Atyrau vs Yelimay Semey Prediction

Atyrau
1-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Yelimay Semey
Turkestan Arena, Turkestan 14/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.33
SignalSOLIDModel40%SurpriseHighGap-6.4%
Atyrau Rest
4 days
Yelimay Semey Rest
4 days

Atyrau vs Yelimay Semey: the result in context

Yelimay Semey beat Atyrau 2-1 in the Premier League on 14 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Atyrau have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 2.4 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
32%2.90
X
28%3.25
2
40%2.20
Double Chance
1X
60%1.60
X2
68%1.33
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

31'D. Deputy INHenrique out
39'A. AshirbekAssist: R. Orazov
45+1'R. Orazov
58'S. Satanov
60'R. Murillo
72'A. Zhaksylykov INF. Placca out
72'R. Murillo INH. Ilic out
79'E. Ofori INK. Dorofeev out
85'D. Pantelic
85'China INZ. Payruz out
87'Z. PayruzAssist: A. Tulubay

Team Comparison

AtyrauAtyrau
Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey
1426Elo Rating 1564
0.89Attack 1.81
1.44Defense 1.78
19%Hit Rate 81%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

AtyrauAtyrau
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

AtyrauAtyrau3Wins · 60%
Draws120%
Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey1Wins · 20%
2.4Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored3 of 5
60%3+ goals3 of 5

Previous meetings

Premier League21/06/2026
Yelimay SemeyAtyrau
12
Premier League26/10/2025
Yelimay SemeyAtyrau
32
Premier League01/03/2025
AtyrauYelimay Semey
21
Premier League26/10/2024
AtyrauYelimay Semey
10
Premier League02/03/2024
Yelimay SemeyAtyrau
00

Recent Form

AtyrauAtyrau
2W2D6L
Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey
3W3D4L
10/10/2026
Yelimay SemeyAktobe
13
L
17/09/2026
FK Tobol KostanayYelimay Semey
02
W
12/09/2026
Yelimay SemeyZhetysu
21
W
06/09/2026
FC AstanaYelimay Semey
40
L
31/08/2026
Yelimay SemeyKairat Almaty
02
L
16/08/2026
KaspiyYelimay Semey
22
D
09/08/2026
Yelimay SemeyIrtysh
31
W
02/08/2026
ZhenysYelimay Semey
00
D
26/07/2026
Yelimay SemeyKaisar
11
D
19/07/2026
OrdabasyYelimay Semey
31
L

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OrdabasyOrdabasy29215359:21+3868DWWWW
2Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty29197359:22+3764DWWLL
3FC AstanaFC Astana29158646:29+1753DDWLW
4OkzhetpesOkzhetpes29156845:37+851WWLWL
5AktobeAktobe29137944:37+746DLWDW
6Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey29129842:40+245DWWLW
7FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay291251240:39+141DWWLW
8UlytauUlytau29981227:35-835LLWDL
9ZhenysZhenys29891230:39-933DLLLW
10KaspiyKaspiy29961431:42-1133LDWWL
11Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar29861529:41-1230WLWDL
12IrtyshIrtysh29781429:44-1529WLLLW
13AltayAltay29691430:41-1127DDLLW
14AtyrauAtyrau295121224:35-1127LDLWL
15ZhetysuZhetysu29681529:47-1826DWLLL
16KaisarKaisar294131224:39-1525DLLDW
#TeamMPGPts
1OrdabasyOrdabasy2959:2168
2Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty2959:2264
3FC AstanaFC Astana2946:2953
4OkzhetpesOkzhetpes2945:3751
5AktobeAktobe2944:3746
6Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey2942:4045
7FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay2940:3941
8UlytauUlytau2927:3535
9ZhenysZhenys2930:3933
10KaspiyKaspiy2931:4233
11Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar2929:4130
12IrtyshIrtysh2929:4429
13AltayAltay2930:4127
14AtyrauAtyrau2924:3527
15ZhetysuZhetysu2929:4726
16KaisarKaisar2924:3925
Relegation

About the Atyrau vs Yelimay Semey forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Atyrau and Yelimay Semey in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Yelimay Semey are 6th and Atyrau 14th, 18 points apart. League goal record so far: Atyrau 24-35, Yelimay Semey 42-40. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Yelimay Semey have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.