Baltika vs Dinamo Makhachkala Prediction

Baltika
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Dinamo Makhachkala
Rostec Arena, Kaliningrad·Sergei Ivanov 08/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.16
SignalHIGHModel60%SurpriseMediumGap-9.4%
Baltika Rest
7 days
Dinamo Makhachkala Rest
7 days

Baltika vs Dinamo Makhachkala: the result in context

Dinamo Makhachkala beat Baltika 1-0 in the Premier League on 8 Nov 2026. That went against recent form: Baltika had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Dinamo Makhachkala.

Their history points to a close game: 5 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game. Baltika tend to win more corners, 5.0 a game to 1.9 for Dinamo Makhachkala.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
59%1.70
X
24%3.58
2
17%5.83
Double Chance
1X
83%1.12
X2
41%2.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%2.40
No
48%1.51
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.67 + 0.94 = 2.61
Over 1.5
68%1.50
Over 2.5
43%2.61
Over 3.5
23%4.92
Under 1.5
32%2.53
Under 2.5
57%1.54
Under 3.5
77%1.16
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.2 + 3.3 = 9.5
Over 8.5
59%1.58
Over 9.5
47%1.96
Over 10.5
36%2.54
Under 8.5
41%2.23
Under 9.5
53%1.76
Under 10.5
64%1.43
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.3 = 4
Over 3.5
57%-
Over 4.5
38%-
Under 3.5
43%-
Under 4.5
62%-

Match Events

4'Kirill ZinovichAssist: Mohammadjavad Hosseinnejad
45'Maksim Petrov INEgor Golenkov out
45+2'Penalty confirmedEduardo Anderson
45+6'Brayan Gil(Penalty missed)
57'Marat Apshatsev INAbdulpasha Dzhabrailov out
60'Mingiyan Beveev INFahd Moufi out
60'Eduardo Anderson INIlya Kirsh out
68'Brayan Gil INIlya Porokhov out
83'Eldar Ćivić INVladislav Pospelov out
89'Konstantin ShiltsovFoul

Lineups

Baltika
3-4-3Coach: A. Talalaev
Dinamo Makhachkala
3-4-2-1Coach: V. Evseev
Avg rating6.51
Avg rating6.87
E. Latyshonok6.91E. Latyshonok
E. Anderson6.921E. Anderson
L. Mouyokolo7.624L. Mouyokolo
N. Gassama7.04N. Gassama
M. Beveev6.122M. Beveev
I. Petrov6.610I. Petrov
I. Belikov6.326I. Belikov
E. Ćivić5.877E. Ćivić
M. Petrov6.573M. Petrov
B. Gil6.491B. Gil
K. Shiltsov6.07K. Shiltsov
T. Magomedov7.639T. Magomedov
A. Alarcón7.724A. Alarcón
K. Zinovich8.119K. Zinovich
M. Alibekov6.599M. Alibekov
A. Sandrachuk6.672A. Sandrachuk
D. Kuzyaev6.514D. Kuzyaev
M. Apshatsev6.36M. Apshatsev
T. Sundukov6.277T. Sundukov
N. Glushkov6.347N. Glushkov
M. Hosseinnezhad7.710M. Hosseinnezhad
Miro6.111Miro

Baltika Substitutes

68M. Ryadno
42V. Pospelov83'for Eldar Ćivić6.2
2S. Varatynov
69E. Golenkov45'for Maksim Petrov6.7
3I. Kirsch60'for Eduardo Anderson6.1
14S. Kovač
81I. Kukushkin
8A. Mendel
18F. Moufi60'for Mingiyan Beveev6.7
5A. Mourid
9C. Offor
11I. Porokhov68'for Brayan Gil6.2

Dinamo Makhachkala Substitutes

28S. Serderov
9R. Magomedov
88D. Lesovoy
8V. Khubulov
33N. Karabashev
13S. Kagermazov
21Abdulpasha Dzhabrailov57'for Marat Apshatsev6.8
30D. Aleksandrov
43I. Akhmedov
52E. Smelov

Match Stats

BaltikaDinamo Makhachkala
67%Ball Possession33%
7Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards0
17Total Shots5
5Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal2
14Shots Inside Box4
3Shots Outside Box1
6Blocked Shots0
18Fouls8
2Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves5
567Total Passes284
445Passes Accurate172
8Free Kicks16

Team Comparison

BaltikaBaltika
Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
1582Elo Rating 1429
1.47Attack 0.31
1.85Defense 0.90
41%Hit Rate 0%
12.3Shots per Game 8.0
5.0Shots on Target 2.0
5.0Corners per Game 1.9
2.2Cards per Game 3.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+153 Elo
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

BaltikaBaltika
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

BaltikaBaltika1Wins · 20%
Draws480%
Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala0Wins · 0%
2.0Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored3 of 5
20%3+ goals1 of 5

Previous meetings

Cup20/08/2026
BaltikaDinamo Makhachkala
11
Premier League05/04/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaBaltika
22
Premier League05/10/2025
BaltikaDinamo Makhachkala
20
First League02/04/2023
Dinamo MakhachkalaBaltika
00
First League12/09/2022
BaltikaDinamo Makhachkala
11

Recent Form

Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
1W1D8L
01/11/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaFC Rostov
03
L
29/10/2026
Krylia SovetovDinamo Makhachkala
20
L
25/10/2026
ZenitDinamo Makhachkala
20
L
17/10/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaAkron
11
D
14/10/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaZenit
12
L
10/10/2026
FC OrenburgDinamo Makhachkala
40
L
17/09/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaCSKA Moscow
13
L
13/09/2026
AkhmatDinamo Makhachkala
32
L
06/09/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaRodina Moskva
20
W
02/09/2026
ZenitDinamo Makhachkala
30
L

Referee Profile

Sergei Ivanov22 matches

5.36Cards per match
5.23Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
25.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Sergei Ivanov5.36
Other referees5.83

5.36 cards a match, 0.47 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.83).

Cards come from 22 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ZenitZenit14101332:15+1731DWWWW
2DynamoDynamo14101323:13+1031WWLWW
3Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1492327:11+1629WWLWD
4FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1475225:18+726WLDDL
5CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1475223:16+726LDWLW
6FC RostovFC Rostov1454518:19-119DWWDW
7Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1446419:20-118WLWLD
8RubinRubin1446414:18-418WWLLL
9BaltikaBaltika1445517:15+217LWDDD
10FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1438314:14017LDWDW
11Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1451817:26-916WLLDL
12AkhmatAkhmat1435616:19-314WLLLD
13Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1433815:29-1412LWWDL
14AkronAkron1426617:25-812LLWDL
15LokomotivLokomotiv1425716:21-511LLLDW
16FakelFakel1413109:23-146LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1ZenitZenit1432:1531
2DynamoDynamo1423:1331
3Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1427:1129
4FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1425:1826
5CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1423:1626
6FC RostovFC Rostov1418:1919
7Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1419:2018
8RubinRubin1414:1818
9BaltikaBaltika1417:1517
10FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1414:1417
11Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1417:2616
12AkhmatAkhmat1416:1914
13Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1415:2912
14AkronAkron1417:2512
15LokomotivLokomotiv1416:2111
16FakelFakel149:236
Relegation

About the Baltika vs Dinamo Makhachkala forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Baltika and Dinamo Makhachkala in the Premier League table

Baltika and Dinamo Makhachkala are close in the Premier League table, 9th and 11th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Baltika 17-15, Dinamo Makhachkala 17-26. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.