Aurora vs Real Tomayapo Prediction

Aurora
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Real Tomayapo
Felix Capriles, Cochabamba 25/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
65%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.38
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-7.3%
Value Analysis
74%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.38
SignalHIGHModel74%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Aurora Rest
4 days
Real Tomayapo Rest
8 days

Aurora vs Real Tomayapo: the result in context

Aurora beat Real Tomayapo 1-0 in the Primera División on 25 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Real Tomayapo have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.3 goals a game. Aurora tend to win more corners, 9.8 a game to 2.5 for Real Tomayapo.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
64%1.38
X
20%4.53
2
16%6.50
Double Chance
1X
84%1.10
X2
35%2.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.74
No
45%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.13 + 1.14 = 3.27
Over 1.5
81%1.18
Over 2.5
61%1.53
Over 3.5
40%2.37
Under 1.5
19%4.45
Under 2.5
39%2.33
Under 3.5
60%1.53
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

12'Jorge Rolando Alfonso ÁvalosDissent
22'Henry VacaFoul
28'Michael RangelAssist: Rodrigo Ramallo
42'Ronaldo SánchezFoul
45'Ricardo Suárez Antelo INMario Barbery out
45'Alejandro Cervantes INC. Padilla out
45+3'Ricardo Suárez AnteloFoul
50'Rodrigo RamalloFoul
53'leandro barroFoul
61'Henry Vaca INAlan Miguel Terrazas Castro out
68'Cristhian Arabe INJavier Guerra out
72'Vladimir Antonio Gálvez LazcanoFoul
75'Diego Wayar INKevin Mamani out
75'Robson Leandro Dos Santos INdenilzon ramallo out
82'Michael Rangel INadrian pacheco out
82'Ronaldo Sánchez INIvan Huayhuata out

Lineups

Aurora
4-4-2Coach: David Díaz
Real Tomayapo
4-4-2Coach: J. Alfonso
Avg rating7.14
Avg rating6.48
R. Cordano7.612R. Cordano
D. Barro7.516D. Barro
J. Velázquez7.622J. Velázquez
A. Amarilla7.25A. Amarilla
J. Torrico7.870J. Torrico
H. Vaca6.67H. Vaca
J. Sánchez7.219J. Sánchez
H. Sánchez6.914H. Sánchez
88L. Viviani
R. Ramallo6.710R. Ramallo
M. Rangel8.09M. Rangel
L. Cárdenas6.81L. Cárdenas
Robson7.019Robson
D. Robles6.624D. Robles
R. Suárez6.132R. Suárez
M. Bejarano6.417M. Bejarano
77C. Arabe
J. Mamani6.48J. Mamani
D. Wayar6.228D. Wayar
V. Gálvez6.314V. Gálvez
Ruan Costa6.027R. Costa
A. Cervantes6.699A. Cervantes

Aurora Substitutes

69A. Terrazas61'for Henry Vaca6.5
20A. Pacheco82'for Michael Rangel6.5
1J. Terrazas
23I. Huayhuata82'for Ronaldo Sánchez6.8
18S. Rojas
6S. Carrasco
32S. Altamirano
51Cristhian Abastoflor
27A. Flores
4I. Vidaurre
28O. Vaca
11H. Mojica

Real Tomayapo Substitutes

13M. Barbery45'for Ricardo Suárez Antelo6.5
55G. Barbieri
35J. Castillo
36J. Chavez
15J. Guerra68'replaced by Cristhian Arabe6.5
33K. Mamani75'for Diego Wayar6.4
20C. Padilla45'for Alejandro Cervantes6.9
21D. Ramallo75'for Robson Leandro Dos Santos6.2
64J. Velasquez

Match Stats

AuroraReal Tomayapo
56%Ball Possession44%
5Corner Kicks3
4Yellow Cards2
15Total Shots13
5Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal6
10Shots Inside Box8
5Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots2
13Fouls13
1Offsides0
5Goalkeeper Saves3
450Total Passes350
389Passes Accurate294
12Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

