Fakel vs Baltika Prediction

Fakel
2-2
Finished
HT 1-0
Baltika
Fakel Stadium, Voronezh 12/09/2026
FakelFakel
2-2
Finished
BaltikaBaltika

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 9.5
1.73
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Fakel Rest
6 days
Baltika Rest
5 days

Fakel vs Baltika: the result in context

Fakel and Baltika drew 2-2 in the Premier League on 12 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 6 previous meetings produced 1.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
30%3.47
X
25%2.98
2
45%2.36
Double Chance
1X
54%1.59
X2
70%1.31
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%2.19
No
47%1.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.18 + 1.32 = 2.50
Over 1.5
74%1.55
Over 2.5
46%2.77
Over 3.5
23%5.30
Under 1.5
26%2.46
Under 2.5
54%1.45
Under 3.5
77%1.13
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 4.7 = 9.1
Over 8.5
49%1.59
Over 9.5
40%1.99
Over 10.5
25%2.58
Under 8.5
51%2.19
Under 9.5
60%1.73
Under 10.5
75%1.42
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.1 = 4.1
Over 3.5
59%-
Over 4.5
40%-
Under 3.5
41%-
Under 4.5
60%-

Match Events

10'Andrey MendelFoul
13'Ravil NetfullinAssist: Aleksey Sutormin
45'Mingiyan Beveev INMaksim Shnaptsev out
45'Maksim Petrov INIlya Petrov out
45'Aleksey Sutormin INButta Magomedov out
45'Vladislav Pospelov INEgor Golenkov out
47'Eduardo AndersonFoul
51'Butta Magomedov
65'Nathan Gassama INMikhail Ryadno out
65'Andrey Mendel INIvan Belikov out
68'Maksim Turishchev INNikolay Giorgobiani out
68'Aleksandr Koksharov INAxel Gnapi out
74'Egor GolenkovAssist: Brayan Gil
76'Anton Kovalev INDarko Todorovic out
82'Loris MouyokoloFoul
90+3'Penalty confirmedEgor Golenkov
90+5'Brayan Gil(Penalty)
90+6'Axel GnapiFoul

Lineups

Fakel
3-4-3Coach: Oleg Vasilenko
Baltika
5-4-1Coach: A. Talalaev
Avg rating6.44
Avg rating6.34
D. Frolkin6.11D. Frolkin
I. Yurganov6.320I. Yurganov
Clayton6.140Clayton
M. Bardachev6.253M. Bardachev
A. Gabaraev6.25A. Gabaraev
R. Netfullin7.452R. Netfullin
V. Yakimov6.623V. Yakimov
A. Kovalev5.917A. Kovalev
M. Turishchev6.37M. Turishchev
A. Koksharov6.590A. Koksharov
A. Sutormin7.111A. Sutormin
E. Latyshonok6.31E. Latyshonok
M. Beveev6.222M. Beveev
S. Varatynov6.52S. Varatynov
L. Mouyokolo6.124L. Mouyokolo
E. Anderson6.421E. Anderson
N. Gassama5.84N. Gassama
V. Pospelov6.242V. Pospelov
A. Mendel6.18A. Mendel
A. Mourid6.15A. Mourid
M. Petrov6.573M. Petrov
B. Gil7.791B. Gil

Fakel Substitutes

8A. Bagamaev
25A. Belyaev
35V. Dorovskikh
22H. El Mahasni
99N. Giorgobiani68'for Maksim Turishchev6.0
9A. Gnapi Dable68'for Aleksandr Koksharov90+6'6.7
97B. Magomedov45'for Aleksey Sutormin51'6.8
19B. Pusi
55D. Todorović76'for Anton Kovalev6.4
44Y. Zhuravlev

Baltika Substitutes

19M. Shnaptsev45'for Mingiyan Beveev5.9
7K. Shiltsov
68M. Ryadno65'for Nathan Gassama5.7
10I. Petrov45'for Maksim Petrov6.6
9C. Offor
44E. Lyubakov
81I. Kukushkin
3I. Kirsch
69E. Golenkov45'for Vladislav Pospelov74'7.4
77E. Ćivić
26I. Belikov65'for Andrey Mendel6.0

