%2.40

Over 3.5

19%4.60

Under 1.5

32%2.70

Under 2.5

63%1.57

Under 3.5

81%1.17

Corners

Projected Corners: 5.4 + 3.7 = 9.1

Over 8.5

55%1.67

Over 9.5

40%2.09

Over 10.5

29%2.67

Under 8.5

45%2.08

Under 9.5

60%1.66

Under 10.5

71%1.38

Cards

Projected Cards: 3 + 3.5 = 6.6

Over 3.5

91%-

Over 4.5

75%1.35

Under 3.5

9%-

Under 4.5

25%2.75

Match Events

11'A. CorreaAssist: L. Martinez Quarta

41'A. MorenoFoul

43'T. SilveroOG

58'S. Escobar IND. Valdes out

58'T. Aguirre IND. Godoy out

61'D. ValdesAssist: M. Pellegrini

70'A. Correa INR. Borre out

74'E. GomezFoul

79'M. LanziniAssist: E. Gomez

80'L. Martinez QuartaFoul

84'J. Freitas INL. Pereyra out

84'L. Beltran INS. Driussi out

87'M. Lanzini INA. Veron out

90+3'R. Aliendro INL. Feler out

Lineups

River Plate

4-2-3-1Coach: Eduardo Coudet

Velez Sarsfield

4-2-3-1Coach: Guilermo Barros Schelotto

41S. BeltranS. Beltran

20G. GonzalezG. Gonzalez

28L. Martinez QuartaL. Martinez Quarta

30N. OtamendiN. Otamendi

3F. OrtegaF. Ortega

6A. MorenoA. Moreno

50T. AndradaT. Andrada

35J. FreitasJ. Freitas

10A. CorreaA. Correa

23T. AlmadaT. Almada

18L. BeltranL. Beltran

1T. MarchioriT. Marchiori

4J. GarciaJ. Garcia

32T. SilveroT. Silvero

16L. MagallanL. Magallan

3E. GomezE. Gomez

8L. RobertoneL. Robertone

29R. AliendroR. Aliendro

11M. PellegriniM. Pellegrini

22M. LanziniM. Lanzini

18S. EscobarS. Escobar

39T. AguirreT. Aguirre

River Plate Substitutes

33E. CenturionG

21M. AcunaD

29G. MontielD

13L. RiveroD

8M. ArambarriM

24J. MezaM

15Fausto VeraM

26T. GalvanM

25L. PereyraF

44L. SilvaM

9S. DriussiF

19R. BorreF

Velez Sarsfield Substitutes

23F. SanguinettiG

2E. MammanaD

19L. CristaldoD

47A. PereyraD

10D. ValdesM

5C. BaezaM

48L. FelerM

17A. VeronF

35M. AriasF

15D. GodoyF

37J. Policella

30L. PiolaF

Match Stats

River PlateVelez Sarsfield

57%Ball Possession43%

3Corner Kicks5

2Yellow Cards1

13Total Shots11

3Shots on Goal4

7Shots off Goal4

6Shots Inside Box8

7Shots Outside Box3

3Blocked Shots3

13Fouls13

4Offsides0

2Goalkeeper Saves2

567Total Passes427

470Passes Accurate329

83%Pass Accuracy77%

River Plate

Velez Sarsfield

1746Elo Rating 1733

2.26Attack 0.95

1.66Defense 2.28

69%Hit Rate 23%

18.8Shots per Game 10.1

7.4Shots on Target 2.9

3.6Corners per Game 4.2

1.6Cards per Game 1.3

Game State Tendencies

River Plate

Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Velez Sarsfield

Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

River Plate 19%Draw 54%27% Velez Sarsfield

2.14Avg Goals

50%BTTS Rate

34%Over 2.5

Recent Form

20/08/2026

Santa Fe

River Plate

