Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar Prediction

Macarthur
1-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Brisbane Roar
Campbelltown Sports Stadium, Campbelltown·Adam Kersey, Australia 08/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.50
SignalGOODModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+4.3%
Macarthur Rest
7 days
Brisbane Roar Rest
8 days

Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar: the result in context

Brisbane Roar beat Macarthur 2-1 in the A-League on 8 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Macarthur have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.5 goals a game. Brisbane Roar tend to win more corners, 8.2 a game to 5.1 for Macarthur.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%2.48
X
25%3.55
2
30%2.66
Double Chance
1X
70%1.44
X2
55%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.57
No
40%2.26
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.77 + 1.19 = 2.96
Over 1.5
78%1.22
Over 2.5
56%1.73
Over 3.5
35%2.82
Under 1.5
22%4.00
Under 2.5
44%2.11
Under 3.5
65%1.42
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 5.2 = 10.1
Over 8.5
66%1.35
Over 9.5
54%1.59
Over 10.5
43%2.00
Under 8.5
34%2.92
Under 9.5
46%2.21
Under 10.5
57%1.74
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.5 = 4.6
Over 3.5
67%1.56
Over 4.5
48%1.98
Under 3.5
33%2.33
Under 4.5
52%1.78

Match Events

34'M. ValkanisUnsportsmanlike conduct
38'M. StajicUnsportsmanlike conduct
40'M. Stajic INH. Bility out
48'S. James NgorAssist: G. Plusnin
57'D. Bosnjak INB. Gibson out
57'L. Vickery INR. Fraser out
57'D. Rose INK. Kennedy out
58'S. James NgorFoul
64'A. StamatelopoulosAssist: M. Toure
71'V. Postolachi INN. Amanatidis out
71'S. James Ngor INM. Ilic out
81'N. AmanatidisFoul
83'Nam Tae-Hee INJ. Lauton out
83'T. Francois INE. Durakovic out
87'M. ToureFoul
90+5'J. VidicAssist: J. Lauton
90+7'C. Pain INZ. Helweh out

Lineups

Macarthur
4-2-3-1
Brisbane Roar
3-5-2
Avg rating6.79
Avg rating6.81
Alex Robinson6.91A. Robinson
Callum Talbot6.925C. Talbot
Nara Tatsuki6.93N. Tatsuki
Nathan Paull7.321N. Paull
Connor Pain6.37C. Pain
Dylan  Rose6.518D. Rose
Liam RoseC6.922L. Rose
Luke Vickery6.78L. Vickery
Dean Bosnjak6.724D. Bosnjak
Musa Touré6.399M. Touré
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos7.716A. Stamatelopoulos
George Plusnin7.040G. Plusnin
Milorad Stajić6.677M. Stajić
Tom AldredC6.95T. Aldred
Joel King6.316J. King
Tate Russell7.713T. Russell
Tae Hee Nam6.310T. Hee Nam
Noah Maieroni6.76N. Maieroni
Tyrese Francois6.78T. Francois
Sabit James Ngor7.319S. James Ngor
Virgiliu Postolachi7.09V. Postolachi
Justin Vidic7.317J. Vidic

Macarthur Substitutes

30Joshua Lakkis
31Sebastian Krslovic
10Ryan Fraser57'for L. Vickery6.9
6Kai Kennedy57'for D. Rose6.3
17Oliver Randazzo
9Ben Gibson57'for D. Bosnjak6.7
29Zane Helweh90+7'for C. Pain

Brisbane Roar Substitutes

15Hosine Bility40'for M. Stajic6.5
1Dean Bouzanis
14Emin Durakovic83'for T. Francois
44Jordan Lauton83'for Nam Tae-Hee
2Jacob Nasso
22Nathan Amanatidis71'for V. Postolachi81'6.5
11Marko Ilic71'for S. James Ngor6.5

