Orense SC vs Emelec Prediction

Liga ProEcuador Ecuador · Regular Season - 19
Orense SC
0-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Emelec
Estadio 9 de Mayo, Machala·G. Araujo 17/07/2026
Orense SCOrense SC
0-2
Finished
EmelecEmelec

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.20
SignalSTRONGModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-2.7%
Orense SC Rest
5 days
Emelec Rest
4 days

Orense SC vs Emelec: the result in context

Emelec beat Orense SC 2-0 in the Liga Pro on 17 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.5 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.15
X
33%3.00
2
27%3.45
Double Chance
1X
73%1.27
X2
60%1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%1.91
No
54%1.77
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.37 + 0.95 = 2.32
Over 1.5
64%1.40
Over 2.5
37%2.25
Over 3.5
19%4.00
Under 1.5
36%2.77
Under 2.5
63%1.59
Under 3.5
81%1.20
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

21'J. RuizAssist: F. Pizzini
23'I. Guerrico
25'S. Mina
32'G. Rostagno
36'P. Velasco
36'P. Velasco
36'P. Velasco
46'G. Rostagno INB. Quinonez out
55'M. Parrales INM. Bermudez out
59'I. Guerrico
59'I. Guerrico
62'F. Pizzini INA. Mina out
72'A. Mena IND. Quintero out
72'E. S. Zambrano Pesantez INL. Garces out
76'G. Napoli INJ. Cevallos out
76'A. Mina INS. Valencia out
79'A. Herrera
82'S. Vasquez
85'B. Caicedo INB. Vinan out
86'L. Klimowicz INS. Quintero out
86'J. Ruiz INL. Fragozo out
90'J. Ortiz
90+6'S. QuinteroAssist: L. Fragozo

Team Comparison

Orense SCOrense SC
EmelecEmelec
1473Elo Rating 1471
1.52Attack 1.06
2.25Defense 1.26
23%Hit Rate 19%
13.7Shots per Game 19.0
6.0Shots on Target 4.8
4.3Corners per Game 5.0
1.2Cards per Game 3.4

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Orense SCOrense SC
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
EmelecEmelec
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Orense SCOrense SC2Wins · 20%
Draws440%
EmelecEmelec4Wins · 40%
1.5Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga Pro15/03/2026
EmelecOrense SC
21
Liga Pro28/09/2025
Orense SCEmelec
00
Liga Pro01/06/2025
EmelecOrense SC
10
Liga Pro02/09/2024
EmelecOrense SC
21
Liga Pro26/03/2024
Orense SCEmelec
11
Liga Pro13/08/2023
EmelecOrense SC
00
Liga Pro06/03/2023
Orense SCEmelec
21
Liga Pro10/10/2022
EmelecOrense SC
00
Liga Pro15/05/2022
Orense SCEmelec
20
Liga Pro16/10/2021
EmelecOrense SC
10

Recent Form

Orense SCOrense SC
4W2D4L
11/07/2026
Manta FCOrense SC
00
D
07/07/2026
Orense SCTecnico Universitario
12
L02/07/2026
LDU de QuitoOrense SC
30
L
27/05/2026
CuniburoOrense SC
21
L
23/05/2026
Orense SCUniversidad Catolica
12
L
19/05/2026
Guayaquil City FCOrense SC
01
W
09/05/2026
Orense SCLeones del Norte
20
W
03/05/2026
MacaraOrense SC
12
W
27/04/2026
Orense SCBarcelona SC
11
D
22/04/2026
Deportivo CuencaOrense SC
13
W
EmelecEmelec
3W4D3L
13/07/2026
EmelecBarcelona SC
00
D06/07/2026
Delfin SCEmelec
11
D
01/06/2026
EmelecUniversidad Catolica
10
W
20/05/2026
Daquilema FCEmelec
10090
L
18/05/2026
Manta FCEmelec
00
D
10/05/2026
EmelecLibertad
11
D
04/05/2026
Leones del NorteEmelec
20
L
26/04/2026
EmelecLDU de Quito
10
W
22/04/2026
Tecnico UniversitarioEmelec
01
W
18/04/2026
EmelecGuayaquil City FC
13
L

Referee Profile

G. Araujo73 matches

5.03Cards per match
4.66Yellow cards per match
0.37Red cards per match
22.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

G. Araujo5.03
Other referees5.06

5.03 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.06).

Cards come from 38 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Pro 2026

Liga Pro: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle30242473:33+4074WWDLW
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica30149751:27+2451DLDWL
3MacaraMacara30156941:33+851DWWWW
4AucasAucas30148833:28+550LWLDL
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito301371031:24+746DLLDW
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC301111832:25+744DLWLL
7LibertadLibertad301181133:34-141LDLWW
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte301091131:32-139DWWLL
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC301091133:36-339DDWLW
10EmelecEmelec301091125:34-939WLLWL
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC309111035:38-338WLLDL
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca301061425:37-1236WLWWD
13Orense SCOrense SC30961536:47-1133LDWDD
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario301021828:42-1432LDWLL
15Delfin SCDelfin SC30771619:31-1228LWLWW
16Manta FCManta FC30561917:42-2521WWLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3073:3374
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3051:2751
3MacaraMacara3041:3351
4AucasAucas3033:2850
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3031:2446
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3032:2544
7LibertadLibertad3033:3441
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3031:3239
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3033:3639
10EmelecEmelec3025:3439
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3035:3838
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3025:3736
13Orense SCOrense SC3036:4733
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3028:4232
15Delfin SCDelfin SC3019:3128
16Manta FCManta FC3017:4221

Liga Pro: Placement Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
7LibertadLibertad361491343:40+351LDLWW
8Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3612121239:44-548DDWLW
9Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3612111340:41-147DWWLL
10EmelecEmelec361291532:43-1145WLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
7LibertadLibertad3643:4051
8Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3639:4448
9Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3640:4147
10EmelecEmelec3632:4345

Liga Pro: Relegation Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
11Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca361381533:42-947WLWWD
12Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3610131343:50-743WLLDL
13Orense SCOrense SC361091743:53-1039LDWDD
14Delfin SCDelfin SC361081831:43-1238LWLWW
15Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario361142135:49-1437LDWLL
16Manta FCManta FC36962127:52-2533WWLLW
#TeamMPGPts
11Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3633:4247
12Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3643:5043
13Orense SCOrense SC3643:5339
14Delfin SCDelfin SC3631:4338
15Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3635:4937
16Manta FCManta FC3627:5233
PromotionRelegation

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About the Orense SC vs Emelec forecast

The forecasts for this Liga Pro match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Orense SC and Emelec in the Liga Pro table

In the Liga Pro table, Emelec are 10th and Orense SC 13th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Orense SC 36-47, Emelec 25-34. The full standings are on the Liga Pro Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.