Atyrau vs Irtysh Prediction

Atyrau
2-3
Finished
HT 1-1
Irtysh
Munaishy Stadium, Atyrau·R. Omarov 25/10/2026
AtyrauAtyrau
2-3
Finished
IrtyshIrtysh

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-2.2%
Atyrau Rest
7 days
Irtysh Rest
6 days

Atyrau vs Irtysh: the result in context

Irtysh beat Atyrau 3-2 in the Premier League on 25 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Irtysh have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 2.5 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%2.30
X
26%3.20
2
30%2.80
Double Chance
1X
70%1.36
X2
56%1.50
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

14'M. MbodjAssist: R. Karimov
45'D. PantelicAssist: D. Maksimovic
51'R. YudenkovOG
53'R. Karimov INS. Opeh out
54'M. Khalmatov IND. Esimbekov out
61'T. MukhametzhanovAssist: S. Malikaydar
66'T. Mukhametzhanov
72'R. Yudenkov
76'Henrique INA. Seytkaliev out
84'Leonardo Kalil INO. A. Falaye out
87'M. Stanic INA. Boranshiev out
87'K. Dorofeev INY. Trufanov out
87'D. Pantelic
88'S. Satanov
90+3'Y. Shimamura IND. Nyrkov out
90+4'

Lineups

Atyrau
3-4-3
Irtysh
5-3-2
Egor Khatkevich1E. Khatkevich
Sanzhar Satanov5S. Satanov
Egor Khvalko78E. Khvalko
Franjo Prce71F. Prce
Konstantin Dorofeev14K. Dorofeev
Mario Rabiu4M. Rabiu
Mato Stanić8M. Stanić
Kuanysh Kalmuratov17K. Kalmuratov
Henrique Devens7H. Devens
Đorđe Maksimović44Đ. Maksimović
Đorđe Pantelić90Đ. Pantelić
Miras Rikhard1M. Rikhard
Sagi Malikaydar66S. Malikaydar
Bakhtiyar Toleuov5B. Toleuov
Mamadou Mbodj26M. Mbodj
Demiyat Slambekov4D. Slambekov
Ramazan Karimov12R. Karimov
Murojon Khalmatov23M. Khalmatov
Ruslan Yudenkov56R. Yudenkov
Yushi Shimamura6Y. Shimamura
Kalil9Kalil
Timur Mukhametzhanov7T. Mukhametzhanov

Atyrau Substitutes

35Nurasyl Tokhtarov
2Egor Tkachenko
23Berik Shaikhov
25Sayat Zhumagali
10Rinat Dzhumatov
11Asylbek Seitkalyev76'for Henrique
15Ebenezer Ofori
20Arsen Buranchiev
21Diaz Deputy
99Beibit Kereev
9Aybar Abdulla
18Yan Trufanov87'for K. Dorofeev

Irtysh Substitutes

17Samuel Opeh53'for R. Karimov
8David Esimbekov54'for M. Khalmatov
29Bogdan Sarnavskyi
15Daniil Nyrkov90+3'for Y. Shimamura
25Marko Jevtić
14Vyacheslav Raskatov
35Lucas Ramos
32Oluwabori Falaye84'for Leonardo Kalil
77Alham Nurlan

Team Comparison

AtyrauAtyrau
IrtyshIrtysh
1426Elo Rating 1454
0.89Attack 0.61
1.44Defense 0.73
19%Hit Rate 31%

Game State Tendencies

AtyrauAtyrau
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
IrtyshIrtysh
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

AtyrauAtyrau0Wins · 0%
Draws125%
IrtyshIrtysh3Wins · 75%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Premier League16/03/2026
IrtyshAtyrau
11
Premier League31/08/2019
AtyrauIrtysh
03
Premier League26/05/2019
IrtyshAtyrau
10
Premier League15/03/2019
AtyrauIrtysh
13

Recent Form

AtyrauAtyrau
2W3D5L
18/10/2026
AltayAtyrau
11
D
14/10/2026
AtyrauYelimay Semey
12
L
10/10/2026
ZhenysAtyrau
12
W
17/09/2026
AtyrauOrdabasy
03
L
12/09/2026
KaisarAtyrau
10
L
05/09/2026
Kyzyl-ZharAtyrau
01
W
30/08/2026
AtyrauFC Astana
23
L
16/08/2026
AtyrauOkzhetpes
02
L
09/08/2026
AtyrauAktobe
11
D
01/08/2026
AtyrauZhetysu
11
D
IrtyshIrtysh
4W0D6L
18/10/2026
Kairat AlmatyIrtysh
50
L
14/10/2026
IrtyshFC Astana
01
L
10/10/2026
IrtyshKyzyl-Zhar
02
L
18/09/2026
AltayIrtysh
12
W
13/09/2026
IrtyshOkzhetpes
21
W
05/09/2026
ZhetysuIrtysh
10
L
30/08/2026
IrtyshAktobe
21
W
16/08/2026
IrtyshFK Tobol Kostanay
02
L
09/08/2026
Yelimay SemeyIrtysh
31
L
01/08/2026
IrtyshKaspiy
32
W

Referee Profile

R. Omarov4 matches analysed

4.55Cards per match
4.40Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
23.1Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 59% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OrdabasyOrdabasy29215359:21+3868DWWWW
2Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty29197359:22+3764DWWLL
3FC AstanaFC Astana29158646:29+1753DDWLW
4OkzhetpesOkzhetpes29156845:37+851WWLWL
5AktobeAktobe29137944:37+746DLWDW
6Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey29129842:40+245DWWLW
7FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay291251240:39+141DWWLW
8UlytauUlytau29981227:35-835LLWDL
9ZhenysZhenys29891230:39-933DLLLW
10KaspiyKaspiy29961431:42-1133LDWWL
11Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar29861529:41-1230WLWDL
12IrtyshIrtysh29781429:44-1529WLLLW
13AltayAltay29691430:41-1127DDLLW
14AtyrauAtyrau295121224:35-1127LDLWL
15ZhetysuZhetysu29681529:47-1826DWLLL
16KaisarKaisar294131224:39-1525DLLDW
#TeamMPGPts
1OrdabasyOrdabasy2959:2168
2Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty2959:2264
3FC AstanaFC Astana2946:2953
4OkzhetpesOkzhetpes2945:3751
5AktobeAktobe2944:3746
6Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey2942:4045
7FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay2940:3941
8UlytauUlytau2927:3535
9ZhenysZhenys2930:3933
10KaspiyKaspiy2931:4233
11Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar2929:4130
12IrtyshIrtysh2929:4429
13AltayAltay2930:4127
14AtyrauAtyrau2924:3527
15ZhetysuZhetysu2929:4726
16KaisarKaisar2924:3925
Relegation

About the Atyrau vs Irtysh forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Atyrau and Irtysh in the Premier League table

Irtysh and Atyrau are close in the Premier League table, 12th and 14th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Atyrau 24-35, Irtysh 29-44. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.