Aucas vs Independiente del Valle Prediction
Ecuador · Regular Season - 19
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Aucas vs Independiente del Valle: the result in context
Independiente del Valle beat Aucas 3-0 in the Liga Pro on 16 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Independiente del Valle have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.7 goals a game. Referee R. Cabrera averages 5.89 cards a game, 0.91 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Team Comparison
Aucas
Independiente del ValleGame State Tendencies
Aucas- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Independiente del Valle- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.2 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Aucas2Wins · 20%6Wins · 60%Previous meetings
14/03/2026Independiente del ValleAucas19/07/2025Independiente del ValleAucas28/03/2025AucasIndependiente del Valle01/09/2024AucasIndependiente del Valle25/03/2024Independiente del ValleAucas12/11/2023AucasIndependiente del Valle03/06/2023Independiente del ValleAucas
11/02/2023Independiente del ValleAucas24/07/2022AucasIndependiente del Valle07/03/2022Independiente del ValleAucasRecent Form
Aucas
Deportivo CuencaAucasAucas
Guayaquil City FC
Mushuc Runa SCAucasAucas
Manta FC
San AntonioAucas
Barcelona SCAucasAucas
Universidad Catolica
LibertadAucasAucas
Delfin SC
LDU de QuitoAucasIndependiente del ValleMushuc Runa SCIndependiente del Valle
Santo DomingoIndependiente del ValleIndependiente del ValleManta FCGuayaquil City FCIndependiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle
Rosario CentralIndependiente del ValleLibertadIndependiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
MacaraIndependiente del ValleUniversidad CatolicaIndependiente del ValleIndependiente del ValleBarcelona SCReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
5.89 cards a match, 0.91 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.98).
Cards come from 80 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Liga Pro: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | +40 | 74 | WWDLW |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | +24 | 51 | DLDWL |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | +8 | 51 | DWWWW |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | +5 | 50 | LWLDL |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | +7 | 46 | DLLDW |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | +7 | 44 | DLWLL |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 41 | LDLWW |
| 8 |  Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 39 | DWWLL |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 39 | DDWLW |
| 10 |  Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 39 | WLLWL |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 | WLLDL |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 36 | WLWWD |
| 13 |  Orense SC | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | -11 | 33 | LDWDD |
| 14 |  Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | -14 | 32 | LDWLL |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | -12 | 28 | LWLWW |
| 16 | Manta FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | -25 | 21 | WWLLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 73:33 | 74 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 30 | 51:27 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 41:33 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 33:28 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 30 | 31:24 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 32:25 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 33:34 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 31:32 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 33:36 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 25:34 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 35:38 | 38 |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 25:37 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense SC | 30 | 36:47 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 28:42 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 30 | 19:31 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 30 | 17:42 | 21 |
Liga Pro: Championship Group
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 35 | 27 | 3 | 5 | 81:37 | +44 | 84 | WWDLW |
| 2 | Macara | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | +15 | 67 | DWWWW |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 36 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 56:35 | +21 | 54 | DLDWL |
| 4 | LDU de Quito | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 38:32 | +6 | 54 | DLLDW |
| 5 | Aucas | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 40:42 | -2 | 54 | LWLDL |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 39:32 | +7 | 49 | DLWLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 35 | 81:37 | 84 |
| 2 | Macara | 36 | 52:37 | 67 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 36 | 56:35 | 54 |
| 4 | LDU de Quito | 36 | 38:32 | 54 |
| 5 | Aucas | 36 | 40:42 | 54 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 35 | 39:32 | 49 |
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About the Aucas vs Independiente del Valle forecast
The forecasts for this Liga Pro match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Aucas and Independiente del Valle in the Liga Pro table
This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Independiente del Valle are 1st in the Liga Pro, 24 points ahead of Aucas in 4th. League goal record so far: Aucas 33-28, Independiente del Valle 73-33. The full standings are on the Liga Pro Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.