Aucas vs Independiente del Valle Prediction

Liga ProEcuador Ecuador · Regular Season - 19
Aucas
0-3
Finished
HT 0-2
Independiente del Valle
Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, Quito· R. Cabrera 16/07/2026
AucasAucas
0-3
Finished
Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.30
SignalSOLIDModel53%RiskMediumGap+3.7%
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.38
SignalSOLIDModel43%RiskMediumGap+6.4%
Aucas Rest
4 days
Independiente del Valle Rest
5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
19%3.20
X
28%3.12
2
53%2.20
Double Chance
1X
47%1.59
X2
81%1.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.86
No
47%1.82
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.06 + 1.57 = 2.63
Over 1.5
73%1.38
Over 2.5
50%2.19
Over 3.5
28%3.87
Under 1.5
27%2.85
Under 2.5
50%1.62
Under 3.5
72%1.22
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

6'E. Preciado
14'E. PataAssist: D. A. Romero Padilla
45+5'D. ReascoAssist: L. Loor
53'R. Quinonez
59'L. Gustavino
60'P. Guzman INR. Bolanos out
66'R. Briones INH. Quintana out
72'S. Tapiero
77'J. Sornoza IND. Guagua out
77'D. Reasco INJ. Angulo out
77'E. Pata INM. Perello out
77'A. Mena INS. Porozo out
89'H. QuintanaAssist: M. Perello
90'A. Rodriguez INH. Quintero out

Team Comparison

AucasAucas
Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle
1583Elo Rating 1798
0.59Attack 1.84
2.44Defense 1.19
17%Hit Rate 46%
7.9Shots per Game 15.1
2.5Shots on Target 4.8
3.1Corners per Game 5.9
2.2Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend83% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

AucasAucas
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Aucas 0%Draw 41%59% Independiente del Valle
2.96Avg Goals
83%BTTS Rate
69%Over 2.5

Recent Form

AucasAucas
4W1D0L
12/07/2026
Deportivo CuencaAucas
01
W
08/07/2026
AucasGuayaquil City FC
10
W
31/05/2026
Mushuc Runa SCAucas
00
D
26/05/2026
AucasManta FC
31
W
21/05/2026
San AntonioAucas
03
W
Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle
5W0D0L
11/07/2026
Mushuc Runa SCIndependiente del Valle
14
W
09/07/2026
Santo DomingoIndependiente del Valle
02
W04/07/2026
Independiente del ValleManta FC
40
W
31/05/2026
Guayaquil City FCIndependiente del Valle
24
W
28/05/2026
Independiente del ValleRosario Central
10
W

Referee Profile

R. Cabrera · 36 matches analysed

5.0Avg Yellows
5.4Avg Cards
23.1Avg Fouls
Stricter than 92% of referees analysed

League Table

Liga Pro 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle30242473:33+4074WWLDW
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica30149751:27+2451WWDDW
3MacaraMacara30156941:33+851WLWWL
4AucasAucas30148833:28+550DDDWW
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito301371031:24+746DWDLW
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC301111832:25+744DDWLW
7LibertadLibertad301181133:34-141LWDLW
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte301091131:32-139LDWLL
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC301091133:36-339WLLWW
10Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC309111035:38-338LDDWD
11EmelecEmelec301091125:34-936LWDWL
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca301061425:37-1236DLWLD
13Orense SCOrense SC30961536:47-1133LWLLL
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario301021828:42-1432WLLWL
15Delfin SCDelfin SC30771619:31-1228DLWLL
16Manta FCManta FC30561917:42-2521DLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3073:3374
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3051:2751
3MacaraMacara3041:3351
4AucasAucas3033:2850
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3031:2446
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3032:2544
7LibertadLibertad3033:3441
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3031:3239
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3033:3639
10Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3035:3838
11EmelecEmelec3025:3436
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3025:3736
13Orense SCOrense SC3036:4733
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3028:4232
15Delfin SCDelfin SC3019:3128
16Manta FCManta FC3017:4221
Relegation

Aucas vs Independiente del Valle Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Liga Pro fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Liga Pro

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Key Factors for This Match

Independiente del Valle have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Aucas and Independiente del Valle have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.96 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.