AuroraAurora
Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo
1487Elo Rating 1374
0.86Attack 0.41
1.16Defense 1.42
17%Hit Rate 27%
20.7Shots per Game 15.9
5.4Shots on Target 5.1
9.8Corners per Game 2.5
3.0Cards per Game 3.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+113 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.26 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

AuroraAurora
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

AuroraAurora2Wins · 20%
Draws220%
Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo6Wins · 60%
2.3Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera División16/05/2026
Real TomayapoAurora
02
Primera División20/09/2025
AuroraReal Tomayapo
12
Primera División04/05/2025
Real TomayapoAurora
00
Primera División13/12/2024
Real TomayapoAurora
21
Primera División27/08/2024
AuroraReal Tomayapo
00
Primera División24/08/2023
AuroraReal Tomayapo
12
Primera División11/04/2023
Real TomayapoAurora
21
Primera División20/08/2022
Real TomayapoAurora
30
Primera División17/10/2021
AuroraReal Tomayapo
12
Primera División11/05/2021
Real TomayapoAurora
12

Recent Form

AuroraAurora
4W3D3L
21/10/2026
Independiente PetroleroAurora
40
L
17/10/2026
Real OruroAurora
10
L
11/10/2026
AuroraNacional Potosí
22
D
07/10/2026
AuroraABB
20
W
03/10/2026
Real PotosíAurora
11
D
30/09/2026
AuroraSan Antonio Bulo Bulo
22
D
25/09/2026
ABBAurora
01
W
19/09/2026
AuroraUniversitario de Vinto
42
W
16/09/2026
GuabiráAurora
31
L
12/09/2026
San Antonio Bulo BuloAurora
02
W
Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo
3W2D5L
17/10/2026
Real TomayapoGualberto Villarroel SJ
10
W
09/10/2026
San Antonio Bulo BuloReal Tomayapo
00
D
06/10/2026
Real OruroReal Tomayapo
40
L
03/10/2026
Always ReadyReal Tomayapo
40
L
01/10/2026
Real TomayapoNacional Potosí
11
D
28/09/2026
Real TomayapoReal Oruro
21
W
22/09/2026
Independiente PetroleroReal Tomayapo
51
L
18/09/2026
Real TomayapoOriente Petrolero
02
L
14/09/2026
Real TomayapoBolívar
12
L
11/09/2026
Real TomayapoAlways Ready
20
W

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BolívarBolívar23173358:23+3554WWWWW
2Always ReadyAlways Ready23156255:16+3951WLWWW
3The StrongestThe Strongest23136442:26+1645LWLWW
4Real PotosíReal Potosí23108530:16+1438LWWWW
5Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero23114840:29+1137WDWWL
6AuroraAurora23810534:30+434WLDLW
7Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí23941035:31+431WLDLW
8GuabiráGuabirá2386934:47-1330LDLWL
9Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero23851031:39-829WDLLL
10BloomingBlooming23610731:25+628LDLDW
11Real OruroReal Oruro23831237:56-1927LWWLL
12San Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo23731324:43-1924WLDWL
13Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto23631430:45-1521WLDWL
14Gualberto Villarroel SJGualberto Villarroel SJ23481127:40-1320WLWLL
15ABBABB23621533:51-1820LLLLL
16Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo23551316:40-2420LWDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BolívarBolívar2358:2354
2Always ReadyAlways Ready2355:1651
3The StrongestThe Strongest2342:2645
4Real PotosíReal Potosí2330:1638
5Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero2340:2937
6AuroraAurora2334:3034
7Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí2335:3131
8GuabiráGuabirá2334:4730
9Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero2331:3929
10BloomingBlooming2331:2528
11Real OruroReal Oruro2337:5627
12San Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo2324:4324
13Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto2330:4521
14Gualberto Villarroel SJGualberto Villarroel SJ2327:4020
15ABBABB2333:5120
16Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo2316:4020

About the Aurora vs Real Tomayapo forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Aurora and Real Tomayapo in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, Aurora are 6th and Real Tomayapo 16th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: Aurora 34-30, Real Tomayapo 16-40. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.