Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction

McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle·Eric Saba, Australia 31/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 9.5
1.53
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+2.6%
Newcastle Jets Rest
3 days
Wellington Phoenix Rest
6 days

Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix: result, form and history

Wellington Phoenix beat Newcastle Jets 3-0 in the A-League on 31 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Wellington Phoenix had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Newcastle Jets.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.4 goals, and both sides scored in 8 of them. Newcastle Jets tend to win more corners, 6.5 a game to 4.3 for Wellington Phoenix.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.20
X
26%3.75
2
34%2.94
Double Chance
1X
66%1.36
X2
60%1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.47
No
37%2.55
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.62 + 1.35 = 2.97
Over 1.5
81%1.15
Over 2.5
61%1.53
Over 3.5
39%2.34
Under 1.5
19%5.00
Under 2.5
39%2.44
Under 3.5
61%1.62
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.5 + 4.8 = 11.3
Over 8.5
77%1.31
Over 9.5
67%1.53
Over 10.5
56%1.88
Under 8.5
23%3.08
Under 9.5
33%2.33
Under 10.5
44%1.83
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.9 = 3.5
Over 3.5
46%1.94
Over 4.5
28%3.27
Under 3.5
54%1.80
Under 4.5
72%1.31

Match Events

14'C. PiperAssist: K. Nagasawa
46'J. Hill INJ. Bertolissio out
46'A. Nunes INX. Bertoncello out
58'W. Dobson INA. Badolato out
58'R. Duran INN. Walker out
58'N. Badolato INM. Burgess out
58'E. Debono INJ. Lolley out
76'A. RuferFoul
85'B. Duke INL. Mitchell out
85'C. Piper INR. Bidois out
87'R. BidoisAssist: K. Nagasawa
90+3'N. WalkerAssist: K. Nagasawa

Lineups

Newcastle Jets
4-1-4-1
Wellington Phoenix
4-4-2
Avg rating6.72
Avg rating7.04
James Nicholas Delianov6.31J. Nicholas Delianov
Jesse Hill6.364J. Hill
Joe ShaughnessyC7.05J. Shaughnessy
Alex Grant7.62A. Grant
Daniel Wilmering7.223D. Wilmering
Nicholas Badolato6.952N. Badolato
Zach Clough6.610Z. Clough
Will Dobson6.228W. Dobson
Alex Diogo Nunes6.924A. Diogo Nunes
Ethan Debono6.217E. Debono
Nikolaos Vergos6.39N. Vergos
Henry Gray6.913H. Gray
Matthew Sheridan7.527M. Sheridan
Bill Tuiloma6.928B. Tuiloma
Lukas Kelly-Heald8.318L. Kelly-Heald
James McGarry7.723J. McGarry
Bryce Duke6.97B. Duke
Max Anderson6.38M. Anderson
Alex RuferC7.214A. Rufer
Kazuki Nagasawa7.325K. Nagasawa
Corban Piper6.999C. Piper
Rafael Duran5.99R. Duran

Newcastle Jets Substitutes

22Joel Bertolissio46'for J. Hill6.6
43Xavier Bertoncello46'for A. Nunes6.9
19Alexander Badolato58'for W. Dobson7.0
14Max Burgess58'for N. Badolato6.3
11Joe Lolley58'for E. Debono7.2
40Jordan Baylis
39Thomas Kevin Aquilina

Wellington Phoenix Substitutes

17Nathan Walker58'for R. Duran90+3'6.7
30Alby Kelly-Heald
24Tze-xuan Loke
34Dylan Gardiner
5Walter Scott
35Luke Mitchell85'for B. Duke
11Riley Bidois

Match Stats

Newcastle JetsWellington Phoenix
79%Ball Possession21%
8Corner Kicks2
0Yellow Cards1
13Total Shots8
5Shots on Goal4
1Shots off Goal2
9Shots Inside Box6
4Shots Outside Box2
7Blocked Shots2
8Fouls11
0Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves4
709Total Passes188
607Passes Accurate106
86%Pass Accuracy56%