Referee Profile

D. Herrera · 114 matches analysed

5.5Avg Yellows

5.9Avg Cards

27.0Avg Fouls

Stricter than 97% of referees analysed

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Apertura - Group A

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	Pts	Form
1	Estudiantes L.P.	16	9	4	3	19:7	+12	31	LLWWD
2	Boca Juniors	16	8	6	2	22:9	+13	30	DWDDD
3	Velez Sarsfield	16	7	7	2	18:12	+6	28	DWDWD
4	Talleres Cordoba	16	7	5	4	17:13	+4	26	WDLWW
5	Independiente	16	6	6	4	24:20	+4	24	DWDLW
6	Lanus	16	6	6	4	18:15	+3	24	WWLDL
7	San Lorenzo	16	5	7	4	14:14	0	22	DDDWD
8	Union Santa Fe	16	5	6	5	24:20	+4	21	DWWWD
9	Instituto Cordoba	16	6	3	7	17:17	0	21	LLDWW
10	Defensa Y Justicia	16	4	7	5	18:21	-3	19	WDDDD
11	Gimnasia M.	16	5	4	7	14:22	-8	19	DDDLL
12	Platense	16	3	7	6	10:15	-5	16	DDDWD
13	Central Cordoba de Santiago	16	4	4	8	11:21	-10	16	WDLWD
14	Newells Old Boys	16	3	6	7	15:27	-12	15	DLLLD
15	Deportivo Riestra	16	1	8	7	5:12	-7	11	DDDDD

#	Team	MP	G	Pts
1	Estudiantes L.P.	16	19:7	31
2	Boca Juniors	16	22:9	30
3	Velez Sarsfield	16	18:12	28
4	Talleres Cordoba	16	17:13	26
5	Independiente	16	24:20	24
6	Lanus	16	18:15	24
7	San Lorenzo	16	14:14	22
8	Union Santa Fe	16	24:20	21
9	Instituto Cordoba	16	17:17	21
10	Defensa Y Justicia	16	18:21	19
11	Gimnasia M.	16	14:22	19
12	Platense	16	10:15	16
13	Central Cordoba de Santiago	16	11:21	16
14	Newells Old Boys	16	15:27	15
15	Deportivo Riestra	16	5:12	11

Apertura - Group B

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	Pts	Form
1	Independ. Rivadavia	16	10	4	2	29:15	+14	34	LDDWL
2	River Plate	16	9	2	5	22:12	+10	29	WDWLL
3	Argentinos JRS	16	8	5	3	17:13	+4	29	WDDDW
4	Rosario Central	16	8	4	4	20:16	+4	28	DWWLW
5	Belgrano Cordoba	16	7	5	4	17:13	+4	26	WLWDW
6	Gimnasia L.P.	16	8	2	6	19:19	0	26	WDLWD
7	Huracan	16	5	7	4	17:13	+4	22	LWLDW
8	Racing Club	16	5	6	5	17:15	+2	21	DWDDW
9	Barracas Central	16	5	6	5	15:15	0	21	WDWLL
10	Tigre	16	4	8	4	18:15	+3	20	DDLDW
11	Sarmiento Junin	16	6	1	9	13:20	-7	19	DWLLL
12	Banfield	16	5	3	8	17:19	-2	18	LWLWL
13	Atletico Tucuman	16	3	5	8	15:20	-5	14	DLLLW
14	Aldosivi	16	0	8	8	6:19	-13	8	DDLLL
15	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto	16	1	2	13	5:24	-19	5	LLWLL

#	Team	MP	G	Pts
1	Independ. Rivadavia	16	29:15	34
2	River Plate	16	22:12	29
3	Argentinos JRS	16	17:13	29
4	Rosario Central	16	20:16	28
5	Belgrano Cordoba	16	17:13	26
6	Gimnasia L.P.	16	19:19	26
7	Huracan	16	17:13	22
8	Racing Club	16	17:15	21
9	Barracas Central	16	15:15	21
10	Tigre	16	18:15	20
11	Sarmiento Junin	16	13:20	19
12	Banfield	16	17:19	18
13	Atletico Tucuman	16	15:20	14
14	Aldosivi	16	6:19	8
15	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto	16	5:24	5