Match Stats

MacarthurBrisbane Roar
52%Ball Possession48%
3Corner Kicks3
0Yellow Cards3
9Total Shots7
6Shots on Goal3
2Shots off Goal2
5Shots Inside Box6
4Shots Outside Box1
1Blocked Shots2
10Fouls13
3Offsides7
2Goalkeeper Saves4
452Total Passes414
373Passes Accurate336
83%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

MacarthurMacarthur
Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar
1549Elo Rating 1463
1.04Attack 1.76
2.31Defense 1.44
34%Hit Rate 39%
7.6Shots per Game 15.2
2.7Shots on Target 4.5
5.1Corners per Game 8.2
2.3Cards per Game 2.9

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.96 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

MacarthurMacarthur
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

MacarthurMacarthur6Wins · 60%
Draws330%
Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar1Wins · 10%
3.5Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

A-League19/12/2025
MacarthurBrisbane Roar
21
A-League17/10/2025
Brisbane RoarMacarthur
10
A-League04/04/2025
Brisbane RoarMacarthur
15
A-League30/11/2024
MacarthurBrisbane Roar
44
A-League16/03/2024
Brisbane RoarMacarthur
12
A-League18/01/2024
Brisbane RoarMacarthur
13
A-League21/10/2023
MacarthurBrisbane Roar
11
A-League05/03/2023
MacarthurBrisbane Roar
32
A-League08/10/2022
Brisbane RoarMacarthur
00
A-League15/04/2022
MacarthurBrisbane Roar
21

Recent Form

MacarthurMacarthur
5W1D4L
31/10/2026
MacarthurWestern Sydney Wanderers
01
L
24/10/2026
Newcastle JetsMacarthur
11
D
17/10/2026
MacarthurPerth Glory
21
W
11/08/2026
SD RaidersMacarthur
5030
L
22/07/2026
Uni AzzurriMacarthur
03
W
24/04/2026
MacarthurWellington Phoenix
40
W
19/04/2026
Adelaide UnitedMacarthur
31
L
12/04/2026
Perth GloryMacarthur
31
L
02/04/2026
MacarthurNewcastle Jets
32
W
21/03/2026
AucklandMacarthur
12
W
Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar
3W3D4L
30/10/2026
Brisbane RoarAuckland
11
D
23/10/2026
Brisbane RoarPerth Glory
21
W
04/09/2026
OlympicBrisbane Roar
34
W
09/08/2026
Brisbane RoarSydney
24
L
30/07/2026
Sydney OlympicBrisbane Roar
03
W
25/04/2026
Perth GloryBrisbane Roar
21
L
18/04/2026
Brisbane RoarMelbourne City
23
L
10/04/2026
Central Coast MarinersBrisbane Roar
22
D
02/04/2026
Brisbane RoarSydney
00
D
21/03/2026
Brisbane RoarWellington Phoenix
12
L

Referee Profile

Adam Kersey107 matches

4.39Cards per match
4.16Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
23.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Adam Kersey4.39
Other referees4.06

4.39 cards a match, 0.33 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.06).

Cards come from 97 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

A-League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Wellington PhoenixWellington Phoenix43107:1+610DWWW
2SydneySydney42117:4+37WLWD
3Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar32105:3+27WDW
4Melbourne CityMelbourne City42116:607WWDL
5Perth GloryPerth Glory42028:5+36WWLL
6Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney Wanderers41216:4+25LWWD
7MacarthurMacarthur41214:405LLDW
8AucklandAuckland41216:7-15DDLW
9Melbourne VictoryMelbourne Victory40315:6-13DDDL
10Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets40224:8-42LLDD
11Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast Mariners40224:9-52LDLD
12Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United30123:8-51DLL
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About the Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar forecast

The forecasts for this A-League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Macarthur and Brisbane Roar in the A-League table

In the A-League table, Brisbane Roar are 3rd and Macarthur 7th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Macarthur 4-4, Brisbane Roar 5-3. The full standings are on the A-League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.