Team Comparison

Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets
Wellington PhoenixWellington Phoenix
1495Elo Rating 1570
1.38Attack 1.94
0.00Defense 2.00
0%Hit Rate 83%
12.4Shots per Game 11.6
3.5Shots on Target 4.3
6.5Corners per Game 4.3
1.5Cards per Game 0.9

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.97 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Wellington PhoenixWellington Phoenix
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets5Wins · 50%
Draws110%
Wellington PhoenixWellington Phoenix4Wins · 40%
3.4Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
90%3+ goals9 of 10

Previous meetings

A-League23/01/2026
Newcastle JetsWellington Phoenix
41
A-League14/12/2025
Wellington PhoenixNewcastle Jets
13
A-League06/04/2025
Newcastle JetsWellington Phoenix
12
A-League28/12/2024
Wellington PhoenixNewcastle Jets
21
A-League19/04/2024
Newcastle JetsWellington Phoenix
11
A-League27/01/2024
Newcastle JetsWellington Phoenix
12
A-League09/12/2023
Wellington PhoenixNewcastle Jets
03
A-League04/03/2023
Wellington PhoenixNewcastle Jets
21
A-League22/10/2022
Newcastle JetsWellington Phoenix
31
A-League18/03/2022
Newcastle JetsWellington Phoenix
40

Recent Form

Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets
1W4D5L
27/10/2026
Kyoto SangaNewcastle Jets
52
L
24/10/2026
Newcastle JetsMacarthur
11
D
17/10/2026
Central Coast MarinersNewcastle Jets
22
D
13/10/2026
Newcastle JetsGamba Osaka
13
L
15/09/2026
KashimaNewcastle Jets
71
L
21/07/2026
Preston LionsNewcastle Jets
32
L
16/05/2026
Newcastle JetsSydney
2141
L
09/05/2026
SydneyNewcastle Jets
11
D
25/04/2026
Newcastle JetsCentral Coast Mariners
40
W
17/04/2026
Melbourne VictoryNewcastle Jets
22
D
Wellington PhoenixWellington Phoenix
6W1D3L
25/10/2026
Wellington PhoenixCentral Coast Mariners
20
W
18/10/2026
Wellington PhoenixMelbourne Victory
21
W
24/04/2026
MacarthurWellington Phoenix
40
L
18/04/2026
Wellington PhoenixWestern Sydney Wanderers
21
W
12/04/2026
Melbourne CityWellington Phoenix
20
L
05/04/2026
Melbourne VictoryWellington Phoenix
01
W
21/03/2026
Brisbane RoarWellington Phoenix
12
W
14/03/2026
Wellington PhoenixPerth Glory
20
W
06/03/2026
Adelaide UnitedWellington Phoenix
11
D
01/03/2026
Wellington PhoenixSydney
01
L

Referee Profile

Eric Saba3 matches analysed

4.09Cards per match
3.91Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
23.4Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 21% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

League Table

A-League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Wellington PhoenixWellington Phoenix43107:1+610DWWW
2SydneySydney42117:4+37WLWD
3Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar32105:3+27WDW
4Melbourne CityMelbourne City42116:607WWDL
5Perth GloryPerth Glory42028:5+36WWLL
6Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney Wanderers41216:4+25LWWD
7MacarthurMacarthur41214:405LLDW
8AucklandAuckland41216:7-15DDLW
9Melbourne VictoryMelbourne Victory40315:6-13DDDL
10Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets40224:8-42LLDD
11Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast Mariners40224:9-52LDLD
12Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United30123:8-51DLL
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About the Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Newcastle Jets and Wellington Phoenix in the A-League table

The table shows a wide gap: Wellington Phoenix are 1st in the A-League, while Newcastle Jets sit 10th, 8 points behind. League goal record so far: Newcastle Jets 4-8, Wellington Phoenix 7-1. The full standings are on the A-League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.