Orense SC vs Emelec Prediction

Orense SC
0-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Emelec
Estadio 9 de Mayo, Machala· G. Araujo 17/07/2026
Orense SCOrense SC
0-2
Finished
EmelecEmelec

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.21
SignalNEUTRALModel45%RiskMediumGap-2.3%
Orense SC Rest
5 days
Emelec Rest
4 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.15
X
33%3.00
2
27%3.45
Double Chance
1X
73%1.27
X2
60%1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%1.91
No
54%1.77
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.37 + 0.95 = 2.32
Over 1.5
64%1.40
Over 2.5
37%2.25
Over 3.5
19%4.05
Under 1.5
36%2.79
Under 2.5
63%1.59
Under 3.5
81%1.21
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

21'J. RuizAssist: F. Pizzini
23'I. Guerrico
25'S. Mina
32'G. Rostagno
36'P. Velasco
36'P. Velasco
36'P. Velasco
46'G. Rostagno INB. Quinonez out
55'M. Parrales INM. Bermudez out
59'I. Guerrico
59'I. Guerrico
62'F. Pizzini INA. Mina out
72'A. Mena IND. Quintero out
72'E. S. Zambrano Pesantez INL. Garces out
76'G. Napoli INJ. Cevallos out
76'A. Mina INS. Valencia out
79'A. Herrera
82'S. Vasquez
85'B. Caicedo INB. Vinan out
86'L. Klimowicz INS. Quintero out
86'J. Ruiz INL. Fragozo out
90'J. Ortiz
90+6'S. QuinteroAssist: L. Fragozo

Team Comparison

Orense SCOrense SC
EmelecEmelec
1467Elo Rating 1503
1.35Attack 0.76
0.82Defense 2.09
23%Hit Rate 39%
11.6Shots per Game 10.9
2.7Shots on Target 3.2
3.9Corners per Game 4.1
2.1Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Orense SCOrense SC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
EmelecEmelec
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Orense SC 0%Draw 37%63% Emelec
1.78Avg Goals
58%BTTS Rate
44%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Orense SCOrense SC
0W1D4L
11/07/2026
Manta FCOrense SC
00
D
07/07/2026
Orense SCTecnico Universitario
12
L
02/07/2026
LDU de QuitoOrense SC
30
L
27/05/2026
CuniburoOrense SC
21
L
23/05/2026
Orense SCUniversidad Catolica
12
L
EmelecEmelec
1W3D1L
13/07/2026
EmelecBarcelona SC
00
D
06/07/2026
Delfin SCEmelec
11
D
01/06/2026
EmelecUniversidad Catolica
10
W
20/05/2026
Daquilema FCEmelec
10090
L
18/05/2026
Manta FCEmelec
00
D

Referee Profile

G. Araujo · 15 matches analysed

5.3Avg Yellows
5.6Avg Cards
23.2Avg Fouls
Stricter than 96% of referees analysed

League Table

Liga Pro 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle30242473:33+4074WWLDW
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica30149751:27+2451WWDDW
3MacaraMacara30156941:33+851WLWWL
4AucasAucas30148833:28+550DDDWW
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito301371031:24+746DWDLW
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC301111832:25+744DDWLW
7LibertadLibertad301181133:34-141LWDLW
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte301091131:32-139LDWLL
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC301091133:36-339WLLWW
10Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC309111035:38-338LDDWD
11EmelecEmelec301091125:34-936LWDWL
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca301061425:37-1236DLWLD
13Orense SCOrense SC30961536:47-1133LWLLL
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario301021828:42-1432WLLWL
15Delfin SCDelfin SC30771619:31-1228DLWLL
16Manta FCManta FC30561917:42-2521DLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3073:3374
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3051:2751
3MacaraMacara3041:3351
4AucasAucas3033:2850
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3031:2446
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3032:2544
7LibertadLibertad3033:3441
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3031:3239
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3033:3639
10Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3035:3838
11EmelecEmelec3025:3436
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3025:3736
13Orense SCOrense SC3036:4733
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3028:4232
15Delfin SCDelfin SC3019:3128
16Manta FCManta FC3017:4221
Relegation

Orense SC vs Emelec Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Liga Pro fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Liga Pro

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Key Factors for This Match

Orense SC and Emelec have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.78 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.