Kairat Almaty vs Irtysh Prediction

Premier LeagueKazakhstan Kazakhstan · Regular Season - 23
Kairat Almaty
5-0
Finished
HT 3-0
Irtysh
Almaty Central Stadium, Almaty·S. Nozhenko 18/10/2026
Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty
5-0
Finished
IrtyshIrtysh

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.26
SignalHIGHModel72%SurpriseMediumGap-3.4%
Value Analysis
78%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.26
SignalSTRONGModel78%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Kairat Almaty Rest
2 days
Irtysh Rest
4 days

Kairat Almaty vs Irtysh: result, form and history

Kairat Almaty beat Irtysh 5-0 in the Premier League on 18 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Kairat Almaty have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
75%1.26
X
16%4.85
2
9%8.26
Double Chance
1X
91%1.03
X2
25%3.25
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

15'M. GualAssist: Edmilson
16'Edmilson
26'R. Karimov
31'O. A. Falaye INT. Mukhametzhanov out
31'N. Baybosynov IND. Esimbekov out
34'M. GualAssist: Edmilson
46'M. Rikhard INB. Sarnavskyi out
46'G. Mendonsa INM. Abish out
49'T. Mukhametzhanov
54'A. Tuyakbaev
61'A. Martynovich INI. Bekbolat out
62'Edmilson INO. Baybek out
69'L. Mata INL. Kurgin out
69'Leonardo Kalil INA. Nurlan out
74'M. GualAssist: I. Bekbolat
79'M. Gual INM. Birkurmanov out
80'L. Ramos INM. Khalmatov out
82'B. Toleuov
84'A. Tuyakbaev

Lineups

Kairat Almaty
4-2-3-1
Irtysh
3-4-3
Temirlan Anarbekov1T. Anarbekov
Erkin Tapalov20E. Tapalov
Aleksandr Martynovich14A. Martynovich
Aleksandr Shirobokov25A. Shirobokov
Luís Mata3L. Mata
Gustavo Mendonca22G. Mendonca
Jaakko Oksanen13J. Oksanen
Azamat Tuyakbayev17A. Tuyakbayev
Marc Gual28M. Gual
Oiva Jukkola19O. Jukkola
Edmilson9Edmilson
Miras Rikhard1M. Rikhard
Bakhtiyar Toleuov5B. Toleuov
Mamadou Mbodj26M. Mbodj
Demiyat Slambekov4D. Slambekov
Sagi Malikaydar66S. Malikaydar
Ruslan Yudenkov56R. Yudenkov
Lucas Ramos35L. Ramos
Ramazan Karimov12R. Karimov
Oluwabori Falaye32O. Falaye
Kalil9Kalil
Nurdaulet Baybosynov13N. Baybosynov

Kairat Almaty Substitutes

82Sherkhan Kalmurza
5Lev Kurgin69'for L. Mata
24Aleksandr Mrynskiy
59Daniyar Tashpulatov
4Damir Kasabulat
8Olzhas Baibek62'for Edmilson
27Mukhamedali Abish46'for G. Mendonsa
15Mansur Birkurmanov79'for M. Gual
81Ismail Bekbolat61'for A. Martynovich

Irtysh Substitutes

29Bogdan Sarnavskyi46'for M. Rikhard
17Samuel Opeh
25Marko Jevtić
15Daniil Nyrkov
97Jean Poé
8David Esimbekov31'for N. Baybosynov
24Murojon Khalmatov80'for L. Ramos
7Timur Mukhametzhanov31'for O. A. Falaye49'
77Alham Nurlan69'for Leonardo Kalil

Team Comparison

Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty
IrtyshIrtysh
1650Elo Rating 1454
1.78Attack 0.61
1.32Defense 0.73
39%Hit Rate 31%
12.8Shots per Game -
2.8Shots on Target -
4.2Corners per Game -
2.4Cards per Game -

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+196 Elo

Game State Tendencies

Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
IrtyshIrtysh
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty3Wins · 75%
Draws00%
IrtyshIrtysh1Wins · 25%
2.8Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored1 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Premier League02/05/2026
IrtyshKairat Almaty
01
Premier League03/11/2019
IrtyshKairat Almaty
50
Premier League04/08/2019
IrtyshKairat Almaty
02
Premier League19/05/2019
Kairat AlmatyIrtysh
21

Recent Form

Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty
5W1D4L
15/10/2026
RigaKairat Almaty
11
D10/10/2026
Kairat AlmatyZhetysu
10
W
17/09/2026
FC AstanaKairat Almaty
10
L
13/09/2026
Kairat AlmatyFK Tobol Kostanay
14
L
09/09/2026
Kairat AlmatyZhenys
30
W
05/09/2026
KaspiyKairat Almaty
03
W
31/08/2026
Yelimay SemeyKairat Almaty
02
W
27/08/2026
AnderlechtKairat Almaty
30
L20/08/2026
Kairat AlmatyAnderlecht
03
L15/08/2026
Kairat AlmatyUlytau
31
W
IrtyshIrtysh
5W0D5L
14/10/2026
IrtyshFC Astana
01
L10/10/2026
IrtyshKyzyl-Zhar
02
L
18/09/2026
AltayIrtysh
12
W
13/09/2026
IrtyshOkzhetpes
21
W
05/09/2026
ZhetysuIrtysh
10
L
30/08/2026
IrtyshAktobe
21
W
16/08/2026
IrtyshFK Tobol Kostanay
02
L
09/08/2026
Yelimay SemeyIrtysh
31
L
01/08/2026
IrtyshKaspiy
32
W
25/07/2026
UlytauIrtysh
12
W

Referee Profile

S. Nozhenko4 matches analysed

4.55Cards per match
4.40Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
23.1Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 59% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OrdabasyOrdabasy29215359:21+3868DWWWW
2Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty29197359:22+3764DWWLL
3FC AstanaFC Astana29158646:29+1753DDWLW
4OkzhetpesOkzhetpes29156845:37+851WWLWL
5AktobeAktobe29137944:37+746DLWDW
6Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey29129842:40+245DWWLW
7FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay291251240:39+141DWWLW
8UlytauUlytau29981227:35-835LLWDL
9ZhenysZhenys29891230:39-933DLLLW
10KaspiyKaspiy29961431:42-1133LDWWL
11Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar29861529:41-1230WLWDL
12IrtyshIrtysh29781429:44-1529WLLLW
13AltayAltay29691430:41-1127DDLLW
14AtyrauAtyrau295121224:35-1127LDLWL
15ZhetysuZhetysu29681529:47-1826DWLLL
16KaisarKaisar294131224:39-1525DLLDW
#TeamMPGPts
1OrdabasyOrdabasy2959:2168
2Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty2959:2264
3FC AstanaFC Astana2946:2953
4OkzhetpesOkzhetpes2945:3751
5AktobeAktobe2944:3746
6Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey2942:4045
7FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay2940:3941
8UlytauUlytau2927:3535
9ZhenysZhenys2930:3933
10KaspiyKaspiy2931:4233
11Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar2929:4130
12IrtyshIrtysh2929:4429
13AltayAltay2930:4127
14AtyrauAtyrau2924:3527
15ZhetysuZhetysu2929:4726
16KaisarKaisar2924:3925
Relegation

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About the Kairat Almaty vs Irtysh forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Kairat Almaty and Irtysh in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Kairat Almaty are 2nd and Irtysh 12th, 35 points apart. League goal record so far: Kairat Almaty 59-22, Irtysh 29-44. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.