Aurora vs Independiente Petrolero Prediction

04/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.18
SignalHIGHModel56%SurpriseMediumGap-6.9%
Aurora Rest
3 days
Independiente Petrolero Rest
4 days

Aurora vs Independiente Petrolero: the result in context

Aurora beat Independiente Petrolero 3-2 in the Copa de la División Profesional on 3 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.2 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 6. Aurora tend to win more corners, 4.5 a game to 2.4 for Independiente Petrolero.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%1.57
X
22%4.25
2
23%4.37
Double Chance
1X
77%1.18
X2
45%2.23
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

6'L. VivianiAssist: J. Torrico
16'A. MercadoAssist: J. Vera
20'L. VivianiAssist: J. Torrico
28'A. MercadoFoul
29'D. RojasAssist: G. Alvarez
46'J. Torrico INA. Terrazas out
52'A. MercadoFoul
52'A. MercadoFoul
58'A. TerrazasAssist: H. Vaca
59'H. VacaUnsportsmanlike conduct
63'G. Alvarez INC. Urdininea out
63'K. Sanchez INS. Chavez Suarez out
65'S. Altamirano INA. Pacheco out
65'H. Sanchez INM. Velazco out
69'M. Rangel INS. Ferreira out
70'J. VeraDelay of game
74'E. Sanchez INH. Mojica out
84'R. Cardozo INL. Palma out
90+4'L. PalmaUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+4'S. TorresUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+6'Willie INJ. Bejarano out

Team Comparison

AuroraAurora
Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero
1506Elo Rating 1468
1.23Attack 2.21
1.43Defense 1.57
46%Hit Rate 36%
10.6Shots per Game 11.9
3.5Shots on Target 4.2
4.5Corners per Game 2.4
3.3Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

AuroraAurora
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.9 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

AuroraAurora4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero4Wins · 40%
3.2Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Copa de la División Profesional21/10/2026
Independiente PetroleroAurora
40
Primera División05/08/2026
Independiente PetroleroAurora
11
Primera División04/11/2025
AuroraIndependiente Petrolero
23
Primera División27/05/2025
Independiente PetroleroAurora
24
Primera División31/10/2024
AuroraIndependiente Petrolero
20
Primera División21/07/2024
Independiente PetroleroAurora
21
Primera División19/04/2024
AuroraIndependiente Petrolero
4253
Primera División16/04/2024
Independiente PetroleroAurora
01
Primera División05/08/2023
Independiente PetroleroAurora
11
Primera División05/03/2023
AuroraIndependiente Petrolero
20

Recent Form

AuroraAurora
4W4D2L
Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero
6W2D2L
30/10/2026
Real PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
11
D
25/10/2026
Independiente PetroleroABB
42
W
21/10/2026
Independiente PetroleroAurora
40
W
18/10/2026
BloomingIndependiente Petrolero
00
D
12/10/2026
Always ReadyIndependiente Petrolero
20
L
07/10/2026
Independiente PetroleroGualberto Villarroel SJ
10
W
05/10/2026
Independiente PetroleroBolívar
03
L
02/10/2026
BloomingIndependiente Petrolero
01
W
27/09/2026
Gualberto Villarroel SJIndependiente Petrolero
13
W
22/09/2026
Independiente PetroleroReal Tomayapo
51
W

Bracket

Quarter-finals
Semi-finals

About the Aurora vs Independiente Petrolero forecast

As a knockout tie in the Copa de la División Profesional, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Copa de la División Profesional

More Copa de la División Profesional fixtures and forecasts are on the Copa de la División Profesional Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.