Clausura - Group A

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	Pts	Form
1	Instituto Cordoba	9	6	1	2	10:6	+4	19	LLDWW
2	Defensa Y Justicia	10	5	3	2	13:11	+2	18	WDDDD
3	Velez Sarsfield	9	4	5	0	12:7	+5	17	DWDWD
4	Gimnasia M.	9	5	1	3	14:9	+5	16	DDDLL
5	Boca Juniors	9	3	5	1	12:11	+1	14	DWDDD
6	Independiente	9	4	2	3	8:7	+1	14	DWDLW
7	Lanus	9	4	1	4	11:8	+3	13	WWLDL
8	Union Santa Fe	9	4	1	4	16:14	+2	13	DWWWD
9	Newells Old Boys	9	3	4	2	10:8	+2	13	DLLLD
10	San Lorenzo	9	3	2	4	4:6	-2	11	DDDWD
11	Estudiantes L.P.	9	3	1	5	9:9	0	10	LLWWD
12	Deportivo Riestra	9	2	3	4	8:10	-2	9	DDDDD
13	Platense	9	2	3	4	9:14	-5	9	DDDWD
14	Talleres Cordoba	9	2	2	5	10:14	-4	8	WDLWW
15	Central Cordoba de Santiago	10	2	2	6	7:13	-6	8	WDLWD

#	Team	MP	G	Pts
1	Instituto Cordoba	9	10:6	19
2	Defensa Y Justicia	10	13:11	18
3	Velez Sarsfield	9	12:7	17
4	Gimnasia M.	9	14:9	16
5	Boca Juniors	9	12:11	14
6	Independiente	9	8:7	14
7	Lanus	9	11:8	13
8	Union Santa Fe	9	16:14	13
9	Newells Old Boys	9	10:8	13
10	San Lorenzo	9	4:6	11
11	Estudiantes L.P.	9	9:9	10
12	Deportivo Riestra	9	8:10	9
13	Platense	9	9:14	9
14	Talleres Cordoba	9	10:14	8
15	Central Cordoba de Santiago	10	7:13	8

Clausura - Group B

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	Pts	Form
1	Argentinos JRS	9	5	3	1	13:8	+5	18	WDDDW
2	Sarmiento Junin	9	5	1	3	16:13	+3	16	DWLLL
3	Gimnasia L.P.	9	5	1	3	13:13	0	16	WDLWD
4	Rosario Central	9	4	3	2	10:8	+2	15	DWWLW
5	Independ. Rivadavia	9	4	2	3	13:13	0	14	LDDWL
6	Belgrano Cordoba	9	3	4	2	9:6	+3	13	WLWDW
7	River Plate	9	4	1	4	12:10	+2	13	WDWLL
8	Atletico Tucuman	9	3	4	2	7:5	+2	13	DLLLW
9	Huracan	9	3	4	2	8:7	+1	13	LWLDW
10	Tigre	9	3	3	3	7:6	+1	12	DDLDW
11	Barracas Central	9	3	3	3	5:6	-1	12	WDWLL
12	Banfield	9	2	2	5	9:14	-5	8	LWLWL
13	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto	9	1	3	5	4:11	-7	6	LLWLL
14	Aldosivi	9	1	2	6	11:16	-5	5	DDLLL
15	Racing Club	9	1	2	6	8:15	-7	5	DWDDW

#	Team	MP	G	Pts
1	Argentinos JRS	9	13:8	18
2	Sarmiento Junin	9	16:13	16
3	Gimnasia L.P.	9	13:13	16
4	Rosario Central	9	10:8	15
5	Independ. Rivadavia	9	13:13	14
6	Belgrano Cordoba	9	9:6	13
7	River Plate	9	12:10	13
8	Atletico Tucuman	9	7:5	13
9	Huracan	9	8:7	13
10	Tigre	9	7:6	12
11	Barracas Central	9	5:6	12
12	Banfield	9	9:14	8
13	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto	9	4:11	6
14	Aldosivi	9	11:16	5
15	Racing Club	9	8:15	5

Our AI model has analysed this Liga Profesional Argentina fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Liga Profesional Argentina

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Key Factors for This Match

River Plate have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. River Plate and Velez Sarsfield have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.14 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.

River Plate vs Velez Sarsfield Prediction

AI Best Pick

Match Forecasts

Match Events

Lineups

River Plate Substitutes

Velez Sarsfield Substitutes

Match Stats

Team Comparison

Game State Tendencies

Head to Head

Recent Form

Referee Profile

League Table

Apertura - Group A

Apertura - Group B

Clausura - Group A

Clausura - Group B