Match Stats

FakelBaltika
39%Ball Possession61%
3Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards3
9Total Shots19
3Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal9
4Shots Inside Box15
5Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots6
17Fouls11
1Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves1
243Total Passes367
126Passes Accurate257
11Free Kicks16

Team Comparison

FakelFakel
BaltikaBaltika
1478Elo Rating 1573
1.28Attack 1.07
1.31Defense 2.22
50%Hit Rate 23%
11.6Shots per Game 10.2
3.6Shots on Target 2.5
4.9Corners per Game 5.5
2.4Cards per Game 2.4

Game State Tendencies

FakelFakel
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
BaltikaBaltika
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

FakelFakel1Wins · 17%
Draws350%
BaltikaBaltika2Wins · 33%
1.8Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored2 of 6
33%3+ goals2 of 6

Previous meetings

Premier League02/12/2023
Fakel VoronezhBaltika
00
Premier League06/08/2023
BaltikaFakel Voronezh
21
First League21/05/2022
BaltikaFakel Voronezh
01
First League10/07/2021
Fakel VoronezhBaltika
33
First League21/11/2020
BaltikaFakel Voronezh
00
First League12/08/2020
Fakel VoronezhBaltika
01

Recent Form

FakelFakel
0W2D8L
05/09/2026
FC RostovFakel
31
L
01/09/2026
FakelFC Krasnodar
3141
L
29/08/2026
FakelZenit
01
L
22/08/2026
FakelFC Orenburg
00
D
18/08/2026
AkhmatFakel
21
L
15/08/2026
CSKA MoscowFakel
10
L
10/08/2026
FakelAkhmat
00
D
05/08/2026
FakelDynamo
01
L
02/08/2026
FC KrasnodarFakel
32
L
25/07/2026
FakelDinamo Makhachkala
12
L
BaltikaBaltika
3W2D5L
06/09/2026
BaltikaLokomotiv
01
L
02/09/2026
BaltikaKrylia Sovetov
3050
L
30/08/2026
Rodina MoskvaBaltika
03
W
24/08/2026
BaltikaRubin
11
D
20/08/2026
BaltikaDinamo Makhachkala
11
D
16/08/2026
BaltikaSpartak Moscow
12
L
08/08/2026
Krylia SovetovBaltika
02
W
05/08/2026
ZenitBaltika
10
L
01/08/2026
BaltikaDynamo
21
W
24/07/2026
CSKA MoscowBaltika
21
L

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1DynamoDynamo1181218:9+925WWWWW
2ZenitZenit1180325:13+1224WWWWL
3Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1172221:8+1323WDWWL
4CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1164119:12+722LWWDW
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1164119:13+622DLDDD
6FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1127213:12+113DWDLD
7BaltikaBaltika1134414:12+213DDLDL
8Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1141616:21-513DLLLW
9FC RostovFC Rostov1133511:17-612DWLLW
10RubinRubin1126312:16-412LLDDD
11Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1126315:17-212LDDWD
12LokomotivLokomotiv1125416:14+211DWDLW
13AkhmatAkhmat1125415:16-111LDLWD
14AkronAkron1116412:20-89DLWDD
15FakelFakel111378:19-116WLLDL
16Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1113712:27-156DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1DynamoDynamo1118:925
2ZenitZenit1125:1324
3Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1121:823
4CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1119:1222
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1119:1322
6FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1113:1213
7BaltikaBaltika1114:1213
8Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1116:2113
9FC RostovFC Rostov1111:1712
10RubinRubin1112:1612
11Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1115:1712
12LokomotivLokomotiv1116:1411
13AkhmatAkhmat1115:1611
14AkronAkron1112:209
15FakelFakel118:196
16Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1112:276
Relegation

About the Fakel vs Baltika forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Fakel and Baltika in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Baltika are 7th and Fakel 15th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Fakel 8-19, Baltika 14-12. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.