Auckland vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction

Mount Smart Stadium, Auckland·Alexander George King, Australia 07/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalGOODModel51%SurpriseMediumGap-2.5%
Auckland Rest
7 days
Wellington Phoenix Rest
7 days

Auckland vs Wellington Phoenix: result, form and history

Auckland and Wellington Phoenix drew 0-0 in the A-League on 7 Nov 2026. Wellington Phoenix had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 1 for Auckland.

Auckland have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 4.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%2.21
X
25%3.50
2
30%3.04
Double Chance
1X
71%1.36
X2
55%1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.62
No
39%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.8 + 1.4 = 3.20
Over 1.5
79%1.22
Over 2.5
58%1.80
Over 3.5
37%2.88
Under 1.5
21%3.90
Under 2.5
42%2.00
Under 3.5
63%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 4.9 = 9.8
Over 8.5
62%1.36
Over 9.5
50%1.63
Over 10.5
39%2.03
Under 8.5
38%2.81
Under 9.5
50%2.12
Under 10.5
61%1.72
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2 = 3.7
Over 3.5
50%1.41
Over 4.5
31%2.00
Under 3.5
50%2.76
Under 4.5
69%1.76

Match Events

73'R. Duran INR. Bidois out
79'C. Elliot INL. Brook out
82'S. CosgroveFoul
84'L. BrookUnsportsmanlike conduct
84'C. PiperUnsportsmanlike conduct
88'L. Bayliss INI. Prins out
90+2'A. RuferFoul

Lineups

Auckland
4-2-3-1
Wellington Phoenix
4-4-2
Avg rating6.94
Avg rating6.72
Michael Woud7.01M. Woud
Hiroki SakaiC7.32H. Sakai
Ronan Wynne7.723R. Wynne
Nando Pijnaker7.34N. Pijnaker
Francis De Vries7.515F. De Vries
Daniel  Normann6.916D. Normann
Felipe Gallegos6.28F. Gallegos
Callan Elliot6.517C. Elliot
Lachlan Bayliss6.310L. Bayliss
Logan Rogerson6.727L. Rogerson
Sam Cosgrove6.99S. Cosgrove
Henry Gray7.213H. Gray
Matthew Sheridan7.227M. Sheridan
Bill Tuiloma6.628B. Tuiloma
Lukas Kelly-Heald6.718L. Kelly-Heald
James McGarry6.223J. McGarry
Bryce Duke6.67B. Duke
Max Anderson6.98M. Anderson
Alex RuferC6.914A. Rufer
Kazuki Nagasawa6.725K. Nagasawa
Corban Piper6.999C. Piper
Rafael Duran6.29R. Duran

Auckland Substitutes

30Joseph James Knowles
46James Mitchell
21Isa Prins88'for L. Bayliss
57Van Fitzharris
18Marley Leuluai
77Lachlan Brook79'for C. Elliot84'
35Jonty Bidois

Wellington Phoenix Substitutes

30Alby Kelly-Heald
24Tze-xuan Loke
15Isaac Hughes
5Walter Scott
17Nathan Walker
35Luke Mitchell
11Riley Bidois6.5

Match Stats

AucklandWellington Phoenix
59%Ball Possession41%
7Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards2
18Total Shots9
3Shots on Goal2
10Shots off Goal4
13Shots Inside Box6
5Shots Outside Box3
5Blocked Shots3
10Fouls13
2Goalkeeper Saves3
409Total Passes280
301Passes Accurate184
74%Pass Accuracy66%

Team Comparison

AucklandAuckland
Wellington PhoenixWellington Phoenix
1595Elo Rating 1570
1.45Attack 1.94
1.22Defense 2.00
34%Hit Rate 83%
9.7Shots per Game 11.6
2.7Shots on Target 4.3
3.5Corners per Game 4.3
2.4Cards per Game 0.9

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.2 goals
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

AucklandAuckland
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Wellington PhoenixWellington Phoenix
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

AucklandAuckland6Wins · 100%
Draws00%
Wellington PhoenixWellington Phoenix0Wins · 0%
4.0Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored4 of 6
83%3+ goals5 of 6

Previous meetings

A-League21/02/2026
Wellington PhoenixAuckland
05
A-League06/12/2025
AucklandWellington Phoenix
31
A-League08/11/2025
Wellington PhoenixAuckland
12
A-League22/02/2025
AucklandWellington Phoenix
61
A-League07/12/2024
AucklandWellington Phoenix
21
A-League02/11/2024
Wellington PhoenixAuckland
02

Recent Form

AucklandAuckland
4W2D4L
30/10/2026
Brisbane RoarAuckland
11
D
24/10/2026
Western Sydney WanderersAuckland
52
L
17/10/2026
AucklandMelbourne City
31
W
19/09/2026
AucklandWestern Sydney Wanderers
13
L
26/08/2026
Al-Ahli JeddahAuckland
10
L
26/07/2026
AucklandTottenham
02
L
23/05/2026
AucklandSydney
10
W
15/05/2026
Adelaide UnitedAuckland
03
W
09/05/2026
AucklandAdelaide United
11
D
02/05/2026
AucklandMelbourne City
7161
W
Wellington PhoenixWellington Phoenix
7W1D2L
31/10/2026
Newcastle JetsWellington Phoenix
03
W
25/10/2026
Wellington PhoenixCentral Coast Mariners
20
W
18/10/2026
Wellington PhoenixMelbourne Victory
21
W
24/04/2026
MacarthurWellington Phoenix
40
L
18/04/2026
Wellington PhoenixWestern Sydney Wanderers
21
W
12/04/2026
Melbourne CityWellington Phoenix
20
L
05/04/2026
Melbourne VictoryWellington Phoenix
01
W
21/03/2026
Brisbane RoarWellington Phoenix
12
W
14/03/2026
Wellington PhoenixPerth Glory
20
W
06/03/2026
Adelaide UnitedWellington Phoenix
11
D

Referee Profile

Alexander George King160 matches

4.24Cards per match
4.04Yellow cards per match
0.20Red cards per match
22.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Alexander George King4.24
Other referees4.09

4.24 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.09).

Cards come from 138 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

A-League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Wellington PhoenixWellington Phoenix43107:1+610DWWW
2SydneySydney42117:4+37WLWD
3Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar32105:3+27WDW
4Melbourne CityMelbourne City42116:607WWDL
5Perth GloryPerth Glory42028:5+36WWLL
6Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney Wanderers41216:4+25LWWD
7MacarthurMacarthur41214:405LLDW
8AucklandAuckland41216:7-15DDLW
9Melbourne VictoryMelbourne Victory40315:6-13DDDL
10Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets40224:8-42LLDD
11Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast Mariners40224:9-52LDLD
12Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United30123:8-51DLL
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About the Auckland vs Wellington Phoenix forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Auckland and Wellington Phoenix in the A-League table

In the A-League table, Wellington Phoenix are 1st and Auckland 8th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Auckland 6-7, Wellington Phoenix 7-1. The full standings are on the A-League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.