Barcelona SC vs Libertad Prediction

Liga ProEcuador Ecuador · Regular Season - 20
Barcelona SC
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Libertad
Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha, Guayaquil 19/07/2026
Barcelona SCBarcelona SC
1-0
Finished
LibertadLibertad

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.38
SignalHIGHModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+3.8%
Value Analysis
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.38
SignalHIGHModel52%SurpriseMediumGap+10.2%
Barcelona SC Rest
2 days
Libertad Rest
3 days

Barcelona SC vs Libertad: the result in context

Barcelona SC beat Libertad 1-0 in the Liga Pro on 19 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
62%1.33
X
26%4.42
2
12%8.80
Double Chance
1X
88%1.05
X2
38%3.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%2.09
No
52%1.63
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.67 + 0.86 = 2.53
Over 1.5
69%1.24
Over 2.5
45%1.76
Over 3.5
24%2.80
Under 1.5
31%3.75
Under 2.5
55%1.99
Under 3.5
76%1.38
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

27'D. BenedettoAssist: R. Perlaza
37'R. PerlazaFoul
46'R. Perlaza INJ. Perlaza out
46'X. E. Pineda Arana INV. Branda out
46'E. Caicedo INH. Batalla out
46'M. Lucas INO. Quinonez out
58'V. BrandaUnsportsmanlike conduct
63'M. Mejia INE. Mendoza out
63'J. Intriago INJ. R. Quinonez Ruiz out
71'G. J. Cortez Casierra INC. Orejuela out
72'S. Diaz INT. Martinez out
78'H. Batalla IND. Coronel out
79'D. Benedetto INH. Villalba out
85'J. R. Quinonez RuizUnsportsmanlike conduct
85'C. OrejuelaUnsportsmanlike conduct
87'B. CaicedoFoul

Team Comparison

Barcelona SCBarcelona SC
LibertadLibertad
1567Elo Rating 1567
1.42Attack 1.79
1.33Defense 1.94
23%Hit Rate 50%
7.8Shots per Game 15.6
2.8Shots on Target 5.3
5.4Corners per Game 4.0
3.2Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend44% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Barcelona SCBarcelona SC
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
LibertadLibertad
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

Barcelona SCBarcelona SC4Wins · 44%
Draws556%
LibertadLibertad0Wins · 0%
2.4Avg Goals
44%Both teams scored4 of 9
44%3+ goals4 of 9

Previous meetings

Liga Pro19/03/2026
LibertadBarcelona SC
00
Liga Pro30/11/2025
LibertadBarcelona SC
11
Liga Pro25/10/2025
Barcelona SCLibertad
10
Liga Pro28/06/2025
Barcelona SCLibertad
33
Liga Pro02/03/2025
LibertadBarcelona SC
14
Liga Pro30/09/2024
Barcelona SCLibertad
00
Liga Pro15/04/2024
LibertadBarcelona SC
03
Liga Pro22/10/2023
Barcelona SCLibertad
10
Liga Pro14/05/2023
LibertadBarcelona SC
22

Recent Form

Barcelona SCBarcelona SC
4W2D4L
16/07/2026
Barcelona SCGuayaquil City FC
11
D13/07/2026
EmelecBarcelona SC
00
D
05/07/2026
Barcelona SCDeportivo Cuenca
20
W
02/06/2026
Tecnico UniversitarioBarcelona SC
10
L
29/05/2026
CruzeiroBarcelona SC
40
L
25/05/2026
Delfin SCBarcelona SC
12
W
22/05/2026
U. CatolicaBarcelona SC
20
L
17/05/2026
Barcelona SCAucas
30
W
12/05/2026
InsutecBarcelona SC
24
W
10/05/2026
Independiente del ValleBarcelona SC
10
L
LibertadLibertad
3W2D5L
15/07/2026
LibertadTecnico Universitario
10
W12/07/2026
LDU de QuitoLibertad
00
D04/07/2026
LibertadLeones del Norte
13
L
30/05/2026
Manta FCLibertad
21
L
23/05/2026
Independiente del ValleLibertad
23
W
20/05/2026
LDU PortoviejoLibertad
4121
L
16/05/2026
LibertadDeportivo Cuenca
01
L
10/05/2026
EmelecLibertad
11
D
02/05/2026
LibertadAucas
32
W
26/04/2026
MacaraLibertad
30
L

League Table

Liga Pro 2026

Liga Pro: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle30242473:33+4074WWDLW
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica30149751:27+2451DLDWL
3MacaraMacara30156941:33+851DWWWW
4AucasAucas30148833:28+550LWLDL
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito301371031:24+746DLLDW
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC301111832:25+744DLWLL
7LibertadLibertad301181133:34-141LDLWW
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte301091131:32-139DWWLL
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC301091133:36-339DDWLW
10EmelecEmelec301091125:34-939WLLWL
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC309111035:38-338WLLDL
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca301061425:37-1236WLWWD
13Orense SCOrense SC30961536:47-1133LDWDD
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario301021828:42-1432LDWLL
15Delfin SCDelfin SC30771619:31-1228LWLWW
16Manta FCManta FC30561917:42-2521WWLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3073:3374
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3051:2751
3MacaraMacara3041:3351
4AucasAucas3033:2850
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3031:2446
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3032:2544
7LibertadLibertad3033:3441
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3031:3239
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3033:3639
10EmelecEmelec3025:3439
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3035:3838
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3025:3736
13Orense SCOrense SC3036:4733
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3028:4232
15Delfin SCDelfin SC3019:3128
16Manta FCManta FC3017:4221

Liga Pro: Championship Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle35273581:37+4484WWDLW
2MacaraMacara36207952:37+1567DWWWW
3Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3614121056:35+2154DLDWL
4LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito361591238:32+654DLLDW
5AucasAucas361591240:42-254LWLDL
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3512131039:32+749DLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3581:3784
2MacaraMacara3652:3767
3Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3656:3554
4LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3638:3254
5AucasAucas3640:4254
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3539:3249

Liga Pro: Placement Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
7LibertadLibertad361491343:40+351LDLWW
8Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3612121239:44-548DDWLW
9Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3612111340:41-147DWWLL
10EmelecEmelec361291532:43-1145WLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
7LibertadLibertad3643:4051
8Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3639:4448
9Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3640:4147
10EmelecEmelec3632:4345
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About the Barcelona SC vs Libertad forecast

The forecasts for this Liga Pro match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Barcelona SC and Libertad in the Liga Pro table

Barcelona SC and Libertad are close in the Liga Pro table, 6th and 7th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Barcelona SC 32-25, Libertad 33-34. The full standings are on the Liga Pro Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.